【摘要】：隨著我國改革開放事業(yè)不斷深入發(fā)展,市場化進程不斷推進,世界經(jīng)濟一體化的趨勢越來越明顯,FDI一直在持續(xù)大量流入我國。FDI的進入對促進我國經(jīng)濟增長、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級、技術(shù)進步、人力資源的開發(fā)以及管理水平的提升都起到了重要作用。但是不可否認,隨著FDI的不斷流入,給我國經(jīng)濟帶來的負面影響也逐漸受到關(guān)注。FDI會對東道國國內(nèi)投資產(chǎn)生擠入擠出效應(yīng),這一課題一直以來都是學術(shù)界關(guān)注的熱點,國內(nèi)外許多學者都對這一問題進行過研究,但是研究的結(jié)論卻存在較大差異。 我國正處在經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)的轉(zhuǎn)型期,市場化腳步不斷加快,但是大多數(shù)學者在研究FDI對我國國內(nèi)投資的影響時都忽視了兩個重要的問題。第一,市場環(huán)境(制度)因素對FDI與國內(nèi)投資之間關(guān)系的影響；第二,沒有將國內(nèi)投資進一步區(qū)分國有投資和私人投資來研究。 本文以市場化進程為視角研究了宏觀制度因素對泛珠三角區(qū)域FDI與國內(nèi)私人投資之間關(guān)系的影響。首先,闡述了本文的研究背景,并對已有的相關(guān)文獻進行了總結(jié),得到了本文的研究目的和意義,并在此基礎(chǔ)上提出了本文的兩大研究假設(shè)。其次,重點分析了FDI對我國私人投資擠入擠出效應(yīng)的理論機制。最后,運用泛珠三角區(qū)域1995—2012年數(shù)據(jù),建立面板數(shù)據(jù)模型和狀態(tài)空間模型,以FDI和FDI與市場化的交互項為兩個核心解釋變量,實證檢驗了在我國市場化進程中FDI對我國私人投資的影響。研究結(jié)果顯示：第一,在我國目前經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型的背景下,市場化程度的提高會促進FDI對國內(nèi)私人投資的擠入效應(yīng)。第二,隨著市場化程度的不斷提高,FDI對國內(nèi)私人擠入效應(yīng)的邊際效率是遞減的。
[Abstract]:With the deepening development of China's reform and opening up and the continuous advancement of the market-oriented process, the trend of world economic integration is becoming more and more obvious. FDI has been continuously flowing into China's .FDI to promote the economic growth of our country and upgrade the industrial structure. Technological progress, the development of human resources and the promotion of management have played an important role. However, it is undeniable that with the continuous inflow of FDI, the negative impact on our economy will gradually be concerned about the crowding out effect on the host country's domestic investment, which has always been a hot topic in academic circles. Many scholars at home and abroad have studied this problem, but the conclusions are quite different. China is in the transition period of economic structure, and the pace of marketization is speeding up, but most scholars ignore two important problems when studying the influence of FDI on our domestic investment. First, the influence of market environment (institutional) factors on the relationship between FDI and domestic investment; second, no further research on the distinction between state-owned investment and private investment. From the perspective of market-oriented process, this paper studies the influence of macro institutional factors on the relationship between FDI and domestic private investment in the Pan-Pearl River Delta region. First of all, the research background of this paper is expounded, and the existing related literature is summarized, and the purpose and significance of this paper are obtained. On this basis, two major research hypotheses are put forward. Secondly, the theoretical mechanism of the crowding out effect of FDI on private investment in China is analyzed. Finally, the panel data model and the state space model are established using the data from 1995 to 2012 in the Pan-Pearl River Delta region. The interaction between FDI and FDI and marketization is taken as the two core explanatory variables. The effect of FDI on China's private investment in the process of marketization is tested empirically. The results show that: first, under the background of China's current economic transformation, the improvement of the degree of marketization will promote the crowding effect of FDI on domestic private investment. Second, with the increasing of marketization, the marginal efficiency of FDI to the domestic private crowding effect is decreasing.
【學位授予單位】：海南大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.6;F832.48

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