本文選題：經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展 + 要素貢獻(xiàn)　； 參考：《浙江工商大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來,浙江省和江蘇省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展均取得了舉世矚目的成就,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長水平、人民生活水平在全國均名列前茅。但是,近幾年在人均GDP、GDP增長率等經(jīng)濟(jì)增長指標(biāo)上,浙江省逐漸失去了原有優(yōu)勢,被江蘇超越并且差距逐漸拉大,相對于江蘇,浙江的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長速度已經(jīng)在減緩。對于這一現(xiàn)象,已經(jīng)引起了學(xué)者和政府的廣泛關(guān)注。 浙江省和江蘇省同屬長江三角洲經(jīng)濟(jì)圈,位置毗鄰,區(qū)位優(yōu)勢相近。是什么原因?qū)е抡憬?jīng)濟(jì)增長滯后于江蘇?浙江和江蘇經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的根本差異在哪里?本研究希望通過詳細(xì)的數(shù)據(jù)對比,深入的實(shí)證分析,反映蘇浙兩省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的演化趨勢,揭示蘇浙兩省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)鍵驅(qū)動因素,探尋江蘇經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展的根本原因,并反思浙江在經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中存在的問題,為有關(guān)部門制定相關(guān)政策提供依據(jù)。 本研究著重從以下幾個方面展開研究。首先,本研究從經(jīng)濟(jì)增長水平、人民生活水平、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展要素和政府政策支持四個方面,對浙江省和江蘇省從2000-2012年的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的描述和對比分析。其次,本研究測算了蘇浙兩省消費(fèi)率、投資率,并基于GDP支出法公式測算了消費(fèi)、投資和凈出口對GDP的拉動率和貢獻(xiàn)率,以比較三大需求在蘇浙兩省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長中的貢獻(xiàn)大小。再次,本文基于C-D生產(chǎn)函數(shù),利用索羅余值法測算了兩省2000-2012年TFP值以及TFP增長率,以此反映科技進(jìn)步對于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的貢獻(xiàn)大小。最后,利用全國30個省市自治區(qū)2000-2012年的面板數(shù)據(jù),基于擴(kuò)展的C-D函數(shù),建立面板數(shù)據(jù)分析模型,估算了資本存量、從業(yè)人員、FDI、教育投入和研發(fā)投入五項(xiàng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展要素的產(chǎn)出彈性,并測算了各要素對經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的貢獻(xiàn)率。 研究結(jié)果表明：近些年浙江省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長水平和增長速度確實(shí)落后于江蘇,但浙江省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)更為合理,浙江省的人民生活水平以及生活保障水平明顯高于江蘇,政府更為關(guān)注民生發(fā)展。分析發(fā)現(xiàn),現(xiàn)階段,浙江省的人力資本水平落后于江蘇省,科技進(jìn)步水平低于江蘇省,并且科技進(jìn)步貢獻(xiàn)率的落后可能是浙江省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長落后于江蘇省的主要原因。同時分析發(fā)現(xiàn),浙江省教育投入強(qiáng)度大、研發(fā)活動對于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展貢獻(xiàn)大,因此浙江未來經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?jié)摿谩?br/>[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Zhejiang Province and Jiangsu Province have made remarkable achievements in economic development, the level of economic growth, people's living standards are among the highest in the country. However, in recent years, Zhejiang Province has gradually lost its original advantages in terms of per capita GDP growth rate and other economic growth indicators, and has been overtaken by Jiangsu and gradually widened the gap. Compared with Jiangsu, the economic growth rate of Zhejiang Province has been slowing down. For this phenomenon, has aroused the widespread concern of scholars and the government. Zhejiang Province and Jiangsu Province belong to the Yangtze River Delta economic circle, adjacent location, similar geographical advantages. What is the reason why Zhejiang's economic growth lags behind Jiangsu's? Where is the fundamental difference between Zhejiang and Jiangsu's economic development? This study hopes to reflect the evolution trend of the economic development of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces through detailed data comparison and in-depth empirical analysis, to reveal the key driving factors of the economic growth of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces, and to explore the fundamental reasons for the rapid economic development of Jiangsu Province. It also reflects on the problems existing in Zhejiang's economic development, and provides the basis for relevant departments to formulate relevant policies. This study focuses on the following aspects. Firstly, from four aspects of economic growth level, people's standard of living, economic development factors and government policy support, this study makes a detailed description and comparative analysis on the economic development of Zhejiang Province and Jiangsu Province from 2000 to 2012. Secondly, the paper calculates the consumption rate and investment rate of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces, and calculates the pulling rate and contribution rate of consumption, investment and net export to GDP based on the formula of GDP expenditure method, in order to compare the contribution of the three major demands in the economic growth of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces. Thirdly, based on the C-D production function, this paper calculates the TFP value and the TFP growth rate of the two provinces from 2000 to 2012 by using the Solow residual value method, so as to reflect the contribution of scientific and technological progress to economic development. Finally, using the panel data of 30 provinces, cities and autonomous regions from 2000 to 2012, based on the extended C-D function, the panel data analysis model is established, and the capital stock is estimated. The output elasticity of five elements of economic development in education input and R & D investment is calculated and the contribution rate of each factor to economic development is calculated. The results show that the economic growth level and growth rate of Zhejiang Province lag behind Jiangsu Province in recent years, but the industrial structure of Zhejiang Province is more reasonable. The living standard and living security level of Zhejiang Province are obviously higher than those of Jiangsu Province. The government pays more attention to the development of people's livelihood. It is found that the level of human capital in Zhejiang Province lags behind that of Jiangsu Province, and the level of scientific and technological progress is lower than that of Jiangsu Province, and the backward contribution rate of scientific and technological progress may be the main reason for Zhejiang's economic growth lagging behind that of Jiangsu Province. At the same time, it is found that Zhejiang province has a great investment in education and great contribution to economic development, so Zhejiang will have better economic development potential in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127

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