【摘要】：改革開放以來,我國經(jīng)濟不斷增長,工業(yè)化的推進速度不斷加快,但隨之而來的經(jīng)濟問題也著實令人擔憂。經(jīng)濟增長和環(huán)境質量似乎是一對矛盾體,二者相互作用,相互影響,但其內在的作用機制并不是顯而易見的。為了解決這一問題,首要的就是去發(fā)現(xiàn)它們相互作用的規(guī)律。這么多年以來,國內外很多學者基于這個問題做了各種研究、各種嘗試,不同學者有不同的研究方法和研究結果,但這其中最具代表性的是由庫茲涅茨提出的EKC“倒U型”曲線假說。目前,東北地區(qū)對這方面的研究并不多,更多的研究都是針對較發(fā)達的地區(qū)。但東北地區(qū)作為老工業(yè)基地,資源消耗量、污染物排放量都較多,對該地區(qū)進行研究及時發(fā)現(xiàn)其經(jīng)濟增長與環(huán)境質量的內在作用機制,進而制定正確的解決方案更是意義重大。本文將環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線理論應用于東北地區(qū),用1993年到2012年東北地區(qū)的環(huán)境和經(jīng)濟指標對該理論進行驗證,試圖發(fā)現(xiàn)該地區(qū)經(jīng)濟與環(huán)境的變化規(guī)律。得出的結論如下： 1.選取六方面的環(huán)境絕對量和相對量指標(共12個)與經(jīng)濟指標(人均GDP)進行回歸分析,得到的曲線有“U型”、“N型”、“倒N型”等,而非環(huán)境庫茲涅茨“倒U型”曲線,這意味著該假說存在一定局限性。并非在所有地區(qū)、所有時期都使用,具體問題還要具體分析。 2.工業(yè)“三廢”的絕對排放量和工業(yè)廢氣的相對排放量(排放強度)等環(huán)境指標隨經(jīng)濟的增長而呈現(xiàn)惡化的態(tài)勢,其他環(huán)境指標隨之呈現(xiàn)向好態(tài)勢。 3.對環(huán)境污染物的絕對排放量和相對排放量與經(jīng)濟指標的擬合結果進行比較分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟增長對污染物排放強度的負面影響小于對絕對排放量的負面影響。 4.通過對東北地區(qū)環(huán)境和經(jīng)濟關系的研究分析,提出優(yōu)生優(yōu)育,提高人口質量、加強耕地利用的可持續(xù)性、優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結構,促進經(jīng)濟轉型發(fā)展、加快技術創(chuàng)新,倡導低碳生產(chǎn)、改善環(huán)保投資結構,提高環(huán)保投資效率等政策建議以促進東北地區(qū)經(jīng)濟持續(xù)健康發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the economy of our country has been growing continuously, and the speed of industrialization has been speeding up, but the following economic problems are also worrisome. Economic growth and environmental quality seem to be a pair of contradictions, they interact and affect each other, but their internal mechanism is not obvious. In order to solve this problem, the first thing is to discover the law of their interaction. Over the years, many scholars at home and abroad have made various studies and made various attempts based on this problem. Different scholars have different research methods and research results. But the most representative is the EKC "inverted U" curve hypothesis put forward by Kuznets. At present, there are few researches on this aspect in Northeast China, and more researches are aimed at the more developed areas. However, as an old industrial base, there are more resource consumption and pollutant discharge in Northeast China. It is very important to find out the internal mechanism of its economic growth and environmental quality in time, and to make a correct solution. In this paper, the environmental Kuznets curve theory is applied to the northeast region, and the environmental and economic indexes of the northeast region from 1993 to 2012 are used to verify the theory, and try to find out the law of economic and environmental change in this region. The conclusions are as follows: 1. The regression analysis of six aspects of environmental absolute and relative indexes (12) and economic indicators (per capita GDP) shows that the curves obtained include "U type", "N type", "inverted N type" and so on, instead of "inverted U type" curve of environmental Kuznets. This means that the hypothesis has some limitations. Not all regions, all periods of time use, specific problems need to be analyzed. 2. The absolute emissions of industrial "three wastes" and the relative emissions (emission intensity) of industrial waste gas have deteriorated with the economic growth, and other environmental indicators have shown a positive trend. 3. By comparing and analyzing the fitting results between the absolute and relative emissions of environmental pollutants and economic indicators, it is found that the negative effects of economic growth on the emission intensity of pollutants are less than those on absolute emissions. 4. Based on the research and analysis of the relationship between environment and economy in Northeast China, it is put forward that, to improve the quality of population, to enhance the sustainability of cultivated land use, to optimize industrial structure, to promote economic transformation and development, to speed up technological innovation, and to advocate low-carbon production. Improving the structure of environmental protection investment and improving the efficiency of environmental protection investment can promote the sustainable and healthy development of economy in Northeast China.
【學位授予單位】：東北師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;F224;X22

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 趙濤;李fE煜;;能源-經(jīng)濟-環(huán)境(3E)系統(tǒng)協(xié)調度評價模型研究[J];北京理工大學學報(社會科學版);2008年02期

2 周靜;楊桂山;戴胡爽;;經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與環(huán)境退化的動態(tài)演進——環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線研究進展[J];長江流域資源與環(huán)境;2007年04期

3 沈鋒;;上海市經(jīng)濟增長與環(huán)境污染關系的研究——基于環(huán)境庫茲涅茨理論的實證分析[J];財經(jīng)研究;2008年09期

4 姚煥玫;唐國滔;莫創(chuàng)榮;王東波;雷曉霞;胡霞;;基于環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線的經(jīng)濟增長與環(huán)境質量實證研究[J];環(huán)境污染與防治;2010年11期

5 王立猛;何康林;;基于STIRPAT模型的環(huán)境壓力空間差異分析——以能源消費為例[J];環(huán)境科學學報;2008年05期

6 柯高峰;丁烈云;;洱海流域城鄉(xiāng)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與洱海湖泊水環(huán)境保護的實證分析[J];經(jīng)濟地理;2009年09期

7 楊丹輝;李紅莉;;地方經(jīng)濟增長與環(huán)境質量——以山東省域為例的庫茲涅茨曲線分析[J];經(jīng)濟管理;2011年03期

8 司光南;;人口—經(jīng)濟系統(tǒng)的協(xié)調度分析[J];統(tǒng)計與決策;2008年04期

9 肖臘珍;向曉祥;;湖北經(jīng)濟增長與環(huán)境質量關系的庫茲涅茨曲線分析[J];統(tǒng)計與決策;2010年04期

10 任玉瓏;甘文媛;陽忠明;;我國電能-環(huán)境系統(tǒng)協(xié)調度綜合評價研究及應用[J];中國人口.資源與環(huán)境;2008年03期

，

本文編號：2126525