本文選題：二氧化碳排放 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)��； 參考：《南昌大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著氣候變化及其所造成的各種生態(tài)危機受到世界的廣泛關(guān)注,低碳經(jīng)濟已成為全球各國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的大趨向。鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)是生態(tài)環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展、人與自然和諧統(tǒng)一的生態(tài)經(jīng)濟示范區(qū)和低碳經(jīng)濟先行區(qū),肩負著保護“一湖清水”和引領(lǐng)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展的雙重使命。“生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)”的概念決定了其發(fā)展方向,即必須以生態(tài)文明理念為指導(dǎo),走新型產(chǎn)業(yè)化發(fā)展之路,大力發(fā)展生態(tài)產(chǎn)業(yè)。生態(tài)經(jīng)濟與低碳經(jīng)濟在本質(zhì)上是一樣的,都要求資源高效利用和節(jié)能減排。經(jīng)濟發(fā)展最重要的兩面就是經(jīng)濟總量和結(jié)構(gòu),任何一個地區(qū)經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展都包含著經(jīng)濟總量的擴張和結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)特別是三次產(chǎn)業(yè)的比例關(guān)系不僅支撐著當前經(jīng)濟的增長,還決定著經(jīng)濟的長遠發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟增長對社會及環(huán)境的影響。因此要優(yōu)化鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),使經(jīng)濟社會與生態(tài)環(huán)境平衡發(fā)展,對區(qū)域三次產(chǎn)業(yè)與碳排放關(guān)系的研究就顯得意義重大。同時作為一個新興的生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū),鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)的碳排放研究還處于起步階段,為了進一步研究碳排放的影響因素,促進鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)向生態(tài)和低碳的方向長遠發(fā)展,對生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)碳排放影響因素的進一步研究也是至關(guān)重要的。 本文以碳排放理論為依據(jù),對鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)碳排放進行了計算和分析,然后采用灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析方法分析了生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)三次產(chǎn)業(yè)與碳排放的關(guān)聯(lián)關(guān)系,為區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化及碳減排提供理論參考。為了進一步研究碳排放的其他影響因素,又采用對數(shù)平均權(quán)重迪氏(LMDI)分解法建立了鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)碳排放因素分解模型,分析了經(jīng)濟發(fā)展因素、能源結(jié)構(gòu)因素、區(qū)域產(chǎn)值分布因素及人口規(guī)模因素對碳排放的影響。 實證研究結(jié)果顯示：鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)三次產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值對碳排放的影響程度依照關(guān)聯(lián)度排序為,第二產(chǎn)業(yè)、第三產(chǎn)業(yè)、第一產(chǎn)業(yè)。其中工業(yè)增加值對碳排放的影響程度也很大,超過了第三產(chǎn)業(yè)和第一產(chǎn)業(yè),從優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)以及提高第二產(chǎn)業(yè)能源效率兩方面著手對降低二氧化碳排放將起到較為明顯的作用。對鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)碳排放分解分析發(fā)現(xiàn),碳排放的最大促進因素是經(jīng)濟發(fā)展因素,最大抑制因素是能源強度因素。對碳排放增長起到促進作用的因素有：經(jīng)濟發(fā)展因素、人口規(guī)模因素、能源結(jié)構(gòu)因素、區(qū)域產(chǎn)值分布因素；對碳排放增長起到抑制作用的因素只有能源強度因素。由此根據(jù)各因素對碳排放的不同影響情況針對性地提出減排對策。最后依據(jù)上述實證分析,結(jié)合鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)社會經(jīng)濟現(xiàn)狀,提出建設(shè)鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)低碳發(fā)展的對策建議。
[Abstract]:With the climate change and all kinds of ecological crisis caused by it, the low carbon economy has become the trend of global economic development. Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone is a harmonious eco-economic demonstration area with harmonious development of ecological environment and economy and society. Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone shoulders the dual mission of protecting "clear water from one lake" and leading the economic and social development of the region. The concept of "ecological economic zone" determines its development direction, that is, it must be guided by the concept of ecological civilization, take the new road of industrialization development, and vigorously develop ecological industry. Ecological economy and low-carbon economy are essentially the same, both require efficient use of resources and energy conservation and emission reduction. The two most important aspects of economic development are the gross economic volume and the structure. The economic development of any region involves the expansion of the total economic output and the optimization and upgrading of the structure. The industrial structure, especially the proportion of the three industries, not only supports the current economic growth, but also determines the long-term development of the economy and the impact of economic growth on the society and the environment. Therefore, to optimize the industrial structure of Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone and balance the development of economy, society and ecological environment, it is of great significance to study the relationship between regional three industries and carbon emissions. At the same time, as a new ecological economic zone, the study of carbon emissions in Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone is still in its infancy. In order to further study the influencing factors of carbon emissions and promote the long-term development of Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone in the direction of ecology and low carbon, It is also important to further study the influencing factors of carbon emissions in ecological economic zones. Based on the theory of carbon emission, this paper calculates and analyzes the carbon emissions of Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone, and then analyzes the relationship between the three industries of the ecological economic zone and carbon emissions by using the grey correlation analysis method. It provides a theoretical reference for the optimization of regional industrial structure and carbon emission reduction. In order to further study the other influencing factors of carbon emissions, the decomposition model of carbon emission factors in Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone was established by using the logarithmic average weight method of LMDI decomposition, and the factors of economic development and energy structure were analyzed. The effect of regional output value distribution and population size on carbon emissions. The empirical results show that the influence of the added value of three industries on carbon emissions in Poyang Lake Eco-Economic Zone is in the order of the secondary industry, the tertiary industry and the primary industry according to the degree of correlation. The industrial added value has a great influence on carbon emissions, which exceeds the tertiary industry and the primary industry. It will play an obvious role in reducing carbon dioxide emissions by optimizing the industrial structure and improving the energy efficiency of the secondary industry. Based on the analysis of carbon emission decomposition in Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone, it is found that the biggest promoting factor of carbon emission is the factor of economic development, and the biggest restraining factor is the factor of energy intensity. The factors that promote the increase of carbon emissions are: economic development factors, population scale factors, energy structure factors, regional output value distribution factors, and the only factors that inhibit carbon emissions growth are energy intensity factors. Therefore, according to the different effects of various factors on carbon emissions, the countermeasures of emission reduction are put forward. Finally, according to the above empirical analysis, combined with the social and economic situation of Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone, the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for the low carbon development of Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南昌大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F205;F127

【引證文獻】

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 黃景裕;鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)碳收支與碳效率的時空分異[D];江西師范大學(xué);2015年

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本文編號：1859621