本文選題：農(nóng)村轉(zhuǎn)移勞動力 + 價格趨同　； 參考：《上海經(jīng)濟(jì)研究》2014年07期

【摘要】：近年來,由于農(nóng)村轉(zhuǎn)移勞動力價格持續(xù)快速增長,農(nóng)村轉(zhuǎn)移勞動力價格出現(xiàn)了動態(tài)趨同于城鎮(zhèn)勞動力價格的趨勢,這將對中國國民經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生巨大的沖擊效應(yīng)。本文運用系統(tǒng)動力學(xué)模型動態(tài)模擬表明:農(nóng)村轉(zhuǎn)移勞動力價格與城鎮(zhèn)勞動力價格趨同對GDP、投資、出口和凈出口有負(fù)面影響,農(nóng)村轉(zhuǎn)移勞動力價格趨同對消費和進(jìn)口有正面影響。因此,我們應(yīng)該未雨綢繆,采取措施積極應(yīng)對農(nóng)村轉(zhuǎn)移勞動力價格的上升。
[Abstract]:In recent years, as the price of rural labor force has been increasing rapidly, the price of rural transfer labor force has a trend of dynamic convergence to the price of urban labor force, which will have a huge impact on China's national economy. In this paper, the dynamic simulation of system dynamics model shows that the price convergence of rural transferred labor force and urban labor force has a negative effect on GDP, investment, export and net export, while the price convergence of rural transferred labor force has a positive effect on consumption and import. Therefore, we should prepare for a rainy day and take measures to deal with the rising price of rural migrant labor.
【作者單位】： 上海財經(jīng)大學(xué)馬克思主義研究院;上海財經(jīng)大學(xué)公共經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：2012年國家自然科學(xué)基金青年項目:(71203129)
【分類號】：F323.6;F124

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