發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-07-12 10:39

  本文選題：消費(fèi) + 區(qū)域差異��； 參考：《中南大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：根據(jù)國家統(tǒng)計(jì)局?jǐn)?shù)據(jù),2012年我國國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(GDP)增長7.8%,其中,消費(fèi)對(duì)GDP增長貢獻(xiàn)51.8%15]。消費(fèi)作為國民經(jīng)濟(jì)“三駕馬車”之一,對(duì)國民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有著重要影響。本文應(yīng)用了一系列經(jīng)典消費(fèi)函數(shù)模型對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)影響因素進(jìn)行了分析,并對(duì)我國區(qū)域間城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)差異進(jìn)行了研究。 首先,應(yīng)用經(jīng)典消費(fèi)函數(shù)模型,對(duì)1990-2011年我國城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)的影響因素進(jìn)行了分析。對(duì)不同消費(fèi)函數(shù)間的差異進(jìn)行了比較,發(fā)現(xiàn)收入依然是影響的消費(fèi)的主要因素。引入利率和收入不確定性對(duì)消費(fèi)的影響,分析消費(fèi)和收入在時(shí)間序列上的異變情況,發(fā)現(xiàn)在2000年和2004年這兩個(gè)時(shí)間點(diǎn)上存在異變,解釋異變的原因。 其次,在前面分析消費(fèi)影響因素的基礎(chǔ)上,通過聚類分析來比較我國區(qū)域間城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)差異,對(duì)比地區(qū)間消費(fèi)差異變化。由于政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)、文化的不同,我國城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)呈現(xiàn)出了由經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)的東部到經(jīng)濟(jì)欠發(fā)達(dá)的西部的地域性變化,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展程度相近的地區(qū)表現(xiàn)出了較高的消費(fèi)相似性。 最后,應(yīng)用平行數(shù)據(jù)模型再次對(duì)我國區(qū)域間城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)差異進(jìn)行分析。分析發(fā)現(xiàn)自發(fā)性消費(fèi)最高的前三個(gè)地區(qū)是浙江、江蘇、北京；最低的是新疆、黑龍江、內(nèi)蒙古；邊際消費(fèi)傾向較高的是新疆、廣東和江蘇,全國城鎮(zhèn)居民平均邊際消費(fèi)傾向是0.64。綜合模型得出的結(jié)論給出增加居民消費(fèi),促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的建議。
[Abstract]:According to the National Bureau of Statistics, China's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 7.8% in 2012, of which consumption contributed 51.8% to GDP growth. Consumption, as one of the "troika" of the national economy, has an important impact on the growth of the national economy. In this paper, a series of classical consumption function models are used to analyze the influencing factors of urban residents' consumption, and the differences of urban residents' consumption among different regions in China are studied. Firstly, using the classical consumption function model, this paper analyzes the influencing factors of urban residents' consumption in China from 1990 to 2011. The differences between different consumption functions are compared and it is found that income is still the main factor affecting consumption. By introducing the influence of interest rate and income uncertainty on consumption, this paper analyzes the variation of consumption and income in time series, and finds that there are different changes in 2000 and 2004, which explain the reasons for these changes. Secondly, on the basis of analyzing the influencing factors of consumption, the paper compares the differences of urban residents' consumption among regions and the changes of consumption differences between regions by cluster analysis. Due to the differences of politics, economy and culture, the consumption of urban residents in our country has shown a regional change from the economically developed east to the economically underdeveloped west, and the areas with similar economic development level have shown a high consumption similarity. Finally, the parallel data model is used to analyze the difference of urban residents' consumption. It is found that the top three regions with the highest spontaneous consumption are Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Beijing; the lowest are Xinjiang, Heilongjiang and Inner Mongolia; the higher marginal consumption tendency is Xinjiang, Guangdong and Jiangsu; the average marginal consumption tendency of urban residents in China is 0.64. The conclusion of the comprehensive model gives the suggestion of increasing residents' consumption and promoting economic development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F126.1;F224

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