本文選題：全要素生產(chǎn)率 + 供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革�。� 參考：《東岳論叢》2017年11期

【摘要】：基于索洛余值法計(jì)算的全要素生產(chǎn)率(TFP)顯示,全要素生產(chǎn)率是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要源泉,也是衡量經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量的重要指標(biāo)。推動(dòng)供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革和新舊動(dòng)能轉(zhuǎn)換的本質(zhì)是發(fā)展社會(huì)生產(chǎn)力,提高全要素生產(chǎn)率。我們以具有代表性的區(qū)域經(jīng)驗(yàn)數(shù)據(jù)為例,期望得出具有一般意義的結(jié)論。1979-2014年,山東全要素生產(chǎn)率不僅年平均增速較低,而且對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的年平均貢獻(xiàn)也較小。尤其過(guò)去10多年,全要素生產(chǎn)率增速呈下降趨勢(shì),經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的效果并不明顯,長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看,如果不能扭轉(zhuǎn)這一趨勢(shì),可能面臨經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退的困境。這意味著在經(jīng)濟(jì)新常態(tài)下,全要素生產(chǎn)率是一個(gè)地區(qū)唯一可持續(xù)的增長(zhǎng)動(dòng)力。因此,著力推進(jìn)以提高全要素生產(chǎn)率為核心內(nèi)容的供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革尤為重要。深化體制性改革、推進(jìn)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新和完善金融體系建設(shè)是提高全要素生產(chǎn)率、實(shí)現(xiàn)新舊動(dòng)能轉(zhuǎn)換的有效途徑。
[Abstract]:Total factor productivity (TFP) calculated based on Solow residual value method shows that total factor productivity is an important source of economic growth and an important index to measure the quality of economic growth. The essence of promoting supply-side structural reform and transformation of new and old kinetic energy is to develop social productivity and improve total factor productivity. Taking the representative regional experience data as an example, we expect to draw a conclusion of general significance. From 1979 to 2014, the annual average growth rate of total factor productivity in Shandong Province is not only low, but also the annual average contribution to economic growth is relatively small. Especially in the past 10 years, the growth rate of total factor productivity (TFP) has been decreasing, and the effect of economic structure optimization is not obvious. In the long run, if this trend can not be reversed, it may face the dilemma of economic recession. This means that in the new normal economy, total factor productivity is the only sustainable growth engine in a region. Therefore, it is particularly important to push forward supply-side structural reform with the core content of improving total factor productivity (TFP). Deepening the system reform, promoting technological innovation and perfecting the financial system are the effective ways to improve the total factor productivity and realize the conversion of new and old kinetic energy.
【作者單位】： 青島大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;上海熙德投資管理有限公司;
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F127
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本文編號(hào)：1847809