發(fā)布時間：2018-06-12 18:04

  本文選題：碳排放 + 經(jīng)濟發(fā)展　； 參考：《山東財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：在全球氣候變暖的危機下，低碳經(jīng)濟作為一個新的概念和發(fā)展領(lǐng)域，開始被越來越多的國家所接受和選擇。我國是世界上最大的發(fā)展中國家，而且是溫室氣體排放的第二大國，在不久的將來有可能成為能源消費和溫室氣體排放的第一大國。處于這樣的環(huán)境下，如何協(xié)調(diào)碳排放與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的關(guān)系成為我們必須關(guān)注的問題。碳排放與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展之間的關(guān)系是一個復(fù)雜的關(guān)系，能源作為經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的內(nèi)在推動因素，在推動經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的同時，也不可避免地導(dǎo)致了碳排放的產(chǎn)生。在這一關(guān)系中，經(jīng)濟發(fā)展是最根本的問題。所以，在碳排放約束的條件下，我國經(jīng)濟能否保持持續(xù)增長是所有學(xué)者特別關(guān)注的。 目前，世界各國還沒有一個標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的、固定的、可借鑒的低碳經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展模式，所以研究碳排放與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的關(guān)系、探究我國應(yīng)該如何走和走什么樣的低碳經(jīng)濟路子具有非常重要的指導(dǎo)意義，這不僅是當(dāng)前我國發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟的主要內(nèi)容，同時也是我國能否順利實現(xiàn)“建設(shè)生態(tài)文明社會”目標(biāo)的關(guān)鍵。 基于此，本文對我國碳排放與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展之間的關(guān)系進行了實證研究。 本文的內(nèi)容如下： 第一部分為緒論。主要介紹選題背景及意義、研究方法和研究內(nèi)容、論文的創(chuàng)新點和不足，并界定了論文的研究對象； 第二部分為文獻綜述。本章對國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀進行了綜述，并對前人研究的碳排放與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展關(guān)系的理論作了比較詳細的回顧，進行了簡要評價，同時介紹了庫茨涅茨曲線模型，，為后面的實證分析奠定了理論基礎(chǔ)； 第三部分為我國碳排放狀況分析。本章內(nèi)容給出了碳排放的估量方法，分別就我國碳排放情況做了總體和局部分析； 第四部分為我國碳排放庫茲涅茨曲線實證分析。本章運用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型，對我國碳排放庫茲涅茨曲線進行了實證研究，得出我國符合碳排放庫茲涅茨曲線，并且我國目前處于碳排放上升期，伴隨著經(jīng)濟發(fā)展碳排放量仍會增加； 第五部分為碳排放與行業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)聯(lián)分析。本章從行業(yè)角度，運用灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度分析方法對碳排放與行業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進行了關(guān)聯(lián)分析，得到不同行業(yè)與碳排放的關(guān)聯(lián)度。 第六章為研究結(jié)論及對策建議。綜述全文，總結(jié)得出二氧化碳排放與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展關(guān)系的一般結(jié)論以及發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟的對策建議。 本文的主要創(chuàng)新點： 第一，將能源細化分為9大類來測算二氧化碳排放量，使得測算出的各個省的二氧化碳排放量的準(zhǔn)確度更高一些；第二，基于庫茨涅茨模型，利用面板數(shù)據(jù)，測算出了各個省達到碳排放峰值的具體年份，為各個省的低碳減排工作提供了時間表；第三，從行業(yè)的角度，運用灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析方法研究了碳排放與行業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)系，以行業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)作為研究對象，角度比較新穎。
[Abstract]:Under the crisis of global warming, low-carbon economy as a new concept and development field, began to be accepted and selected by more and more countries. China is the largest developing country in the world and the second largest country in greenhouse gas emission. It is likely to become the largest country in energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission in the near future. In such an environment, how to coordinate the relationship between carbon emissions and economic development has become a problem we must pay attention to. The relationship between carbon emissions and economic development is a complex relationship. Energy, as an internal driving factor of economic development, not only promotes economic development, but also inevitably leads to the generation of carbon emissions. In this relationship, economic development is the most fundamental issue. Therefore, under the condition of carbon emission restriction, whether our country economy can maintain the sustained growth is the special concern of all scholars. At present, countries in the world do not have a standard, fixed, and can learn from the development model of low-carbon economy, so the relationship between carbon emissions and economic development is studied. It is of great significance to explore how and what kind of low-carbon economic path our country should take, which is not only the main content of developing low-carbon economy in our country, At the same time, it is the key to realize the goal of constructing ecological civilization society. Based on this, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between carbon emissions and economic development in China. The content of this paper is as follows: the first part is the introduction. This paper mainly introduces the background and significance of the topic, research methods and research content, innovation and shortcomings of the paper, and defines the research object; the second part is a literature review. In this chapter, the current research situation at home and abroad is reviewed, and the theory of the relationship between carbon emissions and economic development is reviewed in detail, and the Kuznets curve model is introduced. It lays a theoretical foundation for the later empirical analysis; the third part is the analysis of carbon emissions in China. In this chapter, the estimation methods of carbon emissions are given, and the overall and local analysis of carbon emissions in China is made. The fourth part is the empirical analysis of the Kuznets curve of carbon emissions in China. In this chapter, the panel data model is used to study the carbon emission Kuznets curve in China, and the results show that China is in the rising period of carbon emissions. With the development of economy, carbon emissions will still increase; the fifth part is the correlation analysis between carbon emissions and industry structure. In this chapter, the correlation analysis between carbon emissions and industry structure is carried out by using the grey correlation degree analysis method, and the correlation degree between different industries and carbon emissions is obtained. The sixth chapter is the research conclusion and the countermeasure suggestion. This paper summarizes the general conclusion of the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and economic development as well as the countermeasures and suggestions for the development of low carbon economy. The main innovations of this paper are as follows: first, dividing energy into nine categories to measure carbon dioxide emissions, which makes the accuracy of carbon dioxide emissions from each province more accurate; second, based on Kuznets model, Using panel data, the specific year of peak carbon emission in each province is calculated, which provides a timetable for each province to reduce carbon emissions. Third, from the perspective of the industry, The relationship between carbon emissions and industry structure is studied by using grey correlation analysis.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F124;F205;F224

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本文編號：2010590