【摘要】：本文利用1992—2012年我國(guó)29個(gè)省區(qū)的面板數(shù)據(jù),采用固定效應(yīng)模型實(shí)證研究了城市化對(duì)城鄉(xiāng)消費(fèi)差距的影響,以及城鄉(xiāng)消費(fèi)差距對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用。結(jié)果顯示:城市化是引致城鄉(xiāng)消費(fèi)差距變動(dòng)的核心變量,且城市化導(dǎo)致中國(guó)的城鄉(xiāng)消費(fèi)差距呈現(xiàn)出先增后減的"倒U型"趨勢(shì),"倒U型"拐點(diǎn)大致發(fā)生在2003年,東部地區(qū)城鄉(xiāng)消費(fèi)差距的"倒U型"趨勢(shì)顯著于中西部地區(qū)。20世紀(jì)90年代初期以來(lái),我國(guó)的城鄉(xiāng)消費(fèi)差距與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在著長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定關(guān)系,城鄉(xiāng)消費(fèi)差距拉大對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)產(chǎn)生了負(fù)面效應(yīng),且這種負(fù)面效應(yīng)在東部地區(qū)要比中西部地區(qū)表現(xiàn)得更為顯著�？梢�(jiàn),我國(guó)的城市化、城鄉(xiāng)消費(fèi)差距和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在著依次影響的關(guān)系,且這種影響關(guān)系具有時(shí)段差異性和區(qū)域異質(zhì)性。
[Abstract]:Using the panel data of 29 provinces and regions from 1992 to 2012, this paper empirically studies the effect of urbanization on the urban-rural consumption gap and the effect of urban-rural consumption gap on economic growth by using fixed effect model. The results show that urbanization is the core variable leading to the change of the urban-rural consumption gap, and the urban-rural consumption gap in China shows a trend of "inverted U type" which increases first and then decreases. The turning point of "inverted U-type" occurred roughly in 2003. The trend of "inverted U type" of the urban-rural consumption gap in the eastern region is significantly higher than that in the central and western regions since the early 1990s. There is a long-term stable relationship between the urban-rural consumption gap and economic growth in China. The widening of urban-rural consumption gap has a negative effect on economic growth, and this negative effect is more obvious in the eastern region than in the central and western regions. It can be seen that the relationship among urbanization, urban-rural consumption gap and economic growth has a sequential impact, and this relationship has time difference and regional heterogeneity.
【作者單位】： 復(fù)旦大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“我國(guó)城鄉(xiāng)要素交換關(guān)系完善的理論研究與實(shí)證分析”(12CJL039) 教育部新世紀(jì)優(yōu)秀人才支持計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目“中國(guó)城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)化的政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)”(NCET-11-0105) 上海市哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目“轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展背景下上�；庑露Y(jié)構(gòu)問(wèn)題研究”(2012FJL001)的階段性成果
【分類號(hào)】：F126.1

【共引文獻(xiàn)】

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本文編號(hào)：2172433