【摘要】：本文研究的主要目的是通過評(píng)價(jià)體系模型,從所有制層面對(duì)云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力和公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力水平進(jìn)行綜合評(píng)價(jià);并從區(qū)域?qū)用鎸⒃颇鲜∨c重慶市的非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力進(jìn)行對(duì)比評(píng)價(jià)、對(duì)云南省部分州市的非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力水平進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)并排序。最后,通過建立組合預(yù)測模型對(duì)云南省及其16個(gè)州市未來五年的非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)增加值進(jìn)行預(yù)測。針對(duì)本文研究的目的和內(nèi)容,采用文獻(xiàn)研究法、定量分析法、定性分析法和實(shí)證方法進(jìn)行分析研究。本文首先介紹了云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)的研究理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。并通過概念闡述、文獻(xiàn)分析以及經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論的介紹,找到研究云南非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)的基本方法。通過對(duì)非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力的研究能更好的為云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展提出相關(guān)意見和建議。其次,通過分析云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,找出存在的問題,如:規(guī)模問題、企業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)問題、融資問題等,從而為研究云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展找到分析的邏輯起點(diǎn)。再次,設(shè)計(jì)所有制層面非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力評(píng)價(jià)模型,評(píng)價(jià)云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)與公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)的競爭力之間的差異;設(shè)計(jì)區(qū)域?qū)用娣枪兄平?jīng)濟(jì)競爭力評(píng)價(jià)模型,比較分析云南省和重慶市的非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力綜合指數(shù),在此基礎(chǔ)上進(jìn)一步分析評(píng)價(jià)云南省部分州市的非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力水平。利用層次分析法對(duì)所有制層面競爭力水平進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià);運(yùn)用主成分分析法對(duì)區(qū)域?qū)用娓偁幜λ竭M(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià);利用灰色預(yù)測模型、多項(xiàng)式趨勢(shì)擬合模型、指數(shù)平滑模型、指數(shù)模型整合成為組合模型,對(duì)云南省及其16個(gè)州市未來5年的非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)增加值進(jìn)行預(yù)測。利用SPSS軟件、Eviews軟件和EXCEL軟件進(jìn)行數(shù)據(jù)分析。從所有制層面分析結(jié)果來看,近十年以來,云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力均高于公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力,且兩者之間差距在逐漸加大。從區(qū)域?qū)用娣治鼋Y(jié)果來看,云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力與重慶非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力交替領(lǐng)先,但云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)能力不及重慶市的非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)。對(duì)云南11個(gè)州市非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力水平分析,云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭力存在明顯區(qū)域差異。預(yù)計(jì)到2020年,云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)增加值將達(dá)到8413.71億元(以2005年為基期)。最后,對(duì)云南省非公有制經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展提出了出臺(tái)相關(guān)政策、完善法規(guī)體系、調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)及企業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、拉動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚、完善融資機(jī)制等對(duì)策和建議。
[Abstract]:The main purpose of this paper is to comprehensively evaluate the competitiveness of non-public economy and public ownership economy of Yunnan Province from the ownership level through the evaluation system model. At the regional level, the competitiveness of non-public economy in Yunnan Province and Chongqing is compared and evaluated, and the competitiveness level of non-public ownership economy in some cities of Yunnan Province is evaluated and sorted. Finally, the added value of non-public economy in Yunnan Province and its 16 cities in the next five years is forecasted by establishing a combined forecasting model. In view of the purpose and content of this paper, the literature research method, quantitative analysis method, qualitative analysis method and empirical method are used to analyze and study. This paper first introduces the research theory and practical significance of Yunnan non-public economy. And through the concept elaboration, the literature analysis and the economic theory introduction, finds the research Yunnan non-public ownership economy basic method. Through the research on the competitiveness of non-public economy, we can put forward some suggestions and suggestions for the development of Yunnan's non-public ownership economy. Secondly, by analyzing the current situation of the development of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province, we find out the existing problems, such as scale problem, enterprise structure problem, financing problem and so on, so as to find the logical starting point for the study of the development of Yunnan non-public ownership economy. Thirdly, design the evaluation model of non-public ownership economy competitiveness, evaluate the difference between Yunnan non-public ownership economy and public ownership economy competitiveness, design regional non-public ownership economy competitiveness evaluation model, The comprehensive index of non-public economy competitiveness in Yunnan Province and Chongqing is compared and analyzed. On this basis, the competitiveness level of non-public ownership economy in some cities of Yunnan Province is further analyzed and evaluated. AHP is used to evaluate the level of competitiveness at ownership level; principal component analysis is used to evaluate competitiveness level at regional level; grey forecasting model, polynomial trend fitting model, exponential smoothing model are used. The index model is integrated into a combination model to predict the added value of non-public economy in Yunnan province and its 16 cities in the next five years. SPSS software Eviews and EXCEL software are used for data analysis. From the view of ownership, the competitiveness of non-public economy in Yunnan Province is higher than that of public economy in recent ten years, and the gap between the two is gradually increasing. The regional analysis shows that the competitive power of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province is in the lead with that of Chongqing economy, but the ability to predict risk and resist risk is not as good as that of non-public ownership economy in Chongqing. Based on the analysis of the competitiveness level of non-public ownership economy in 11 cities of Yunnan Province, there are obvious regional differences in the competitiveness of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province. It is estimated that by 2020, the added value of Yunnan non-public economy will reach 841.371 billion yuan (base period in 2005). Finally, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions on the development of non-public ownership economy in Yunnan Province, such as issuing relevant policies, perfecting the legal system, adjusting the structure of industries and enterprises, stimulating industrial agglomeration, perfecting financing mechanism, and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F121.23

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