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中國經濟增長的源泉與動能轉換:1952-2015

發(fā)布時間:2018-06-21 05:14

  本文選題:經濟增長 + 增長源泉; 參考:《經濟問題探索》2017年09期


【摘要】:中國經濟放緩已經成為一個世界級的經濟現(xiàn)象。關注中國經濟增長源泉與動能轉換對于有效治理經濟減速、促進結構轉型,無疑具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義。鑒于此,本文基于1952-2015年數(shù)據(jù),運用歷史比較法就當前中國經濟減速背后的成因進行了客觀分析,在可變要素彈性下測度了中國經濟增長的動力來源,并將其TFP(全要素生產率)分解為技術進步、技術效率、規(guī)模效應和要素配置效應,進一步挖掘TFP黑箱。最后本文建議繼續(xù)全面深化改革,破除動力轉換的制度障礙;繼續(xù)推進供給側結構性改革,深化需求側管理;構建TFP考核指標,保障要素的自由流動等。
[Abstract]:China's economic slowdown has become a world-class economic phenomenon. There is no doubt that paying attention to the source of Chinese economic growth and the transformation of kinetic energy is of great practical significance for effectively managing the economic slowdown and promoting the structural transformation. In view of this, based on the data from 1952 to 2015, this paper makes an objective analysis of the causes behind the current economic slowdown in China by using the historical comparative method, and measures the power sources of China's economic growth under the variable element elasticity. The TFP (Total Factor Productivity) is decomposed into technological progress, technical efficiency, scale effect and factor allocation effect, and further excavates the TFP black box. Finally, this paper proposes to continue to deepen the reform in an all-round way, to break down the institutional barriers to power transformation; to continue to promote supply-side structural reform and deepen demand-side management; to construct TFP assessment indicators to ensure the free flow of elements, and so on.
【作者單位】: 中國航空綜合技術研究所;華中科技大學經濟學院;華中科技大學國家治理研究院;
【基金】:國家重點研發(fā)計劃“NQI對國民經濟和社會發(fā)展貢獻研究”(2016YFF0204202),項目負責人:蔣家東 國家社科基金重大項目“基于創(chuàng)新驅動的產業(yè)結構優(yōu)化升級研究”(12&ZD045),項目負責人:張建華
【分類號】:F124.1


本文編號:2047387

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