本文關(guān)鍵詞：我國(guó)省際區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異與技術(shù)選擇的時(shí)間演變分析　出處：《暨南大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異 省際邊緣區(qū)域差異值 技術(shù)選擇 面板數(shù)據(jù)

【摘要】：區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的平衡與否始終是研究我國(guó)總體經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的核心問(wèn)題之一，但是運(yùn)用技術(shù)選擇理論來(lái)探討我國(guó)內(nèi)部各地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差距的文獻(xiàn)卻不多，這顯然給本文的研究提供了一個(gè)很好的方向。本文著重研究我國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異與技術(shù)選擇的關(guān)系，主要研究?jī)?nèi)容包括四部分：首先，比較測(cè)算區(qū)域差異的不同方法，選取最合適的測(cè)算方法表示我國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異水平，并分析我國(guó)各區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異的演變過(guò)程與未來(lái)變動(dòng)趨勢(shì)；然后，在分析我國(guó)各區(qū)域資本存量變動(dòng)軌跡的基礎(chǔ)上，計(jì)算各個(gè)區(qū)域技術(shù)選擇值的變化過(guò)程并分類(lèi)分析；再次，通過(guò)模型的比較分析，，建立適宜的面板數(shù)據(jù)模型，綜合分析我國(guó)各區(qū)域技術(shù)選擇對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異的影響，將我國(guó)31個(gè)省市自治區(qū)按兩者關(guān)系進(jìn)行分類(lèi)歸納；最后，給出減少區(qū)域差異的可行性建議。 研究結(jié)果：（1）經(jīng)過(guò)對(duì)不同測(cè)算方法優(yōu)劣勢(shì)的比較，本文選用“省際邊緣差異法”來(lái)測(cè)算我國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異值，發(fā)現(xiàn)我國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異變動(dòng)不符合倒“U”假說(shuō)，沿海省市和中、西部人口數(shù)目多的省份（四川、河南等）邊緣差異值比重大，優(yōu)先提高我國(guó)省際邊緣差異值比重大的省份，有助于更快速更顯著地減少我國(guó)省際間差異；（2）我國(guó)各省市正處于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展第二、第三階段，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)依賴于資本和勞動(dòng)力，沿海地區(qū)和中部的湖北，北方的內(nèi)蒙古和黑龍江的技術(shù)選擇指數(shù)大，中部大多省份的技術(shù)選擇值低于西部不發(fā)達(dá)省份，分析得出技術(shù)選擇值不是越大越好，找到適宜該省市發(fā)展的技術(shù)選擇才是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的正向途徑；（3）建立變系數(shù)變截距面板模型，發(fā)現(xiàn)大多數(shù)技術(shù)知識(shí)密集型省份（中國(guó)沿海地區(qū)）、少量偏資本密集型省份當(dāng)前的技術(shù)選擇是適宜經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的，保持當(dāng)前技術(shù)選擇類(lèi)型有助于提高經(jīng)濟(jì)水平，縮小區(qū)域差異，主要?jiǎng)趧?dòng)密集型省份的技術(shù)選擇對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展起負(fù)作用，應(yīng)該轉(zhuǎn)變技術(shù)選擇類(lèi)型，使其適宜經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展，此部分是本文的創(chuàng)新之一，將描述差異的“邊緣差異值”、描述各地區(qū)技術(shù)選擇的“技術(shù)選擇指數(shù)值”和表明兩者之間關(guān)系的“技術(shù)選擇指數(shù)系數(shù)”、“個(gè)體固定人均GDP差異傾向”結(jié)合分析，做到讓結(jié)果更真實(shí)更有意義。
[Abstract]:The balance of regional economic development is always one of the core issues in the study of the overall economic development of China, but there are few documents using the theory of technology choice to explore the economic development gap in various regions of our country. This obviously provides a good direction for the study of this paper. This paper focuses on the relationship between regional economic differences and technological choice in China. The main research content includes four parts: first. Compare the different methods of measuring regional differences, select the most appropriate method to express the level of regional economic differences in China, and analyze the evolution process and future trends of regional economic development differences in China. Then, on the basis of analyzing the change track of regional capital stock in China, the change process of each regional technology selection value is calculated and classified. Thirdly, through the comparative analysis of the model, set up a suitable panel data model, comprehensive analysis of the impact of regional technology selection on regional economic development differences. The 31 provinces and autonomous regions in China are classified and summarized according to the relationship between the two. Finally, some feasible suggestions to reduce regional differences are given. Through the comparison of the advantages and disadvantages of different measuring methods, this paper chooses the "provincial margin difference method" to calculate the regional economic development difference value of our country. It is found that the variation of regional economic differences in China does not accord with the inverted "U" hypothesis, and the marginal differences in coastal provinces and provinces with large populations in the western part of the country (Sichuan, Henan, etc.) have a large proportion. It is helpful to reduce the difference between provinces more rapidly and significantly by giving priority to the provinces with a large proportion of the provincial margin difference. China's provinces and cities are in the second and third stage of economic development, economic growth depends on capital and labor, coastal areas and central Hubei, northern Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang technology choice index is large. The technological choice value of most provinces in central China is lower than that of the underdeveloped provinces in the west. The analysis shows that the greater the technological choice value is, the better the technological choice is, and finding the technological choice suitable for the development of the province and city is the positive way of economic development. 3) the variable coefficient variable intercept panel model is established, and it is found that the current technology selection of most of the technology-intensive provinces (coastal areas of China, a small number of capital-intensive provinces) is suitable for economic development. Maintaining the current type of technology choice is helpful to improve the economic level and reduce regional differences. The choice of technology in the main labor-intensive provinces plays a negative role in economic development, and the type of technology choice should be changed. To make it suitable for economic development, this part is one of the innovations of this paper, which will describe the "margin difference value" of the difference. The "technical choice index value", the "technical choice index coefficient" which indicates the relationship between the two, and the combination analysis of "individual fixed per capita GDP difference tendency" are used to describe the technological choice index value of each region. Make the results more real and meaningful.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：暨南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F224;F127

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