本文選題：空間相互作用 + 經(jīng)濟增長��； 參考：《人口與經(jīng)濟》2016年04期

【摘要】：基于以往研究對空間相互作用方向性考慮不足的事實,文章以長三角133個縣市為例,構(gòu)建了融合新經(jīng)濟地理學與中心地理論的理論框架,將表征空間需求關聯(lián)的總體市場潛能細分為來自同層級、高等級、低等級三個方向,利用空間計量模型估計了總體及不同方向的空間相互作用對長三角地區(qū)人均GDP增長與人口增長的效應。結(jié)果顯示:在控制空間依賴導致的間接溢出效應等因素后,并未發(fā)現(xiàn)存在要素價格絕對調(diào)整或要素數(shù)量絕對調(diào)整的證據(jù),總體市場潛能的提高同時促進了城市人均GDP增長與人口增長;就不同方向的空間相互作用而言,大城市的自身發(fā)展有利于中等城市的人均GDP增長,大城市之間、大城市對下級城市、小城市對上級城市形成了人口增長的良性互動格局,而中等城市之間以及中等城市對大城市的人口增長則表現(xiàn)為回流效應。
[Abstract]:Based on the fact that spatial interaction directionality has not been considered enough in previous studies, this paper takes 133 counties and cities in the Yangtze River Delta as an example to construct a theoretical framework to integrate new economic geography and central land theory. Subdividing the overall market potential associated with spatial demand into three directions: the same level, the higher level, and the lower level. The spatial econometric model is used to estimate the effects of spatial interaction on GDP growth and population growth in the Yangtze River Delta region. The results show that after controlling the indirect spillover effect caused by spatial dependence, there is no evidence of absolute adjustment of factor price or absolute adjustment of factor quantity. The improvement of the overall market potential also promotes the growth of GDP per capita and population growth in cities; in terms of spatial interaction in different directions, the development of large cities is conducive to the growth of GDP per capita in medium cities, and between large cities, The positive interaction pattern of population growth between big cities and lower cities and small cities with higher cities is formed, while the population growth between middle cities and large cities shows the effect of backflow.
【作者單位】： 華東師范大學中國現(xiàn)代城市研究中心;華東師范大學城市與區(qū)域科學學院;
【基金】：國家自然科學基金項目(41471139) 上海哲學社會科學規(guī)劃項目(2014BCK003) 華東師范大學優(yōu)秀博士學位論文培育項目(PY2015001)
【分類號】：F127

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