山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結構變遷對經(jīng)濟增長的影響研究
本文選題:產(chǎn)業(yè)結構 + 經(jīng)濟增長; 參考:《蘭州商學院》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:20世紀以來,產(chǎn)業(yè)結構調(diào)整與經(jīng)濟增長相互關系的研究一直是國內(nèi)外學者關注的重要內(nèi)容。世界經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展過程也是產(chǎn)業(yè)結構演變的過程。合理的產(chǎn)業(yè)結構不僅能提高產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部的發(fā)展水平,還有利于產(chǎn)業(yè)協(xié)調(diào)、健康發(fā)展,從而促進整個地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平的提高。改革開放以來,山東省經(jīng)濟增長迅速,伴隨著經(jīng)濟的增長,產(chǎn)業(yè)結構也在不斷優(yōu)化。而在我國即將進行的更深層次改革過程中,山東經(jīng)濟面臨著機遇和挑戰(zhàn)。這就要求山東省進行產(chǎn)業(yè)結構調(diào)整,從而把握機遇使經(jīng)濟得到更好的發(fā)展。 目前,針對產(chǎn)業(yè)結構變遷和經(jīng)濟增長關系的研究多以一國或者一個大的區(qū)域作為研究對象,對于某一省、市、縣的研究較少。而且針對山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結構與經(jīng)濟增長的關系研究多采用三次產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值與經(jīng)濟增長構建模型來進行研究。本文借鑒干春暉等人的研究方法,,從產(chǎn)業(yè)結構合理化、高度化的角度探討兩者關系。首先是對已有理論進行了總結和闡述;其次是做了山東省經(jīng)濟增長、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構調(diào)整的現(xiàn)狀分析;接著是以1980-2012年的統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)為分析對象,通過平穩(wěn)性檢驗、協(xié)整分析、格蘭杰檢驗等方法,對山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結構變遷與經(jīng)濟增長的關系進行了實證研究;最后針對上述研究中發(fā)現(xiàn)的一些問題,如各地區(qū)發(fā)展不均衡、虛高度化、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構不合理、農(nóng)業(yè)投入較低等,提出一些建議:深化農(nóng)村改革;加大對西部地區(qū)的政策、資金投入;大力發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè),提高教育水平和質(zhì)量來儲備人才等等。
[Abstract]:Since the 20th century, the research on the relationship between industrial structure adjustment and economic growth has been an important content of scholars at home and abroad. The development process of the world economy is also the process of the evolution of industrial structure. Reasonable industrial structure can not only improve the level of development within the industry, but also be conducive to the coordinated and healthy development of the industry, thus promoting the improvement of the level of economic development in the whole region. Since the reform and opening up, the economic growth of Shandong Province is rapid, along with the economic growth, the industrial structure is also constantly optimizing. In the process of further reform, Shandong economy is facing opportunities and challenges. This request Shandong province carries on the industrial structure adjustment, thus grasps the opportunity to make the economy obtain the better development. At present, the research on the relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth takes a country or a large region as the research object, but the research on a province, city and county is less. Moreover, the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth in Shandong Province is mainly studied by the construction model of three industrial output value and economic growth. Based on the research methods of Gan Chunhui and others, this paper discusses the relationship between the two from the point of view of rationalization and elevation of industrial structure. Firstly, it summarizes and expounds the existing theories; secondly, it analyzes the current situation of Shandong Province's economic growth and industrial structure adjustment; then, taking the 1980-2012 statistical data as the analysis object, through the stability test, cointegration analysis, By Granger test and other methods, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between the changes of industrial structure and economic growth in Shandong Province, and finally, aiming at some problems found in the above research, such as unbalanced development in various regions, virtual elevation, unreasonable industrial structure, etc. Some suggestions are put forward such as deepening the rural reform, increasing the policy and capital investment to the western region, vigorously developing the tertiary industry, improving the education level and quality to reserve talents and so on.
【學位授予單位】:蘭州商學院
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F127;F279.2
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