本文選題：居民消費　切入點：消費結構　出處：《新疆大學》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：隨著新疆經(jīng)濟發(fā)展，居民生活水平的提高，新疆城鄉(xiāng)居民消費水平與消費結構對新疆產(chǎn)業(yè)結構的影響逐漸加重。城鄉(xiāng)居民消費增長與消費結構優(yōu)化能夠加快經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式向以需求拉動為主的方式轉(zhuǎn)變。本文基于新疆城鎮(zhèn)、農(nóng)村居民1978－2010年間相關數(shù)據(jù)，借鑒凱恩斯消費函數(shù)理論和消費結構等相關理論，對新疆城鄉(xiāng)居民消費水平增長與消費結構優(yōu)化路徑進行分析探討。 本文分為五大部分。首先，對城鄉(xiāng)居民消費水平及差異與消費結構現(xiàn)狀進行分析。分析結果表明，，新疆城鄉(xiāng)居民消費水平低、提高慢，城鄉(xiāng)居民消費差距大；城鄉(xiāng)居民的消費結構逐漸由生存型消費向享受型消費轉(zhuǎn)變，消費結構也在逐步完善。第二，通過分步提高城鄉(xiāng)居民消費總量，提高居民消費率，對新疆城鄉(xiāng)居民消費增長進行分析。再通過設置高、中、低三個層次的恩格爾系數(shù)，使新疆城鄉(xiāng)居民人均消費支出結構得到優(yōu)化。第三，以凱恩斯消費函數(shù)理論為出發(fā)點，運用協(xié)整與誤差修正模型來考察新疆城鄉(xiāng)居民消費支出與不同性質(zhì)收入之間的長期均衡與短期波動關系。結果指出，城鄉(xiāng)居民的當期消費支出與當期收入，永久性收入以及前期消費支出之間都存在顯著的關系。再進一步分析城鄉(xiāng)居民消費支出與其他主要影響因素之間的實證關系。城鎮(zhèn)居民消費支出與城鄉(xiāng)收入差距有著長期穩(wěn)定關系，農(nóng)村居民消費支出與城鄉(xiāng)收入差距、農(nóng)村居民收入差距之間存在著長期穩(wěn)定關系。第四，由于新疆城鄉(xiāng)居民各項消費項目支出內(nèi)容統(tǒng)計口徑不同，利用改進的擴展的線性支出系統(tǒng)，結合面板數(shù)據(jù)分析城鎮(zhèn)居民基本消費與實際消費支出比值進行計量分析。利用擴展的線性支出系統(tǒng)，結合截面數(shù)據(jù)對農(nóng)村居民邊際消費傾向、居民消費收入彈性進行計量經(jīng)濟分析。分析結果為，新疆城鄉(xiāng)居民各項消費支出與收入都呈同方向變。最后，分析針對新疆城鄉(xiāng)居民不同的消費特征，有針對的提出擴大新疆城鎮(zhèn)居民與農(nóng)村居民消費水平，優(yōu)化城鄉(xiāng)居民消費結構的政策建議。
[Abstract]:With the development of Xinjiang's economy, the improvement of living standards, Xinjiang consumption level of urban and rural residents consumption structure and industrial structure effect of Xinjiang has gradually increased. The urban and rural residents' consumption growth and the consumption structure optimization to speed up the economic development mode to demand pull mode. Based on the Xinjiang urban and rural residents 1978-2010 years of relevant data, reference Keynes's theory of the theory of consumption function and consumption structure, to analyze the path optimization of Xinjiang urban and rural residents consumption growth and consumption structure.
This paper is divided into five parts. Firstly, the status of urban and rural residents' consumption level and consumption structure and the differences were analyzed. The analysis results show that the consumption level of urban and rural residents in Xinjiang is low, slow increase, consumption gap between urban and rural residents; consumption structure of urban and rural residents gradually changes from living consumption to the enjoyment of consumption, the consumption structure has been gradually perfected. Second, the total consumption of urban and rural residents to improve step by step, improve the consumption rate, analysis of Xinjiang urban and rural residents' consumption growth. Through setting up the high, low, the Engel coefficient of three levels, the Xinjiang urban and rural residents per capita consumption expenditure structure has been optimized. In third, Keynes consumption function theory as the starting point, using co integration and error correction model to study the long-term equilibrium and short-term fluctuations in the relationship between urban and rural residents consumption expenditure in Xinjiang and different income. It pointed out that urban and rural residents The current consumption expenditure and income, there is a significant relationship between the permanent income and consumption expenditure. The further empirical analysis on the relationship between consumption expenditure of urban and rural residents and other factors mainly affect the consumption expenditure of urban residents. And the income gap between urban and rural areas have a long-term and stable relationship between consumption expenditure of rural residents and the income gap between urban and rural, long-term stability the relationship between the income gap of rural residents. In fourth, due to the consumption expenditure project of Xinjiang urban and rural residents of different statistical linear expenditure system by using the improved extended, combined with panel data analysis of the basic consumption of urban residents and the actual consumption expenditure ratio was measured. By using the extended linear expenditure system, based on the cross-section data of the marginal propensity to consume rural residents, consumption income elasticity of econometric analysis. The analysis results for the urban and rural areas in Xinjiang Residents' consumption expenditure and income are changing in the same direction. Finally, based on the analysis of different consumption characteristics of urban and rural residents in Xinjiang, the policy recommendations for expanding consumption level of urban residents and rural residents in Xinjiang and optimizing the consumption structure of urban and rural residents are put forward.

【學位授予單位】：新疆大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F126.1

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本文編號：1612585