本文選題：經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展 + 動態(tài)監(jiān)測��； 參考：《浙江大學》2014年博士論文

【摘要】：目前,我國經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展面臨巨大的轉型升級壓力,同時又深受世界經(jīng)濟結構深度調(diào)整的影響,要從容應對這一發(fā)展環(huán)境以及該環(huán)境所提出的挑戰(zhàn),就必須堅持走經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展之路。為貫徹落實經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,必然要了解我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平,并明確我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素和影響機理,在此基礎上提出實現(xiàn)我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對策。在本研究中,集中解決五個重要問題：一是建構一套較為科學的動態(tài)監(jiān)測我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的指標體系；二是尋找合適的用于測度我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的模型；三是動態(tài)監(jiān)測我國橫向和縱向的經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平；四是探索我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素和影響機理；五是提出實現(xiàn)我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對策建議。為解決以上問題,本研究將采用定性與定量相結合的混合研究路徑進行研究。其中定性研究主要用于梳理已有相關文獻,并從系統(tǒng)論角度對我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展進行理論解析以及最后提出實現(xiàn)我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對策建議；定量研究則主要用于我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展指標體系的構建、我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平的動態(tài)監(jiān)測以及我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素及影響機理的探索。在具體操作過程中,也采用了多種研究方法,其中資料收集方法包括問卷調(diào)查法、文獻法以及頭腦風暴法等；資料分析法包括隸屬度分析、鑒別力分析、相關分析以及結構方程模型分析等。圍繞五個關鍵問題,在一定方法論的指導下,對我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展問題的研究取得了以下5個主要研究結論：①構建了較為科學的動態(tài)監(jiān)測我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的指標體系。本研究嚴格按照量表編制的程序進行指標體系的構建,最終形成了包含12個經(jīng)濟發(fā)展指標和14個社會發(fā)展指標的我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展動態(tài)監(jiān)測指標體系。②建立了監(jiān)測我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的模型。根據(jù)我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的內(nèi)涵,本研究認為監(jiān)測我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的模型至少滿足兩個條件：即要能測量我國經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展度,也能測量經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)度。依據(jù)這樣的理解,對離差系數(shù)進行了改造,構造了我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展動態(tài)監(jiān)測模型。③動態(tài)監(jiān)測了我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平。以我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展動態(tài)監(jiān)測指標體系為基礎,采集相關數(shù)據(jù),運用所構造的協(xié)調(diào)模型工具,分別對1986-2012年我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平以及2012年我國31個省、市、自治區(qū)的經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平進行了監(jiān)測。1986-2012年時間序列上的我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展指數(shù)表明,總體而言,我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平處于不斷上升趨勢,協(xié)調(diào)等級也從失調(diào)向協(xié)調(diào)轉變。從時間剖面上來看,2012年我國31個省、市、自治區(qū)的經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展指數(shù)差異較為明顯,從協(xié)調(diào)等級來看,我國31個省、市、自治區(qū)處于良好協(xié)調(diào)的有4個,處于中級協(xié)調(diào)的有8個,處于初級協(xié)調(diào)的有12個,處于勉強協(xié)調(diào)的有5個,處于瀕臨失調(diào)的有2個。④采用結構方程模型分析了我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素和影響機理。通過結構方程模型分析,估計了我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展影響因素以及影響因素對我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平的影響的大小。其中市場經(jīng)濟成熟度和政府宏觀調(diào)控有效度對我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)正面的積極影響,而公民社會成熟度則對我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展有負面影響。⑤提出了實現(xiàn)我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對策建議。根據(jù)經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的影響因素與影響機理的結構方程模型分析,從市場-政府-社會視角提出系統(tǒng)的促進我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對策,認為可以從完善社會主義市場經(jīng)濟體制、建立有限政府以及培養(yǎng)活力社會三個方面促進我國經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,最終形成市場主責、政府主導、社會主行的三大主體協(xié)同共治局面。
[Abstract]:At present, China's economic and social development faces great pressure of transformation and upgrading, and is deeply influenced by the depth adjustment of the world economic structure. To cope with this development environment and the challenges posed by this environment, we must adhere to the road of coordinated economic and social development. In order to carry out the coordinated development of economic society, we must understand our country. The level of economic and social development is coordinated and the influence and influence mechanism of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society are clearly defined. On this basis, the countermeasures are put forward to realize the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. In this study, five important problems are solved: one is to construct a more scientific and dynamic monitoring of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. The two is to find a suitable model to measure the coordinated development of our country's economy and society; the three is to dynamically monitor the horizontal and vertical economic and social coordinated development level of our country; the four is to explore the influencing factors and the influence mechanism of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society, and five to put forward the countermeasures to realize the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. In order to solve the above problems, this study will study the mixed research path of the combination of qualitative and quantitative. The qualitative research is mainly used to comb the existing literature and analyze the coordinated development of China's economy and society from the perspective of system theory and finally put forward the countermeasures and suggestions to realize the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. The quantitative research is mainly used in the construction of the economic and social coordinated development index system in China, the dynamic monitoring of the coordinated development level of our economy and society, the influencing factors and the mechanism of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. In the process of specific operation, many methods are used, among which the data collection methods include the question. The survey method, the literature method and the brainstorming method, etc. the data analysis method includes the membership degree analysis, the discriminative analysis, the correlation analysis and the structural equation model analysis. Under the guidance of the five key problems, the following 5 main conclusions are obtained in the study of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society under the guidance of a certain methodology: 1 A more scientific indicator system for dynamic monitoring of the coordinated development of economic and social development in China is built. This study is constructed strictly in accordance with the program compiled by the scale. Finally, a dynamic monitoring index system for coordinated development of economic and social development in China has been formed with 12 economic development indicators and 14 social development indicators. According to the connotations of coordinated economic and social development in China, according to the connotations of the coordinated development of our country's economy and society, this study holds that the model for monitoring the coordinated development of our country's economy and society meets at least two conditions: that is to measure the economic and social development of our country and to measure the coordination degree of the economy and society. According to this understanding, the coefficient of deviation is reformed. The dynamic monitoring model of coordinated development of economic and social development in China is constructed. (3) the coordinated development level of China's economy and society is monitored dynamically. Based on the dynamic monitoring index system of China's economic and social coordinated development, relevant data are collected, and the coordinated development level of China's economy and society in 1986-2012 years is respectively applied to the coordinated development level of China's economy and society by using the coordinated model tools constructed. And the economic and social coordinated development level of 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions in China in 2012 and the economic and social coordinated development index of China in the.1986-2012 year series of monitoring shows that, in general, the level of economic and social coordinated development in China is on the rising trend, and the coordination level has also changed from imbalance to coordination. From the time section, In 2012, the economic and social coordinated development index of the 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions of our country is more obvious. From the level of coordination, there are 4 in 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions in China, 8 in intermediate coordination, 12 in primary coordination, 5 in barely coordinated and 2 in the near misalignment. (4) adopt the structure The influence factors and the influence mechanism of the coordinated development of economic and social development in China are analyzed by the equation model. Through the analysis of the structural equation model, the influence factors of the coordinated development of China's economic and social development and the influence factors on the coordinated development level of our country's economy and society are estimated. The maturity of the market economy and the effectiveness of the government's macro regulation and control are also analyzed. It has positive positive impact on the coordinated development of our country's economy and society, and the maturity of civil society has a negative impact on the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. The government social perspective puts forward the countermeasures to promote the coordinated development of our country's economy and society. It is believed that we can promote the coordinated development of China's economy and society from three aspects: perfecting the socialist market economic system, establishing a limited government and cultivating a dynamic society, and finally forming the main responsibility of the market, the government leading, and the three main bodies of the social main line. Deal with the situation.

【學位授予單位】：浙江大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F124;D630

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