發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-02-22 15:34

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 山東省 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn) SSM法 主成分分析　出處：《蘭州商學(xué)院》2013年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：山東省目前的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展面臨許多關(guān)鍵性的問(wèn)題：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式粗約化、資源浪費(fèi)嚴(yán)重、經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)失衡、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不合理等等問(wèn)題�！笆濉币�(guī)劃明確提出要轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式，落實(shí)貫徹科學(xué)發(fā)展觀，實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)又好又快發(fā)展。 本文運(yùn)用產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)熵、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)相似度指數(shù)、就業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)偏離度和偏差系數(shù)、偏離—份額分析法（SSM法）全面分析評(píng)價(jià)改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進(jìn)特征；利用主成分分析法找出了山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)的影響因素，，最后提出相應(yīng)的政策建議。 主要內(nèi)容的結(jié)構(gòu)安排如下：第一章引言介紹研究背景、意義和目的、研究方法以及本文創(chuàng)新與不足。第二章論述了有關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)的經(jīng)典理論和國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀，并對(duì)相關(guān)研究做了簡(jiǎn)要評(píng)述。第三章首先分析了改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)，山東省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展與演進(jìn)的大體趨勢(shì)，包括三次產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)以及三次產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部。其次利用多個(gè)統(tǒng)計(jì)指標(biāo)實(shí)證分析改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)過(guò)程和特征。第四章選取了17個(gè)相關(guān)指標(biāo)，建立了山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響因素的指標(biāo)體系，利用主成分方法找出了影響山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)的主要因素。第五章提出相關(guān)的政策建議。第一產(chǎn)業(yè)的調(diào)整要注意兩個(gè)方面:一是要以科技帶動(dòng)生產(chǎn)方式轉(zhuǎn)型，努力實(shí)現(xiàn)由傳統(tǒng)部門(mén)向現(xiàn)在部門(mén)的轉(zhuǎn)變，二是要加快林業(yè)和農(nóng)業(yè)服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展。第二產(chǎn)業(yè)的調(diào)整重點(diǎn)在改變粗放的增長(zhǎng)方式，走新型工業(yè)化道路；合理選擇主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)，升級(jí)傳統(tǒng)產(chǎn)業(yè)，淘汰落后產(chǎn)業(yè)。應(yīng)該大力發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè)，特別是加快現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展，重點(diǎn)在發(fā)展生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)；培育戰(zhàn)略新興產(chǎn)業(yè)，改造整合傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)業(yè)。 本文的主要結(jié)論：改革開(kāi)放至今，山東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展迅速，三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、三次產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)被不斷優(yōu)化，基本符合工業(yè)化的規(guī)律。消費(fèi)需求、城市化和對(duì)外貿(mào)易等的變化是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)的主要?jiǎng)恿�。仍然面臨許多關(guān)鍵性問(wèn)題，第一產(chǎn)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化水平不夠，勞動(dòng)力冗余，勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率低，林業(yè)、現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展不足；第二產(chǎn)業(yè)高級(jí)化程度不夠，增長(zhǎng)方式粗放，環(huán)境污染嚴(yán)重；第三產(chǎn)業(yè)以傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)業(yè)為主，缺乏現(xiàn)代性服務(wù)業(yè)，而且產(chǎn)值、就業(yè)比重低。
[Abstract]:The current economic development of Shandong Province is faced with many key problems: rough economic growth mode, serious waste of resources, imbalance of economic structure, unreasonable industrial structure, etc. The 12th Five-Year Plan clearly proposes to change the mode of economic growth. Implementation of the scientific concept of development to achieve sound and rapid economic development. This paper uses the entropy of industrial structure, the similarity index of industrial structure, the deviation degree and deviation coefficient of employment industrial structure, the SSM method of deviation-share analysis) to analyze and evaluate the evolution characteristics of industrial structure in Shandong Province since the reform and opening up. This paper finds out the influencing factors of the evolution of industrial structure in Shandong Province by principal component analysis, and finally puts forward corresponding policy suggestions. The main contents are as follows: the first chapter introduces the background, significance and purpose of the research, the research methods and the innovation and deficiency of this paper. Chapter two discusses the classical theory of industrial structure evolution and the current research situation at home and abroad. The third chapter analyzes the general trend of the development and evolution of Shandong's industrial structure since the reform and opening up. It includes the structure of output value and employment of three industries and the internal structure of three industries. Secondly, the evolution process and characteristics of industrial structure in Shandong Province since reform and opening up have been empirically analyzed by using a number of statistical indicators. Chapter 4th selects 17 related indicators. The index system of influencing factors of industrial structure in Shandong Province is established. By using the principal component method, we find out the main factors that influence the evolution of industrial structure in Shandong Province. Chapter 5th puts forward relevant policy recommendations. The adjustment of the primary industry should pay attention to two aspects: first, the transformation of production mode should be driven by science and technology. The second is to speed up the development of forestry and agricultural services. The focus of the adjustment of the secondary industry is to change the extensive growth pattern and take a new road to industrialization; and to rationally select the leading industries. In order to upgrade traditional industries and eliminate backward industries, we should vigorously develop the tertiary industry, especially the development of modern service industries, with emphasis on developing producer services, cultivate strategic emerging industries, and reform and integrate traditional services. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: since the reform and opening up to the outside world, the economy of Shandong Province has developed rapidly, the tertiary industrial structure, the employment structure and the internal structure of the tertiary industry have been continuously optimized, basically in line with the laws of industrialization. The changes of urbanization and foreign trade are the main driving force of the evolution of industrial structure, and still face many key problems, such as insufficient level of modernization of primary industry, redundant labor force, low labor productivity, insufficient development of forestry and modern agricultural service industry. The secondary industry is not advanced enough, the growth mode is extensive, the environment pollution is serious, the tertiary industry is based on the traditional service industry, lacks the modern service industry, and the output value is low, the employment proportion is low.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：蘭州商學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F279.2;F127

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