本文選題：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) + 合理化�。� 參考：《首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來，我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展迅速，成就斐然。但是粗放型的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式使得我國經(jīng)濟(jì)矛盾日益突出，經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不可持續(xù)。同時(shí)，2008年開始的美國金融危機(jī)波及全球?qū)嶓w經(jīng)濟(jì)。經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的內(nèi)外部變化都促使產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)要做出相應(yīng)調(diào)整。一方面，，潛在GDP反映一國的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長潛力，它與一國長期經(jīng)濟(jì)增長和短期經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)密切相關(guān)。另一方面，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長也有著直接的相關(guān)關(guān)系。可見，經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展軌跡與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長潛力是否匹配決定著未來中國的經(jīng)濟(jì)走勢。對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)與潛在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率之間進(jìn)行研究，可以充分認(rèn)識(shí)和理解產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化對于我國潛在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率的影響，對推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)健康增長具有重要的理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文首先評述了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長、潛在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率的關(guān)系。然后在分析我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上，從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級(jí)化兩個(gè)角度來衡量我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是如何變動(dòng)的。最后通過構(gòu)建產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級(jí)化和合理化的度量指標(biāo)，采用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的分析方法實(shí)證分析了二者對我國潛在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率的影響。研究結(jié)果表明我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化能夠促進(jìn)潛在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長，但是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級(jí)化并未明顯促進(jìn)潛在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長。因此，本文建議在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化的基礎(chǔ)上應(yīng)積極推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級(jí)化，并對此提出相應(yīng)政策措施。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, our country's economy has developed rapidly and has made great achievements. However, the extensive economic growth mode has made the economic contradiction of our country increasingly prominent and the economic development is not sustainable. At the same time, the American financial crisis started in 2008 has affected the global real economy. The internal and external changes in economic development all promote the corresponding adjustment of the industrial structure. The potential GDP reflects the economic growth potential of a country, which is closely related to a country's long-term economic growth and short-term economic fluctuations. On the other hand, there is a direct correlation between industrial structure and economic growth. It can be seen that the match between economic development track and economic growth potential determines the economic trend of China in the future. The study of dynamic and potential economic growth rate can fully understand and understand the impact of industrial structure optimization on the potential economic growth rate in China, which is of great theoretical and practical significance to promote the sustained and healthy growth of the economy.
This paper first reviews the relationship between the industrial structure and economic growth and the potential economic growth rate. Then, on the basis of the analysis of the current situation of the industrial structure change in China, this paper measures how the industrial structure is changed from the two angles of rationalization of industrial structure and the advanced industrial structure. Finally, the advanced and rationalized industrial structure is constructed. The results show that the rationalization of the industrial structure in China can promote the potential economic growth, but the advanced industrial structure does not significantly promote the potential economic growth. Therefore, this paper suggests that the rationalization of the industrial structure should be rationalized in this paper. We should actively promote the upgrading of industrial structure and put forward corresponding policies and measures.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F124.1;F121.3

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