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要素流動(dòng)對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)影響的兩部門模型及實(shí)證研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-07-14 21:32
【摘要】:中國(guó)的GDP增長(zhǎng)率在2012年經(jīng)歷其13年來(lái)的最低水平,部分觀點(diǎn)將其視為中國(guó)自1978年以來(lái)長(zhǎng)達(dá)34年持續(xù)高速增長(zhǎng)階段的終結(jié)。雖然全球金融危機(jī)的帶來(lái)了外部需求市場(chǎng)的萎縮,但我們認(rèn)為其內(nèi)部問(wèn)題對(duì)此起著更重要的影響。這些問(wèn)題是與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)相伴生的,財(cái)政分權(quán)與地區(qū)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)啟動(dòng)了中國(guó)特色的“區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展”,,同樣,這種中國(guó)特色的發(fā)展模式也帶來(lái)了區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的不平衡。隨著中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展進(jìn)程的加快,省域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不均衡的矛盾日益凸顯。中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)的不均衡發(fā)展,以及這種不均衡發(fā)展態(tài)勢(shì)的增加,已經(jīng)威脅到中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)今后的平穩(wěn)發(fā)展和生產(chǎn)要素在省域間的有效配置。因此,深入分析省域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不均衡的原因,并探求如何對(duì)生產(chǎn)要素進(jìn)行有效配置,對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)有著重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文在迪克西特-斯蒂格利茨的分析框架下,建立兩區(qū)域兩部門兩要素的理論模型,將空間因素導(dǎo)致的要素流動(dòng)邊際產(chǎn)出發(fā)生改變納入到區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的分析中。探求要素流動(dòng)規(guī)模以及方向?qū)^(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)以及區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差距的影響。首先,本文對(duì)單一要素流動(dòng)進(jìn)行分析;其次,在單一要素流動(dòng)的基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)兩要素流動(dòng)對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響進(jìn)行分析,得出要素流動(dòng)邊際產(chǎn)出的動(dòng)態(tài)變化模型。最后,對(duì)要素流動(dòng)對(duì)中國(guó)省域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)及發(fā)展差距的影響進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。數(shù)理分析及實(shí)證分析的結(jié)果表明:(1)將要素邊際產(chǎn)出變化納入?yún)^(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的分析中更符合中國(guó)省域的現(xiàn)實(shí)情況。(2)通過(guò)對(duì)中國(guó)工業(yè)部門的實(shí)證分析得出,工業(yè)部門發(fā)展的減緩早于GDP的增長(zhǎng)的減緩,流動(dòng)的資本要素不足,流動(dòng)的勞動(dòng)力要素相對(duì)充裕。(3)資本要素流動(dòng)對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)及經(jīng)濟(jì)差距的影響取決于區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平,而勞動(dòng)力要素的流動(dòng)對(duì)發(fā)展落后區(qū)域的經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)起到優(yōu)化作用,有利于縮小區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差距。
[Abstract]:China's GDP growth rate was at its slowest rate in 13 years in 2012 and is seen by some as the end of a period of 34 years of sustained rapid growth since 1978. Although the global financial crisis has brought about a contraction in external demand markets, we think its internal problems have a more important impact on this. These problems are accompanied by China's economic growth. Fiscal decentralization and regional competition have initiated the "regional economic development" with Chinese characteristics. Similarly, this kind of development mode with Chinese characteristics has also brought about the imbalance of regional economic development. With the acceleration of China's economic development, the contradiction of unbalanced development of provincial economy is becoming increasingly prominent. The unbalanced development of Chinese economy for a long time and the increase of this unbalanced development situation have threatened the stable development of Chinese economy in the future and the effective allocation of production factors among provinces. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to analyze the reasons for the unbalanced development of the provincial economy and to find out how to allocate the factors of production effectively, which is of great practical significance to the steady growth of China's economy. Under the framework of Dixie Stiglitz's analysis, this paper establishes a theoretical model of two regions, two sectors and two elements, and brings the change of marginal output of factor flow caused by spatial factors into the analysis of regional economic structure. This paper explores the influence of the scale and direction of factor flow on the regional economic structure and the regional economic development gap. Firstly, this paper analyzes the flow of single factor. Secondly, on the basis of the flow of single factor, the paper analyzes the influence of the flow of two factors on the regional economic structure, and obtains the dynamic model of marginal output of factor flow. Finally, the effect of factor flow on China's provincial economic structure and development gap is analyzed empirically. The results of mathematical analysis and empirical analysis show that: (1) integrating the change of marginal output of factors into the analysis of regional economic structure is more in line with the reality of China's provincial region. (2) through the empirical analysis of China's industrial sector, it is concluded that, The slow down of industrial development is earlier than the slowdown of GDP growth, the capital element is insufficient and the labor factor is relatively abundant. (3) the influence of capital factor flow on the regional economic structure and economic disparity depends on the level of regional economic development. The flow of labor factors plays an important role in optimizing the economic structure of backward regions and helps to narrow the gap of regional economic development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F127;F224

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