本文關(guān)鍵詞： 出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu) 出口貢獻(xiàn)率 拉動(dòng)效應(yīng) 經(jīng)貿(mào)合作　出處：《湖南大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：中國(guó)和印度，作為兩個(gè)最大的發(fā)展中國(guó)家，隨著其經(jīng)濟(jì)和貿(mào)易的迅猛發(fā)展，吸引了全世界越來(lái)越多的目光。 近年來(lái)，中印兩國(guó)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人頻繁接觸，政治和經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域的合作不斷加強(qiáng)。目前，中國(guó)和印度分別作為世界上第一位、第五位的對(duì)外貿(mào)易大國(guó)，彼此之間的貿(mào)易依賴(lài)關(guān)系也是不言而喻的。印度已經(jīng)成為中國(guó)的十大貿(mào)易伙伴之一，且是我國(guó)南亞地區(qū)的第一大貿(mào)易國(guó)；到2011年，中國(guó)已經(jīng)超越美國(guó)成為印度第一大貿(mào)易伙伴國(guó)。印度對(duì)中國(guó)的貿(mào)易依賴(lài)性相對(duì)而言要更高一些。 基于WIOD提供的1995~2009年投入產(chǎn)出表中（35×35部門(mén)）中印兩國(guó)對(duì)外出口貿(mào)易和雙邊貿(mào)易的數(shù)據(jù)，本文分析兩國(guó)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的變化，，分產(chǎn)業(yè)和部門(mén)計(jì)算兩國(guó)由出口形成的GDP、出口對(duì)GDP形成的貢獻(xiàn)率、單位出口貢獻(xiàn)系數(shù)以及出口增長(zhǎng)對(duì)GDP增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)率，比較了中印兩國(guó)對(duì)外出口貿(mào)易的異同，探討了兩國(guó)之間的貿(mào)易關(guān)系。中印兩國(guó)的出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)不管是從世界的角度還是雙邊的角度都在不斷優(yōu)化，技術(shù)水平不斷上升，但中國(guó)的出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)改善程度要高于印度。中印在部門(mén)的出口貢獻(xiàn)率和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)拉動(dòng)效應(yīng)方面存在差異，兩國(guó)之間并不構(gòu)成完全的貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)，而是存在明顯上升的互補(bǔ)性趨勢(shì)。因此中印之間應(yīng)該擴(kuò)大經(jīng)貿(mào)合作，發(fā)揮優(yōu)勢(shì)互補(bǔ)，促進(jìn)兩國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整和技術(shù)水平的提升，實(shí)現(xiàn)“雙贏(yíng)”的局面。 通過(guò)以上宏觀(guān)層面的中印對(duì)外出口貿(mào)易總體數(shù)據(jù)詳盡分析，以及微觀(guān)層面部門(mén)的數(shù)據(jù)指標(biāo)測(cè)算，可以得出，中國(guó)和印度在為各自在世界貿(mào)易的份額提高感到欣慰的同時(shí)，應(yīng)該重視貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)內(nèi)部的變化，特別是中印雙邊貿(mào)易的主要部門(mén)之間的轉(zhuǎn)變，這有助于中印充分利用兩國(guó)資源，發(fā)揮優(yōu)勢(shì)互補(bǔ)，促進(jìn)雙方產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整，使出口增長(zhǎng)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響效應(yīng)多表現(xiàn)為正的拉動(dòng)作用。這也為中國(guó)與其它發(fā)展中國(guó)家如何開(kāi)展良好的貿(mào)易關(guān)系，促進(jìn)中國(guó)與廣大發(fā)展中國(guó)家的經(jīng)貿(mào)政治往來(lái)提供新的、更為全面的借鑒依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:China and India, as the two largest developing countries, have attracted more and more attention from the world with the rapid development of their economy and trade. In recent years, the leaders of China and India have been in frequent contact with each other, and cooperation in the political and economic fields has been continuously strengthened. At present, China and India are the first and 5th largest foreign trade countries in the world, respectively. It is also self-evident that India has become one of China's ten trading partners and is the largest trading country in South Asia. By 2011, China had overtaken the United States as India's largest trading partner. India's trade dependence on China was relatively higher. Based on the data of export trade and bilateral trade between China and India in the input-output table from 1995 to 2009 provided by WIOD, this paper analyzes the changes in the structure of export trade between China and India. The contribution rate of export to GDP, the contribution coefficient of unit export and the contribution rate of export growth to GDP growth are calculated by industry and sector. This paper compares the similarities and differences between China and India's foreign export trade and probes into the trade relations between the two countries. The structure of export trade between China and India is constantly optimized from both the world and bilateral perspectives. The technological level is rising, but China's export trade structure has improved more than India's. There are differences between China and India in terms of sector export contribution rate and economic growth pull effect. China and India should expand economic and trade cooperation and complement each other with each other. To promote the adjustment of domestic industrial structure and technological level of the two countries to achieve a "win-win" situation. Through the above macro-level analysis of the overall data of Sino-Indian foreign export trade, as well as the micro-level sector of the data indicators, we can get. While China and India are pleased to see their share of world trade increase, they should pay attention to the changes in the structure of trade, especially among the major sectors of bilateral trade between China and India. This will help China and India make full use of the resources of the two countries, give full play to their complementary advantages, and promote the adjustment of the industrial structure of both sides. Most of the effects of export growth on economic growth are positive, which is also how China and other developing countries develop good trade relations. Promoting economic, trade and political exchanges between China and developing countries provides a new and more comprehensive basis for reference.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F752.62;F753.51;F124;F135.1

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