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基于EKC的昆明市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境污染關(guān)系研究

發(fā)布時間:2019-01-18 08:50
【摘要】:隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速增長以及城市化進(jìn)程的推進(jìn),當(dāng)代我們?nèi)祟惷媾R著越來越多的環(huán)境問題。因為全球環(huán)境日趨惡化,愈來愈多的人敏銳地意識到這一關(guān)乎人類生存問題的重要性。在很多國家,環(huán)境情況已成為制定政策必不可少的因素,,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境污染的關(guān)系也受到愈來愈多的學(xué)者的關(guān)注。 本文采用1999-2011年昆明市的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境污染進(jìn)行了回歸分析,選用工業(yè)廢水、工業(yè)煙塵、工業(yè)SO2、和工業(yè)粉塵排放量作為本研究的環(huán)境污染指標(biāo)。經(jīng)濟(jì)增長指標(biāo)采用的是人均GDP,通過建立人均GDP與所選環(huán)境污染指標(biāo)的計量模型并分析了兩者之間關(guān)系,得出如下結(jié)論:除了工業(yè)二氧化硫與人均GDP之間則呈現(xiàn)線性上升關(guān)系之外,工業(yè)廢水排放量、工業(yè)粉塵排放量和工業(yè)煙塵排放量的環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線都呈現(xiàn)正“U”型。在實證研究的基礎(chǔ)上,論文提出了昆明市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境實現(xiàn)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展對策建議。 論文共分五部分。第一部分為緒論。本部分闡述了研究昆明市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境污染的重要意義,然后通過經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境污染相關(guān)研究述評探討研究昆明市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境污染的方法,最后提出研究的基本思路與技術(shù)路線。第二部分為基礎(chǔ)概念和相關(guān)理論介紹。對EKC理論以及工業(yè)化階段理論進(jìn)行了闡述。第三部分為昆明市的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境污染現(xiàn)狀分析。包括昆明市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長狀況分析、環(huán)境質(zhì)量及主要污染物狀況分析、工業(yè)化發(fā)展階段分析。第四部分為昆明市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境污染關(guān)系的實證分析。具體包括模型的構(gòu)建、實證檢驗和結(jié)果分析等。第五部分提出了昆明應(yīng)加快產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與優(yōu)化、加快技術(shù)創(chuàng)新與應(yīng)用等對策建議。
[Abstract]:With the rapid growth of economy and the advancement of urbanization, human beings are facing more and more environmental problems. As the global environment deteriorates, more and more people are acutely aware of the importance of this problem. In many countries, environmental conditions have become an indispensable factor in policy making, and the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution has attracted more and more scholars' attention. Based on the relevant data of Kunming City from 1999 to 2011, the regression analysis of economic growth and environmental pollution was carried out. Industrial wastewater, industrial smoke dust, industrial SO2, and industrial dust emissions were selected as the environmental pollution indexes of this study. The economic growth index adopts the per capita GDP, to establish the econometric model of the per capita GDP and the selected environmental pollution index, and analyzes the relationship between the two. The conclusions are as follows: in addition to the linear relationship between industrial sulfur dioxide and per capita GDP, the environmental Kuznets curve of industrial wastewater discharge, industrial dust emission and industrial smoke emission all show positive "U" shape. On the basis of empirical research, the paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for coordinated development between economic growth and environment in Kunming. The paper is divided into five parts. The first part is the introduction. This part describes the significance of studying Kunming's economic growth and environmental pollution, and then discusses the methods of studying Kunming's economic growth and environmental pollution through the review of related research on economic growth and environmental pollution. Finally, the basic thinking and technical route of the research are put forward. The second part is the introduction of basic concepts and related theories. The theory of EKC and the theory of industrialization stage are expounded. The third part is the analysis of Kunming's economic growth and environmental pollution. It includes the analysis of Kunming's economic growth, environmental quality and main pollutants, and the stage of industrialization. The fourth part is the empirical analysis of the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution in Kunming. It includes the construction of model, empirical test and result analysis. The fifth part puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions, such as speeding up the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure, speeding up technological innovation and application in Kunming.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:云南師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F127;X22

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