本文選題：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) + 產(chǎn)業(yè)方向變動(dòng)　； 參考：《重慶大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的過(guò)程中，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)扮演著很重要的角色，在這個(gè)過(guò)程中，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)相互促進(jìn)，并且不斷發(fā)展。產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)不但是現(xiàn)代社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的必要條件，也是經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)的必然要求。2012年，面對(duì)復(fù)雜形勢(shì)和困難挑戰(zhàn)，重慶市南川區(qū)以轉(zhuǎn)型強(qiáng)區(qū)為主線，經(jīng)濟(jì)保持了平穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)的良好勢(shì)頭。據(jù)資料顯示，2012年，南川區(qū)累計(jì)實(shí)現(xiàn)地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值176.18億元。分產(chǎn)業(yè)看，三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)為17.7：47.4：34.9，各產(chǎn)業(yè)同步增長(zhǎng)。其中，第一產(chǎn)業(yè)實(shí)現(xiàn)增加值31.19億元，增長(zhǎng)5.3%；第二產(chǎn)業(yè)實(shí)現(xiàn)增加值83.48億元，增長(zhǎng)9.9%；第三產(chǎn)業(yè)實(shí)現(xiàn)增加值61.52億元，增長(zhǎng)16.5%�；诖�，為更好加快南川區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)，從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化上來(lái)促進(jìn)南川區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)又好又快發(fā)展，本文從兩個(gè)個(gè)方面對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響進(jìn)行了分析。1，分別以結(jié)構(gòu)方向變動(dòng)和結(jié)構(gòu)速度變動(dòng)兩個(gè)方面對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析，利用單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)等方法討論和分析兩變動(dòng)因子對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響情況；2，對(duì)大三產(chǎn)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)情況與經(jīng)濟(jì)總量的增長(zhǎng)情況進(jìn)行對(duì)比分析來(lái)研究各個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)總量增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)和影響。 實(shí)證分析的研究結(jié)果表明：1.產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)方向和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)速度變動(dòng)都與經(jīng)濟(jì)總量增長(zhǎng)呈正相關(guān)關(guān)系。2.產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)速度變動(dòng)對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)總量的影響相對(duì)于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)方向變動(dòng)對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響更為穩(wěn)定。3.就南川區(qū)而言，第二產(chǎn)業(yè)在三大類產(chǎn)業(yè)中，所占比重最大，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)所占比重還有待增加。4.南川區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)總量增長(zhǎng)速度與其第三產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值增長(zhǎng)速度最為貼近，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)于總體經(jīng)濟(jì)水平的增長(zhǎng)的影響作用最大。因此，提出了南川區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的發(fā)展方向：1.在兼顧了勞動(dòng)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的前提下，大力發(fā)展資本和技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)，盡可能地發(fā)揮出對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的帶動(dòng)作用。2.推進(jìn)技術(shù)進(jìn)步和自主創(chuàng)新能力，注重高新技術(shù)與傳統(tǒng)產(chǎn)業(yè)相結(jié)介，將第二產(chǎn)業(yè)作為吸納就業(yè)的戰(zhàn)略重點(diǎn)。3.大力發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè)，逐步增加第三產(chǎn)業(yè)在產(chǎn)業(yè)總量中的比重，，政府和社會(huì)應(yīng)為第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展提高條件和幫助。4.完善教育體制建設(shè)，加強(qiáng)人才教育，為第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)的人力資源充足提供保障；5.建設(shè)戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)，促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)，實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)代化。
[Abstract]:In the process of modern economic growth, industrial structure plays an important role. In this process, economic growth and industrial structure change promote each other, and continue to develop.The change of industrial structure is not only a necessary condition for modern social and economic growth, but also an inevitable requirement for sustained economic growth. In 2012, in the face of complex situations and difficult challenges, Nanchuan District of Chongqing took the transformation area as the main line.The economy has maintained a good momentum of steady growth.According to data, in 2012, Nanchuan District achieved a cumulative gross domestic product of 17.618 billion yuan.In terms of industry, the three industrial structure is 17.7: 47.4: 34.9. each industry grows synchronously.Among them, the added value of the primary industry was 3.119 billion yuan, an increase of 5.3 percent; the added value of the secondary industry was 8.348 billion yuan, an increase of 9.9 percent; and the added value of the tertiary industry was 6.152 billion yuan, an increase of 16.5 percent.Based on this, in order to better speed up the economic construction of Nanchuan District, from the optimization of industrial structure to promote the economic development of Nanchuan District is sound and fast.This paper analyzes the impact of industrial structure on economic growth from two aspects. 1. It makes empirical analysis on economic growth from two aspects: structural direction change and structural speed change, using unit root test and cointegration test.Impulse response function and other methods are used to discuss and analyze the influence of the two factors on the economy. A comparative analysis is made between the growth of the tertiary industry and the growth of the total economic volume to study the contribution and influence of each industry to the total economic growth.The results of empirical analysis show that 1: 1.The change direction of industrial structure and the change of industrial structure speed have positive correlation with total economic growth. 2. 2.The influence of the speed change of industrial structure on the total amount of economy is more stable than that of the direction of industrial structure.As far as Nanchuan District is concerned, the secondary industry accounts for the largest proportion of the three major industries, and the proportion of the tertiary industry still needs to be increased.The growth rate of the total economic volume in Nanchuan area is most close to the growth rate of the added value of the tertiary industry, and the influence of the tertiary industry on the growth of the overall economic level is the greatest.Therefore, proposed the Nanchuan District industrial structure adjustment development direction: 1.On the premise of taking into account the development of labor-intensive industries, we should vigorously develop capital-and technology-intensive industries and play a driving role in economic growth as much as possible.Promote technological progress and independent innovation ability, pay attention to the combination of high and new technology and traditional industries, take secondary industry as the strategic focus of absorbing employment.To develop the tertiary industry and gradually increase the proportion of the tertiary industry in the total amount of industry, the government and society should improve the conditions and help.Perfect education system construction, strengthen talent education, for the second and third industry human resources adequate security.Build strategic emerging industries, promote industrial structure upgrading, and achieve economic development and modernization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F127

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