吉林省稅收收入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的實(shí)證研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞:吉林省稅收收入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的實(shí)證研究 出處:《吉林財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 宏觀稅負(fù) 結(jié)構(gòu)分析 DEA 影響因素 協(xié)整分析 Granger因果檢驗(yàn)
【摘要】:振興東北老工業(yè)基地,是黨中央、國務(wù)院做出的重大決策,主要為促進(jìn)區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展而制定的總體戰(zhàn)略。對促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長的各種因素,經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們進(jìn)行了很多的研究,在市場經(jīng)濟(jì)中,稅收作為一項(xiàng)政府行為是不可缺少的,同時,也是財政收入的主要來源。稅收的增長與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展是密不可分的,一方面稅收由經(jīng)濟(jì)決定,另一方面稅收又反作用于經(jīng)濟(jì),對經(jīng)濟(jì)起著重要的作用。 首先,本文系統(tǒng)地闡述了宏觀稅負(fù)的一般理論,采用比較分析法,從橫向的角度,把吉林省與全國各省和東北三省進(jìn)行比較;再從縱向的角度,分地區(qū)、分產(chǎn)業(yè)、分行業(yè)對吉林省宏觀稅負(fù)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行全面研究,從不同的角度來研究分析吉林省宏觀稅負(fù)水平,同時也分析了吉林省的稅收彈性。 然后,從微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)的角度,在對宏觀稅負(fù)水平分析的基礎(chǔ)上,用Eviews構(gòu)建吉林省稅收增長模型和吉林省稅收收入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的協(xié)整模型。模型一全面考慮影響稅收收入的各項(xiàng)因素,運(yùn)用OLS方法和SPSS方差擴(kuò)大因子法分析各經(jīng)濟(jì)因素對稅收的影響程度,盡最大可能的貼合現(xiàn)實(shí)情況。模型二研究稅收收入和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的長期穩(wěn)定均衡關(guān)系,通過Granger因果檢驗(yàn),研究稅收收入和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的影響關(guān)系。模型三運(yùn)用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析方法(DEA)對吉林省的稅收征管效率進(jìn)行了分析。 最后,,本文在總結(jié)歸納的基礎(chǔ)上,從優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展前景等方面提出一些可行性建議,從而促進(jìn)吉林省稅收收入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的協(xié)調(diào)可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:The revitalization of the old industrial base in Northeast China, the CPC Central Committee, the State Council to make major decisions, the overall strategy for promoting the coordinated development of regional development. The various factors to promote economic growth, economists have made a lot of research in the market economy, the tax revenue as a government behavior is indispensable, at the same time, the main source of is the fiscal revenue. Revenue growth and economic development are inseparable, a tax decided by economy, on the other hand the tax back to economy, plays an important role in the economy.
First of all, this paper systematically expounds the general theory of macro tax burden, by using the method of comparative analysis, from the horizontal angle, the Jilin Province, compared with other provinces and northeastern provinces; from the longitudinal angle, region, industry, industry of Jilin Province, the macro tax burden structure to a comprehensive study from different angles to study the macro tax burden of Jilin Province, but also analyzes the tax elasticity in Jilin province.
Then, from the perspective of micro economic effects, based on the analysis of macro tax burden on the construction of the Jilin province tax revenue growth model in Jilin province and the tax revenue and economic growth cointegration model with Eviews model. A comprehensive consideration of the factors that influence the tax revenue, using the OLS method and the SPSS variance of economic factors on the influence degree of each the tax scale factor analysis as much as possible to fit the reality. The long-run equilibrium relationship between model two of tax revenue and economic growth, through the Granger causality test, study the impact between tax revenue and economic growth. The relationship between the three models using data envelopment analysis (DEA) of Jilin province for tax collection efficiency the analysis.
Finally, based on the summary, this paper puts forward some feasible suggestions from the aspects of optimizing the industrial structure and the development prospect of the third industry, so as to promote the coordinated and sustainable development between Jilin's tax revenue and economic growth.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F127;F812.42;F224
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