本文選題：環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì) + 環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線�。� 參考：《天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來天津市的經(jīng)濟(jì)呈現(xiàn)出較好的發(fā)展態(tài)勢,而環(huán)境質(zhì)量狀況堪憂。為了把天津市建設(shè)成為一個協(xié)調(diào)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的生態(tài)宜居城市,需要對天津市環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀和存在的問題進(jìn)行定性定量研究。對天津市的環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系進(jìn)行研究,為天津市盡快實(shí)現(xiàn)社會進(jìn)步、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與環(huán)境保護(hù)三者協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,構(gòu)建生態(tài)宜居和經(jīng)濟(jì)繁榮并重的現(xiàn)代化宜居城市具有重要的意義。以天津市經(jīng)濟(jì)與環(huán)境之間的關(guān)系為研究內(nèi)容,先對其進(jìn)行了理論研究；之后對天津市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境質(zhì)量的現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行統(tǒng)計分析；接著用主成份分析法得出反映這兩個方面的綜合指標(biāo),然后對天津市的環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)情況進(jìn)行了環(huán)境庫茲涅茨理論的實(shí)證分析,并計算出能夠反映天津市經(jīng)濟(jì)與環(huán)境關(guān)系的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展度,對天津市多年來環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展規(guī)律進(jìn)行描述；最后用向量自回歸(VAR)模型來分析天津市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與“工業(yè)三廢”之間的因果關(guān)系、影響時間以及影響程度。根據(jù)研究結(jié)果為天津市的經(jīng)濟(jì)和環(huán)境的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展提出了合理的參考建議。最后得到的主要結(jié)論為：天津市環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)之間的關(guān)系呈現(xiàn)“倒N型”的庫茲涅茨曲線關(guān)系；目前天津市的環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的狀況仍處于中度失調(diào)衰退類環(huán)境滯后型階段：天津市的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長主要由工業(yè)廢氣排放量和工業(yè)固體廢棄物產(chǎn)生量來帶動,其中工業(yè)廢氣排放量的波動對天津市的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有短期負(fù)面影響,工業(yè)固體廢棄物產(chǎn)生量的波動對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長GDP有正面長期的影響。論文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)有兩個：第一,在選取反映天津市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境質(zhì)量狀況的指標(biāo)方面：分別構(gòu)建了天津市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境質(zhì)量狀況的綜合指標(biāo),更全面而又準(zhǔn)確地反映出天津的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長情況和環(huán)境質(zhì)量狀況。第二,在研究方法方面：用環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線理論以及環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展度理論研究天津市的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境質(zhì)量現(xiàn)狀之間的關(guān)系是否協(xié)調(diào),并運(yùn)用VAR模型對天津市經(jīng)濟(jì)與環(huán)境協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展進(jìn)行定量研究,為天津市經(jīng)濟(jì)與環(huán)境的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展奠定了一定的基礎(chǔ)。
[Abstract]:In recent years, Tianjin's economy has shown a good development trend, but the environmental quality is worrying. In order to build Tianjin into an ecologically livable city with coordinated and sustainable development, it is necessary to carry out a qualitative and quantitative study on the present situation and problems of the coordinated development of environment and economy in Tianjin. The study on the relationship between environment and economy in Tianjin is of great significance to realize social progress, coordinate economic development and environmental protection, and construct a modern livable city with equal emphasis on ecological liveability and economic prosperity. Taking the relationship between economy and environment of Tianjin as the research content, this paper first carries on the theoretical research to it, then carries on the statistical analysis to the present situation of the economic growth and the environmental quality of Tianjin. Then we use the principal component analysis method to obtain the comprehensive indicators reflecting these two aspects, and then carry out the empirical analysis of environmental Kuznets theory on the environment and economic situation of Tianjin. The coordinated development degree of Tianjin's economy and environment is calculated, and the law of Tianjin's environmental and economic development is described for many years. Finally, the causality, time and degree of influence between Tianjin's economic growth and "three industrial wastes" are analyzed by using vector autoregressive model. Based on the results of the study, some reasonable suggestions are put forward for the coordinated development of economy and environment in Tianjin. Finally, the main conclusions are as follows: the relationship between environment and economy in Tianjin is "inverted N-type" Kuznets curve; At present, the coordinated development of environment and economy in Tianjin is still in the stage of moderate imbalance and recession. Tianjin's economic growth is mainly driven by industrial waste gas emissions and industrial solid waste production. The fluctuation of industrial waste gas emissions has a short-term negative impact on the economic growth of Tianjin, and the fluctuation of industrial solid waste production has a positive and long-term impact on the economic growth of GDP. There are two innovative points in the paper: first, in the selection of indicators reflecting the economic growth and environmental quality in Tianjin, the comprehensive indicators of Tianjin's economic growth and environmental quality are constructed, respectively. More comprehensive and accurate reflection of Tianjin's economic growth and environmental quality. Secondly, in the aspect of research methods: using the theory of environmental Kuznets curve and the degree of coordinated development between environment and economy, the paper studies whether the relationship between economic growth and environmental quality in Tianjin is in harmony. A quantitative study on the coordinated development of economy and environment in Tianjin is carried out by using VAR model, which lays a certain foundation for the coordinated development of economy and environment in Tianjin.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：X22;F127

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