基于環(huán)境績(jī)效的中國(guó)能源技術(shù)效率變遷
本文選題:環(huán)境績(jī)效 + 價(jià)格誘致性; 參考:《浙江工商大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:環(huán)境約束背景下如何高效地利用能源,科學(xué)地整合各類(lèi)資源,合理地引導(dǎo)技術(shù)進(jìn)步是當(dāng)前我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要議題之一。本文立足我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行的潛在規(guī)律,結(jié)合現(xiàn)有文獻(xiàn)中關(guān)于能源技術(shù)效率變遷的理論空缺,在綜合考慮環(huán)境非合意產(chǎn)出的基礎(chǔ)上,采用方向距離函數(shù)將能源技術(shù)效率分解為外生技術(shù)效率和能源價(jià)格誘致性的技術(shù)效率,并通過(guò)考察兩者的影響因素,試圖探討我國(guó)能源技術(shù)效率的變遷路徑。 本文運(yùn)用我國(guó)30個(gè)省份1997-2011年期間的面板數(shù)據(jù)測(cè)度了僅隨時(shí)間變動(dòng)的外生技術(shù)效率和區(qū)域能源價(jià)格誘致性技術(shù)效率,結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)我國(guó)能源技術(shù)效率的波動(dòng)存在明顯的時(shí)段性特征,其中外生技術(shù)效率的波動(dòng)方向與要素的流動(dòng)性相關(guān),存在累積效應(yīng),按照流動(dòng)性的強(qiáng)弱可分為三個(gè)時(shí)段:1997-1999年的負(fù)增長(zhǎng)階段,2000-2002年的零增長(zhǎng)階段和2003-2010年的正增長(zhǎng)階段;能源價(jià)格誘致性技術(shù)效率波動(dòng)規(guī)律整體上與能源價(jià)格波動(dòng)方向相同,但存在一定的滯后性,按照波動(dòng)幅度可分為1997-2006年波動(dòng)較小時(shí)期和2007-2010年波動(dòng)較大時(shí)期。 本文還通過(guò)影響因素分析進(jìn)一步研究了能源技術(shù)效率的內(nèi)在影響機(jī)理。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),就外生技術(shù)效率而言,FDI、RD投入影響并不顯著,存在一定的自發(fā)性,RD人員數(shù)量的增加加快了技術(shù)研發(fā)的步伐,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)帶動(dòng)的技術(shù)進(jìn)步會(huì)對(duì)外生技術(shù)效率形成擠占,資本投入的增加會(huì)通過(guò)改善外部環(huán)境促進(jìn)技術(shù)水平的提高,二氧化硫排放量約束有助于促進(jìn)粗放型增長(zhǎng)區(qū)域技術(shù)水平的提升,二氧化碳排放量呈現(xiàn)顯著的負(fù)相關(guān)性;就能源價(jià)格誘致性技術(shù)效率而言,部分FDI會(huì)分流至能源領(lǐng)域,促進(jìn)技術(shù)水平的提升,RD投入、資本投入具有一定的擠占效應(yīng),RD人員數(shù)量、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的規(guī)模、二氧化硫排放約束都對(duì)技術(shù)進(jìn)步具有正的影響效應(yīng),能源消耗和二氧化碳排放約束則無(wú)顯著影響。通過(guò)比較東中西部的情況,本文還發(fā)現(xiàn)三個(gè)地區(qū)由于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平和技術(shù)水平的差異,能源技術(shù)效率水平的波動(dòng)存在一定的區(qū)域差異性。 最后,本文結(jié)合實(shí)證分析的結(jié)論,對(duì)能源危機(jī)環(huán)境約束背景下,我國(guó)如何合理引導(dǎo)要素流動(dòng),有效推動(dòng)區(qū)域技術(shù)創(chuàng)新,切實(shí)提高區(qū)域能源效率水平,積極推動(dòng)環(huán)境友好型經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)提出有益的政策基準(zhǔn)
[Abstract]:How to utilize energy efficiently, integrate all kinds of resources scientifically and guide technological progress reasonably is one of the most important issues in the economic development of our country. Based on the potential laws of economic operation in China, this paper combines the theoretical vacancy of energy technology efficiency changes in the existing literature, and on the basis of synthetically considering the non-desirable output of the environment, The energy technology efficiency is decomposed into exogenous technical efficiency and energy price induced technical efficiency by the direction distance function, and the transition path of energy technology efficiency in China is discussed by investigating the influencing factors of the two factors. Using panel data of 30 provinces in China from 1997 to 2011, this paper measures the exogenous technical efficiency and the regional energy price induced technical efficiency, which only change with time. The results show that the fluctuation of energy technology efficiency in China has obvious temporal characteristics. Among them, the fluctuation direction of exogenous technical efficiency is related to the liquidity of factors, and there is cumulative effect. According to the strength of liquidity, there are three periods: negative growth stage in 1997-1999, zero growth stage in 2000-2002 and positive growth stage in 2003-2010. The law of energy price induced technical efficiency fluctuation is the same as that of energy price fluctuation on the whole, but there is a certain lag. According to the fluctuation range, it can be divided into the smaller fluctuation period in 1997-2006 and the larger fluctuation period in 2007-2010. The internal influence mechanism of energy technology efficiency is further studied through the analysis of influencing factors. It is found that, in terms of exogenous technical efficiency, the impact of FDI R D input is not significant, and there is a certain increase in the number of spontaneous R D personnel that speeds up the pace of technology research and development, and the technological progress driven by economic growth will result in the crowding out of exogenous technological efficiency. The increase of capital input will promote the improvement of technology level by improving the external environment, and the restriction of sulfur dioxide emissions will help to promote the upgrading of technology level in extensive growth regions, and the carbon dioxide emissions will show a significant negative correlation. As far as the energy price inductive technical efficiency is concerned, some FDI will be diverted to the energy field to promote the technical level of R D investment. The capital investment has a certain crowding effect on the number of R D personnel and the scale of economic growth. Sulfur dioxide emission constraints have a positive effect on technological progress, while energy consumption and carbon dioxide emission constraints have no significant effect. By comparing the situation of east, west and west, the paper also finds that there are some regional differences in the fluctuation of energy technology efficiency level due to the difference of economic development level and technology level in the three regions. Finally, based on the conclusion of empirical analysis, under the background of energy crisis and environment constraints, how to guide the flow of factors reasonably, effectively promote regional technological innovation, and improve the level of regional energy efficiency. Actively promote environmentally friendly economic growth and propose useful policy benchmarks
【學(xué)位授予單位】:浙江工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:X24;F206;F124.3
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