本文選題：廈門(mén)市 + 消費(fèi)城市��； 參考：《廈門(mén)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：處于改革開(kāi)放前沿的廈門(mén)經(jīng)濟(jì)特區(qū)正面臨著經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式轉(zhuǎn)型的迫切要求。構(gòu)建區(qū)域性消費(fèi)中心,有利于優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),提高經(jīng)濟(jì)效率,是實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式轉(zhuǎn)型的重要途徑。 本文首先梳理了消費(fèi)城市理論和消費(fèi)環(huán)境理論的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),發(fā)現(xiàn)未來(lái)的城市發(fā)展取決于城市在消費(fèi)方面所扮演的角色。其中,“消費(fèi)型城市”競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力最強(qiáng)、發(fā)展前景最佳,這是由于消費(fèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)使它們能夠抵御經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)。其次,結(jié)合廈門(mén)實(shí)際消費(fèi)情況,利用SWOT分析法分析廈門(mén)構(gòu)建區(qū)域性消費(fèi)中心的優(yōu)勢(shì)、劣勢(shì)、機(jī)遇和威脅。然后,利用社會(huì)消費(fèi)品零售總額、人均零售額、人均生產(chǎn)總值和城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收入四個(gè)指標(biāo)建立衡量實(shí)力消費(fèi)城市的科學(xué)指標(biāo)體系分析海西20個(gè)城市,并將廈門(mén)的消費(fèi)實(shí)力與其他19個(gè)城市進(jìn)行比較,發(fā)現(xiàn)廈門(mén)四個(gè)指標(biāo)配合突出,綜合排名第一位,最具成為區(qū)域性消費(fèi)中心的實(shí)力和可能性。接著,以廈門(mén)市1998-2012年的數(shù)據(jù),用非線性模型對(duì)影響廈門(mén)消費(fèi)需求的因素進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究。為保證模型結(jié)果的準(zhǔn)確性和有效性,先后進(jìn)行了單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)和誤差修正檢驗(yàn)等。實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)表明模型整體顯著。結(jié)果表明消費(fèi)需求與地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值、城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收入均存在長(zhǎng)期協(xié)整關(guān)系,并且受兩者短期波動(dòng)影響顯著；而與全社會(huì)固定資產(chǎn)投資、旅客數(shù)量雖然存在長(zhǎng)期協(xié)整關(guān)系,但受兩者短期波動(dòng)影響不顯著。最后,針對(duì)研究分析,提出廈門(mén)構(gòu)建區(qū)域性消費(fèi)中心的路徑與政策選擇。
[Abstract]:Xiamen Special Economic Zone, which is at the forefront of reform and opening up, is facing the urgent need of the transformation of economic growth mode. The construction of regional consumption center is beneficial to optimize industrial structure and improve economic efficiency. It is an important way to realize the transformation of economic growth mode. This paper first combs the relevant literature of the consumption city theory and the consumption environment theory, and finds that the future urban development depends on the role of the city in the consumption. Among them, "consumer cities" are the most competitive and have the best development prospects, because consumer industries enable them to withstand economic fluctuations. Secondly, according to the actual consumption in Xiamen, this paper analyzes the advantages, disadvantages, opportunities and threats of constructing regional consumption center in Xiamen by using SWOT analysis method. Then, using the four indexes of total retail sales of social consumer goods, per capita retail sales, per capita gross domestic product and per capita disposable income of urban residents, a scientific index system to measure the strength of consumer cities is established to analyze 20 cities in Hercynian. Comparing Xiamen's consumption strength with the other 19 cities, it is found that Xiamen's four indexes are outstanding and ranked first, and it is the most powerful and possible for Xiamen to become a regional consumption center. Then, based on the data of Xiamen from 1998 to 2012, the nonlinear model is used to study the factors that affect the consumption demand in Xiamen. In order to ensure the accuracy and validity of the model results, the unit root test, cointegration test and error correction test were carried out successively. Empirical test shows that the model is significant. The results show that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between consumption demand and regional gross domestic product and per capita disposable income of urban residents, which is significantly affected by the short-term fluctuations of both, and with the fixed asset investment of the whole society. Although there is a long-term cointegration relationship, the number of passengers is not significantly affected by both short-term fluctuations. Finally, in view of the research analysis, puts forward the Xiamen construction regional consumption center path and the policy choice.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廈門(mén)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F127

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相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

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本文編號(hào)：1910837