本文關(guān)鍵詞： 中部六省 金融發(fā)展 經(jīng)濟增長 因果關(guān)系 區(qū)域差異　出處：《江西財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：金融問題是現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟研究的核心問題之一。近一百年的研究成果表明，金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長存在密不可分的聯(lián)系。2004年12月中央經(jīng)濟工作會議確立“中部崛起”這一國家戰(zhàn)略。同時，中部崛起六省金融論壇拋出“中部崛起，金融先行”的口號。但是，學(xué)者對金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長的因果方向結(jié)論并沒有達成統(tǒng)一。中部六省如何通過發(fā)展金融來促進經(jīng)濟增長，是一個值得研究的問題。本文以中部六�。ò不帐�、江西省、河南省、山西省、湖南省和湖北�。檠芯繉ο螅芯恐胁苛〗鹑诎l(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系的區(qū)域差異。其理論意義在于，通過研究中部六省這一特定區(qū)域的金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系，可以進一步豐富人們對金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系的認識，在一定程度上彌補我國區(qū)域金融發(fā)展與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長差異研究的不足。其實踐意義在于，中部六省在中國區(qū)域發(fā)展總體戰(zhàn)略中起著“承東啟西、貫?zāi)贤ū薄钡淖饔�，是維系全面可協(xié)調(diào)持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要樞紐，研究其金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系，有利于政府從實際出發(fā)，有針對性地制定經(jīng)濟政策和金融政策，以促進中部地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展和金融發(fā)展。 本文在全面闡述金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長相互作用機制、總結(jié)已有的研究方法的基礎(chǔ)上，從金融深化程度、金融資產(chǎn)規(guī)模和金融效率三個角度考察金融發(fā)展水平，以人均GDP增長速度衡量經(jīng)濟增長水平。 在實證分析環(huán)節(jié)，運用平穩(wěn)性檢驗，協(xié)整檢驗和格蘭杰因果檢驗對中部六省金融發(fā)展指標與經(jīng)濟增長指標分別進行分析。檢驗的結(jié)果是，山西省金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長存在高度正相關(guān)關(guān)系，但是各指標之間均無格蘭杰因果關(guān)系。除山西省外，其他五省經(jīng)濟增長是金融深化程度的格蘭杰原因。河南省僅金融深化程度與經(jīng)濟增長存在單向因果關(guān)系。安徽省與江西省金融資產(chǎn)規(guī)模擴大是經(jīng)濟增長的格蘭杰原因，其金融效率是經(jīng)濟增長的格蘭杰原因。湖南省與湖北省經(jīng)濟增長是金融資產(chǎn)規(guī)模擴大的格蘭杰原因，其金融效率是經(jīng)濟增長的格蘭杰原因。 根據(jù)以上結(jié)果將中部六省分為安徽省、湖南省、河南省和江西省、湖北省、山西省兩組，并進行差異性分析。結(jié)論是，山西省“金融過度深化”，金融發(fā)展脫離實體經(jīng)濟高速發(fā)展；河南省金融深化程度不夠，龐大的金融資產(chǎn)總量可以更好地利用；安徽省金融深化速度快，要合理發(fā)展，謹防過度深化；江西省經(jīng)濟總量水平與人均水平較低，可以通過擴大金融資產(chǎn)規(guī)模來促進經(jīng)濟增長；湖南省與湖北省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平領(lǐng)先，，但從金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長的因果方向出發(fā)，應(yīng)將重點由擴大資產(chǎn)規(guī)模轉(zhuǎn)向建立良性的金融與經(jīng)濟互相作用機制上。
[Abstract]:Financial problems are one of the core problems in modern economic research. Financial development and economic growth are inextricably linked. In December 2004, the Central Economic work Conference established the national strategy of "the rise of the central region." at the same time, the financial forum of the six provinces on the rise of the central region threw out "the rise of the central region," However, scholars have not reached a unified conclusion on the causal direction between financial development and economic growth. How to promote economic growth through the development of finance in the six central provinces? This paper focuses on six central provinces (Anhui Province, Jiangxi Province, Henan Province, Shanxi Province, Hunan Province and Hubei Province). This paper studies the regional differences in the relationship between financial development and economic growth in six central provinces. Its theoretical significance lies in the study of the relationship between financial development and economic growth in the six central provinces. It can further enrich people's understanding of the relationship between financial development and economic growth, and to some extent make up for the deficiency of the research on the difference between regional financial development and regional economic growth. In the overall strategy of regional development in China, the six central provinces play the role of "connecting the east with the west, running from the south to the north", which is an important hub to maintain the overall coordinated and sustainable development. The study of the relationship between its financial development and economic growth is conducive to the government proceeding from the reality. To formulate economic and financial policies in order to promote economic and financial development in the central region. On the basis of comprehensively explaining the interaction mechanism between financial development and economic growth and summarizing the existing research methods, this paper examines the level of financial development from three angles: the degree of financial deepening, the scale of financial assets and the financial efficiency. GDP per capita growth rate measured by the level of economic growth. In the link of empirical analysis, using the stability test, cointegration test and Granger causality test to analyze the financial development index and economic growth index of the six central provinces, respectively. The results of the test are as follows:. There is a highly positive correlation between financial development and economic growth in Shanxi Province, but there is no Granger causality among the indicators. The economic growth of the other five provinces is the Granger cause of financial deepening. There is only a one-way causal relationship between financial deepening and economic growth in Henan Province. The expansion of financial assets in Anhui Province and Jiangxi Province is the Granger cause of economic growth. Its financial efficiency is the Granger cause of economic growth, the economic growth of Hunan Province and Hubei Province is the Granger cause of the expansion of financial assets, and its financial efficiency is the Granger reason of economic growth. According to the above results, the six central provinces are divided into Anhui Province, Hunan Province, Henan Province and Jiangxi Province, Hubei Province, Shanxi Province, and the differences are analyzed. Shanxi Province's "excessive financial deepening", the financial development separated from the rapid development of the real economy; Henan Province's financial deepening degree is not enough, the huge amount of financial assets can be better utilized; Anhui Province's financial deepening speed is fast, and it should be developed reasonably. Beware of excessive deepening; the low level of economic aggregate and per capita in Jiangxi Province can promote economic growth by expanding the scale of financial assets; Hunan Province and Hubei Province have a leading level of economic development. However, from the causal direction of financial development and economic growth, the emphasis should be shifted from expanding the scale of assets to establishing a benign mechanism of interaction between finance and economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：江西財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127;F832.7;F224

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