本文選題：城市化 + 工業(yè)化��； 參考：《河南財(cái)經(jīng)政法大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：基于二元經(jīng)濟(jì)理論，工業(yè)化過(guò)程中城市化、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和城鄉(xiāng)收入差距之間存在一個(gè)內(nèi)在的數(shù)量關(guān)系。 本文首先回顧總結(jié)了城市化、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與城鄉(xiāng)差距關(guān)系研究的文獻(xiàn)，對(duì)三者的演化軌跡進(jìn)行統(tǒng)計(jì)性描述分析，然后建立理論模型，最后使用中國(guó)1978-2011年的數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行經(jīng)驗(yàn)驗(yàn)證。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：（1）隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的不斷增長(zhǎng)，城鄉(xiāng)收入差距有不斷擴(kuò)大的趨勢(shì)，且隨時(shí)間路徑影響越來(lái)越大。當(dāng)城鄉(xiāng)收入差距保持不變時(shí)，如果給定一個(gè)穩(wěn)定的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)率，則隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，城市化在時(shí)間路徑上開(kāi)始增長(zhǎng)迅速，隨后以遞減的速度增長(zhǎng)。（2）理論分析認(rèn)為城市化水平越高，城鄉(xiāng)收入差距越��；但我國(guó)的城市化進(jìn)程中城市化短期內(nèi)不是城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的格蘭杰原因，長(zhǎng)期卻會(huì)拉大城鄉(xiāng)收入差距；經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與城鄉(xiāng)收入差距之間存在正向關(guān)系，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)越快，城鄉(xiāng)收入差距越大；在經(jīng)濟(jì)高速增長(zhǎng)的情況下，若要保持城鄉(xiāng)收入差距穩(wěn)定，則城市化水平需要同步提高。（3）隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展，農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)承載人口的能力會(huì)逐漸減弱，不能創(chuàng)造足夠多的收入讓農(nóng)民不離開(kāi)家園就過(guò)上與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)成果相適的生活。（4）從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看，現(xiàn)代部門經(jīng)濟(jì)高速增長(zhǎng)的背景下如果要使城鄉(xiāng)人均收入差距不再擴(kuò)大，只能順應(yīng)工業(yè)化和城市化發(fā)展的普遍規(guī)律，同步推進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)化、工業(yè)化和城市化，穩(wěn)步實(shí)現(xiàn)鄉(xiāng)-城人口轉(zhuǎn)移，減少農(nóng)民，進(jìn)而從根本上解決所謂的“三農(nóng)”問(wèn)題、消除二元結(jié)構(gòu)，實(shí)現(xiàn)包容性增長(zhǎng)，讓城鄉(xiāng)居民共享經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)成果。 基于上述理論分析和經(jīng)驗(yàn)證明，，我們做出推論，在現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)高速增長(zhǎng)的背景下，農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)的人口承載能力會(huì)越來(lái)越弱，就地吸收剩余勞動(dòng)力已被證明行不通，如果要使城鄉(xiāng)人均收入差距不再擴(kuò)大，唯一的辦法是加速實(shí)現(xiàn)鄉(xiāng)-城人口轉(zhuǎn)移，減少農(nóng)民。
[Abstract]:Based on the two element economic theory, there is an internal quantitative relationship between urbanization, economic growth and income gap between urban and rural areas in the process of industrialization.
This paper first reviews and summarizes the literature on the relationship between urbanization, economic growth and urban-rural gap, carries out a statistical description of the evolutionary trajectory of the three, then sets up a theoretical model, and finally uses the data of China for 1978-2011 years to verify it. The study finds that (1) the income gap between urban and rural areas continues to expand with the growth of the economy. When the income gap between urban and rural areas remains constant, when the income gap between urban and rural areas remains constant, if a stable economic growth rate is given, the urbanization begins to grow rapidly along the time path with the economic growth. (2) the higher the urbanization level, the smaller the income gap between urban and rural areas; However, in the course of urbanization in China, urbanization is not the Grainger cause of income gap in urban and rural areas in the short term, but it will widen the income gap between urban and rural areas for a long time; there is a positive relationship between economic growth and urban and rural income gap, the faster economic growth is, the greater the income gap between urban and rural areas; in the case of rapid economic growth, the income gap between urban and rural areas should be maintained. Stability, the level of urbanization needs to be improved synchronously. (3) with the economic development, the capacity of the rural economy to carry the population will gradually weaken, can not create enough income to allow farmers to live without leaving their homes to live with the economic growth results. (4) in the long run, the current generation of economic growth in the rapid growth of the sector if the urban and rural people The average income gap is no longer expanding. It can only conform to the universal law of industrialization and urbanization, promote agricultural industrialization, industrialization and urbanization, realize the rural urban population transfer, reduce farmers, and fundamentally solve the so-called "three rural" problems, eliminate the two yuan structure, achieve inclusive growth, and make urban and rural residents share the economy. Growth results.
Based on the above theoretical analysis and empirical evidence, we make a conclusion that, under the background of rapid economic growth, the population carrying capacity of rural economy will become weaker and weaker. It is proved impossible to absorb surplus labor in place. If the gap between urban and rural income is no longer expanded, the only way is to accelerate the rural urban population transfer and reduce the population transfer. Few farmers.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河南財(cái)經(jīng)政法大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F299.2;F124.1;F124.7

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