【摘要】：20世紀(jì)70年代以來，產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易以極快的速度發(fā)展，產(chǎn)品的生產(chǎn)過程開始分散化而不再集中于特定的國(guó)家或地區(qū)，這使得各個(gè)國(guó)家在產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)的某一環(huán)節(jié)更加專業(yè)化，由此，產(chǎn)品的生產(chǎn)由產(chǎn)業(yè)間的國(guó)際分工細(xì)化到產(chǎn)品內(nèi)國(guó)際分工。于此同時(shí)，隨著我國(guó)不斷提高企業(yè)參與產(chǎn)品內(nèi)分工國(guó)際的程度，產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易規(guī)模不斷擴(kuò)大，參與產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易的商品結(jié)構(gòu)逐漸優(yōu)化，促進(jìn)了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級(jí)。但是，在產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易的過程中，我國(guó)處于全球價(jià)值鏈的低端，大量進(jìn)口待加工產(chǎn)品而不是致力于生產(chǎn)高技術(shù)含量的產(chǎn)品，減緩了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的進(jìn)程。 在研究了國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)的基礎(chǔ)上，本文分別通過理論和實(shí)證分析研究了產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易對(duì)我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的影響。理論分析顯示，產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的影響是多方面的。對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)有促進(jìn)作用的是產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易過程中產(chǎn)生的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)、“干中學(xué)”效應(yīng)、規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)，前兩者提高了技術(shù)水平，后者提高了生產(chǎn)率。但是由產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易引發(fā)的貿(mào)易分工格局鎖定效應(yīng)則抑制了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的升級(jí)。 本文將產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易指數(shù)作為衡量我國(guó)產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易程度的指標(biāo)，利用Granger因果檢驗(yàn)對(duì)產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易影響產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究。實(shí)證研究表明產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易不利于第一產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展，但是影響不顯著。產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易對(duì)第二產(chǎn)業(yè)水平的提高具有促進(jìn)作用，但不利于第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展。從總體上來說，產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)具有促進(jìn)作用，即貿(mào)易分工格局鎖定效應(yīng)產(chǎn)生的抑制作用小于技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)、干中學(xué)效應(yīng)、規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)對(duì)產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易的促進(jìn)作用�；谖覈�(guó)產(chǎn)品內(nèi)貿(mào)易的及實(shí)證研究的分析，繼續(xù)完善加工貿(mào)易政策，培養(yǎng)產(chǎn)業(yè)集群，，增強(qiáng)加工貿(mào)易產(chǎn)業(yè)的關(guān)聯(lián)程度、推進(jìn)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新均能有效緩解貿(mào)易格局效應(yīng)促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級(jí)。
[Abstract]:Since the 1970s, intra-product trade has developed at a very fast rate, and the production process of the product has begun to be decentralized rather than concentrated in a particular country or region, which makes each country more specialized in a certain part of the product production. The production of products is refined from the international division of labor between industries to the international division of labor within products. At the same time, with the continuous improvement of the degree of intra-product division of labor in China, the scale of intra-product trade continues to expand, and the commodity structure of intra-product trade is gradually optimized, which promotes the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. However, in the process of intra-product trade, China is at the low end of the global value chain. A large number of products to be processed are imported instead of devoted to the production of high-tech products, which slows down the process of industrial structure optimization. Based on the study of domestic and foreign literature, this paper studies the impact of intra-product trade on the upgrading of industrial structure in China by theoretical and empirical analysis. Theoretical analysis shows that the impact of intra-product trade on industrial structure upgrading is multifaceted. The technological spillover effect in the process of intra-product trade, the effect of "dry middle school" and the effect of economies of scale have promoted the upgrading of industrial structure. The former two have improved the technical level, and the latter has increased the productivity. However, the locking effect of trade division pattern caused by intra-product trade inhibits the upgrading of industrial structure. In this paper, the intra-product trade index is taken as the index to measure the degree of intra-product trade in China, and the Granger causality test is used to make an empirical study on the impact of intra-product trade on the upgrading of industrial structure. Empirical studies show that intra-product trade is not conducive to the development of the primary industry, but the impact is not significant. Intra-product trade promotes the development of the secondary industry, but it is not conducive to the development of the tertiary industry. On the whole, the development of intra-product trade can promote the upgrading of industrial structure, that is, the restraining effect of the lock-in effect of trade division pattern is smaller than that of technology spillover effect and dry middle school effect. The role of economies of scale in promoting intra-product trade. Based on the analysis of intra-product trade and empirical research in China, we should continue to improve the policy of processing trade, cultivate industrial clusters, and enhance the degree of relevance of processing trade industries. Promoting technological innovation can effectively alleviate the effect of trade pattern and promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F124;F752

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