本文選題：中國房地產(chǎn) + 泡沫��； 參考：《西安科技大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來，中國的房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)快速發(fā)展，投資量和銷售量都大幅度增加。房地產(chǎn)業(yè)已經(jīng)成為我國國民經(jīng)濟支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)之一，促進了我國經(jīng)濟的繁榮。然而，快速發(fā)展并不代表發(fā)展的合理與高效，供求結(jié)構(gòu)的不平衡，房價高位運行我國房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展中的主要問題。中國政府近年來對房地產(chǎn)加大調(diào)控力度，各種政策不斷出臺，以促進房地產(chǎn)價格的理性回歸，，十八大又重申了對房地產(chǎn)的調(diào)控是穩(wěn)定的方向，不能放松。 本文對房地產(chǎn)泡沫的定義和相關(guān)理論進行了總結(jié)歸納，在此基礎(chǔ)上，對中國房地產(chǎn)市場的現(xiàn)狀進行了分析。文中選取了不同的指標對泡沫進行了測度，在對統(tǒng)計年鑒的數(shù)據(jù)整理的基礎(chǔ)上，運用需求因素模型和Ramsey模型對當前的泡沫水平進行了實證分析。分析表明我國房地產(chǎn)市場存在泡沫。 房地產(chǎn)泡沫形成有供求兩方面的原因。我國土地資源的稀缺性，過度的金融支持，加之租賃市場欠發(fā)達，投機氛圍濃厚，促成了房價高位運行，滋生了房地產(chǎn)泡沫。房地產(chǎn)泡沫的危害很大，應該及時得到遏制。由于虛擬經(jīng)濟的虛假繁榮，金融風險加大，房價過高也引起了投機猖獗，實體經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展受到打擊，經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)失衡，社會道德滑坡，這都不利于和諧社會的建設(shè)。 本文借鑒美國、日本、新加坡等國政策措施的經(jīng)驗教訓，提出了我國控制房地產(chǎn)泡沫的對策建議。在土地方面增加有效供給，同時拓展融資渠道，減小金融風險。政府的調(diào)控政策也應當穩(wěn)定，從而引導公眾的預期以及資金的合理流向，發(fā)展實業(yè)。國家應該建立更完善的保障住房系統(tǒng)，來保障中低收入人群的住房問題。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China's real estate industry has developed rapidly, investment and sales volume have increased significantly. The real estate industry has become one of the pillar industries of our national economy and promoted the prosperity of our economy. However, the rapid development does not represent the reasonable and efficient development, the imbalance of supply and demand structure, and the main problems in the development of the real estate industry in our country. In recent years, the Chinese government has stepped up the regulation and control of real estate, and various policies have been introduced to promote the rational return of real estate prices, and the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China has reiterated that the regulation and control of real estate is a stable direction and cannot be relaxed. In this paper, the definition of real estate bubble and related theories are summarized, and on this basis, the current situation of China's real estate market is analyzed. In this paper, different indexes are selected to measure the bubble. On the basis of the statistical yearbook data collation, the demand factor model and Ramsey model are used to analyze the current bubble level empirically. The analysis shows that there is a bubble in our real estate market. Real estate bubble formation has two reasons for supply and demand. The scarcity of land resources, excessive financial support, underdeveloped rental market and strong speculative atmosphere have contributed to the high operation of house prices and created a real estate bubble. Real estate bubble harm is very big, should be contained in time. Because of the fictitious prosperity of fictitious economy, the increase of financial risk, the high house price also causes the speculation rampant, the development of the real economy is hit, the economic structure is out of balance, the social morals is declining, all these are unfavorable to the construction of the harmonious society. This paper draws lessons from the policies and measures of the United States, Japan and Singapore, and puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for controlling the real estate bubble in China. Increase effective supply of land, at the same time expand financing channels, reduce financial risks. The government's regulation and control policy should be stable so as to guide the public's expectation and the reasonable flow of capital to develop industry. The country should establish a better housing system to protect the housing problems of low-and middle-income people.
【學位授予單位】：西安科技大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23

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