【摘要】：由2007年美國次貸危機引起的全球性金融危機一波未平,歐洲債務危機一波又起,這使得對世界經(jīng)濟二次探底的擔憂始終未能消除,也使得人們需要重新審視經(jīng)濟增長與金融發(fā)展的關系。國外學者對該領域的研究起步較早,理論研究趨于完善,實證成果較為豐富。國內(nèi)學者結合我國實際數(shù)據(jù)進行實證研究的比較多,且大多集中在國家層面和發(fā)達省份的層面上。 近年來,吉林省經(jīng)濟和金融增長速度較快,但起步晚、基礎較差,整體發(fā)展較為滯后。由此考慮選擇將吉林省作為研究對象,以期對今后發(fā)展提出建議更具現(xiàn)實意義。本文現(xiàn)從理論方面,分析吉林省金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長之間的影響關系。通過收集吉林省金融和經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的實際數(shù)據(jù),對其進行趨勢分析,總結發(fā)展的特點,歸納制約發(fā)展的因素和問題。另一方面,從實證角度,選取經(jīng)濟增長、金融業(yè)整體、銀行業(yè)、保險業(yè)、證券業(yè)等相應指標,利用VAR模型描述吉林省金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長之間的影響關系。Granger因果關系檢驗分析指標間的因果關系,利用脈沖響應函數(shù)表達指標受到?jīng)_擊時對整個系統(tǒng)的影響,用方差分解定量分析指標對經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻度。結合兩方面結論,從促進金融創(chuàng)新、提高金融體系市場化程度、促進省內(nèi)金融機構均衡分布等角度提出建議,希望通過推動吉林省的金融發(fā)展能對經(jīng)濟增長做出更大的貢獻。
[Abstract]:The global financial crisis caused by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2007 and the debt crisis in Europe have risen again and again, which has made it impossible to allay concerns about the secondary bottoming out of the world economy. It also makes it necessary to re-examine the relationship between economic growth and financial development. Foreign scholars started early in this field, the theoretical research tends to perfect, and the empirical results are more abundant. There are many empirical studies based on the actual data in China, and most of them focus on the national level and the developed provinces. In recent years, Jilin Province's economic and financial growth rate is relatively fast, but the start is late, the foundation is poor, and the overall development lags behind. So it is important to choose Jilin Province as the research object in order to put forward some suggestions for the future development. In this paper, the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Jilin Province is analyzed theoretically. By collecting the actual data of financial and economic development in Jilin Province, this paper analyzes the trend, summarizes the characteristics of development, and sums up the factors and problems that restrict the development of Jilin Province. On the other hand, from an empirical point of view, select economic growth, financial sector as a whole, banking, insurance, securities and other relevant indicators, The VAR model is used to describe the influence relationship between financial development and economic growth in Jilin Province. Granger causality test is used to analyze the causal relationship between the indicators and the impulse response function is used to express the impact on the whole system when the indexes are impacted. Variance decomposition was used to quantitatively analyze the contribution of indicators to economic growth. Combined with two conclusions, this paper puts forward some suggestions from the angles of promoting financial innovation, improving the degree of marketization of financial system and promoting the balanced distribution of financial institutions in the province, hoping that the financial development of Jilin Province can make a greater contribution to the economic growth through promoting the financial development of Jilin Province.
【學位授予單位】：東北師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;F832.7

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