安徽省進口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)促進經(jīng)濟增長的研究
本文選題:安徽省進口貿(mào)易 + 技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)。 參考:《安徽大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:在開放的經(jīng)濟系統(tǒng)中,決定一國技術(shù)進步的力量不僅僅是本國對研究開發(fā)的投入所帶來的研發(fā)資本存量的累積,也來自于通過各種渠道溢出的國外研發(fā)投入所帶來的研發(fā)資本存量的累積。溢出的國外研發(fā)資本對于經(jīng)濟水平和研究開發(fā)實力較弱的發(fā)展中國家顯得更為重要:首先,發(fā)展中國家的研究開發(fā)受到本國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平的限制;其次,對外界已有知識和技術(shù)的重復(fù)研究與開發(fā)本身就是對資源的浪費。 進口貿(mào)易為國外對本國的技術(shù)溢出提供了一個渠道。通過引進國外先進的最終產(chǎn)品和高品質(zhì)的中間產(chǎn)品,可以直接或間接地提高一國的生產(chǎn)率水平。更重要的是,通過“干中學(xué)”效應(yīng)、演示和培訓(xùn)效應(yīng)等,一國可以了解與學(xué)習(xí)到進口產(chǎn)品中所蘊含的國外的先進技術(shù),并經(jīng)過吸收、模仿與二次創(chuàng)新,實現(xiàn)本國的技術(shù)進步和經(jīng)濟增長。 理論界對進口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的研究自20世紀(jì)90年代后逐步深入,研究基本上都是從國家層面上展開的。本文則從省際的角度出發(fā),以安徽省為視角研究進口貿(mào)易的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)促進安徽省經(jīng)濟增長的問題。本文從理論結(jié)合實際的角度闡述了進口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)促進經(jīng)濟增長的傳導(dǎo)機制及其影響因素,并對安徽省進口貿(mào)易與技術(shù)進步的現(xiàn)狀進行了深入的分析。在此基礎(chǔ)上,本文利用擴展的CH模型,從不考慮人力資本因素和考慮到人力資本因素兩個方面對安徽省進口貿(mào)易的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)促進經(jīng)濟增長進行了檢驗,得到以下三方面結(jié)論:(1)安徽省進口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)存在:在不考慮人力資本因素的情況下,經(jīng)進口貿(mào)易渠道溢出的國外研發(fā)資本存量每增長一個百分點,安徽省全要素生產(chǎn)率將增加0.244個百分點;在將人力資本因素納入考察后,經(jīng)進口貿(mào)易渠道溢出的國外研發(fā)資本存量每增長一個百分點,安徽省全要素生產(chǎn)率將增加0.026個百分點。(2)省內(nèi)研發(fā)資本對安徽省全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長具有正向促進作用:在不考慮人力資本因素的情況下,省內(nèi)研發(fā)資本存量每增長一個百分點,全要素生產(chǎn)率增加0.064個百分點;而加入人力資本因素后,省內(nèi)研發(fā)資本存量每增長一個百分點,全要素生產(chǎn)率增加0.071個百分點。(3)安徽省人力資本不足限制了進口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)對全要素生產(chǎn)率的促進作用:在考慮到人力資本因素后,省內(nèi)研發(fā)資本存量對安徽省全要素生產(chǎn)率的促進作用有所增強,而經(jīng)進口貿(mào)易渠道溢出的國外研發(fā)資本存量對安徽省全要素生產(chǎn)率的促進作用顯著減弱;谇拔姆治龅慕Y(jié)果,本文提出了相關(guān)的對策建議:擴大安徽省進口貿(mào)易規(guī)模,優(yōu)化進口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu);提升省內(nèi)人力資本水平,從而加強對進口貿(mào)易外溢技術(shù)的吸收能力;加大省內(nèi)研發(fā)資本投入,加快自主創(chuàng)新的步伐。最后對全文進行了總結(jié),并提出了一些不足之處,針對這些不足之處提出了后續(xù)研究的方向,即研究展望:(1)可將安徽省進口貿(mào)易的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)與周邊發(fā)達省份進行對比,使我們更加清晰地認(rèn)識到安徽省進口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的水平及與發(fā)達省份之間的差距;(2)實證考察安徽省某行業(yè)或產(chǎn)業(yè)進口貿(mào)易的技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng),使我們了解到不同行業(yè)或產(chǎn)業(yè)進口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的強弱情況;(3)綜合考察人力資本、進口滲透率、貿(mào)易開放度等多變量對安徽省進口貿(mào)易技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng)的影響,以獲得更加全面和客觀的結(jié)果。
[Abstract]:In an open economy system , the power to determine the technological progress of a country is not only the accumulation of R & D capital stock brought by domestic investment in research development , but also the accumulation of R & D capital stock brought by the overseas R & D investment overflowing through various channels . The foreign R & D capital overflowing is more important to the developing countries with weaker economic level and research and development power : firstly , the research and development of developing countries are limited by their level of economic development ;
Secondly , the repeated research and development of external knowledge and technology is the waste of resources .
Import trade provides a channel for foreign technology spillover abroad . By introducing foreign advanced final products and high - quality intermediate products , the productivity level of a country can be improved directly or indirectly . More importantly , through the " dry middle school " effect , demonstration and training effect , a country can understand and learn the advanced technology of foreign countries contained in the import product , and through absorption , imitation and secondary innovation , realize national technological progress and economic growth .
This paper studies the spillover effect of import trade in Anhui Province from the perspective of inter - provincial perspective , and analyzes the current situation of import trade in Anhui province .
After the human capital factor is included in the investigation , the foreign R & D capital stock overflowing through the import trading channel increases by one percentage point , and the whole factor production rate of Anhui province will be increased by 0.026 percentage points . ( 2 ) The capital inventory in the province increases by one percentage point per growth without considering the human capital factor , and the total factor productivity is increased by 0.064 percentage points ;
After the human capital factor is added , the capital stock in the province is increased by one percentage point , the total factor productivity is increased by 0.071 percentage points . ( 3 ) The shortage of human capital in Anhui province limits the promotion of the whole factor productivity of Anhui province .
To improve the level of human capital in the province , thus enhancing the absorptive capacity of the imported trade spillover technology ;
The paper summarizes the full text and puts forward some shortcomings , and puts forward some shortcomings , and puts forward some shortcomings , which is the research prospect : ( 1 ) The technology spillover effect of import trade in Anhui province is compared with the peripheral developed provinces , which makes us more clearly aware of the level of the spillover effect of import trade in Anhui province and the gap between developed provinces ;
( 2 ) To investigate the technical spillover effect of import trade in some industries or industries in Anhui province , and make us know the intensity and weakness of the spillover effects of import trade in different industries or industries ;
( 3 ) To comprehensively study the effects of many variables such as human capital , import permeability and trade openness on the spillover effects of import trade in Anhui Province , so as to obtain more comprehensive and objective results .
【學(xué)位授予單位】:安徽大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F752.61;F124.1
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