本文選題：虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì) + 實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)　； 參考：《內(nèi)蒙古財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著我國(guó)市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)的不斷發(fā)展、改革開(kāi)放政策的實(shí)施，我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)取得了舉世矚目的成績(jī)，金融市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展得也越來(lái)越壯大。以有價(jià)證券為代表的虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)所占國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)總產(chǎn)出的比例越來(lái)越大，甚至超過(guò)了實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)的規(guī)模。虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展為社會(huì)資金的配置起到了推波助瀾的作用，提高了資金的利用效率，也帶來(lái)了巨大的財(cái)富回報(bào)。但虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)是把“雙刃劍”，，2008年美國(guó)次貸危機(jī)所引發(fā)的金融危機(jī)對(duì)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)所造成的嚴(yán)重影響依然歷歷在目。如何發(fā)展好虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)，利用虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)推動(dòng)實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展，防范好虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)的潛在危機(jī)，找到虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)和實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)的協(xié)調(diào)互動(dòng)的契合點(diǎn)成為了新的歷史課題。 本文在參閱了大量國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者研究成果的基礎(chǔ)之上，采用理論分析和實(shí)證分析相結(jié)合的方法。首先對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者在相關(guān)領(lǐng)域的最新研究發(fā)現(xiàn)和相關(guān)理論做了系統(tǒng)地梳理，然后深入剖析了虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)的關(guān)系以及虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)對(duì)實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)的作用機(jī)制。利用馬歇爾K值和四個(gè)流量指標(biāo)的對(duì)比分析，加之前人們的研究經(jīng)驗(yàn)，判定了我國(guó)虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)“形離而實(shí)未離”的關(guān)系。采用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)方法，對(duì)實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)與主要虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)變量建立多元回歸模型，發(fā)現(xiàn)股票交易額與國(guó)幣供應(yīng)量對(duì)實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響顯著。最后，根據(jù)全文研究成果，針對(duì)我國(guó)股票市場(chǎng)、貨幣政策和虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)未來(lái)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略提出了有效的對(duì)策建議。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of our market economy and the implementation of reform and opening up policy, our economy has made remarkable achievements, and the financial market is growing stronger and stronger.The fictitious economy, represented by securities, accounts for more and more of the total output of the national economy, and even exceeds the scale of the real economy.The development of virtual economy contributes to the allocation of social funds, improves the efficiency of the use of funds, and brings a huge return on wealth.But the fictitious economy is a double-edged sword, and the serious impact of the financial crisis caused by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States in 2008 on the world economy is still vividly remembered.How to develop the virtual economy, promote the development of the real economy, prevent the potential crisis of the virtual economy, and find the joint point of the coordination and interaction between the virtual economy and the real economy has become a new historical subject.On the basis of referring to a large number of domestic and foreign scholars' research results, this paper adopts the method of combining theoretical analysis with empirical analysis.Firstly, this paper systematically combs the latest research findings and related theories of domestic and foreign scholars in related fields, and then deeply analyzes the relationship between virtual economy and real economy and the mechanism of virtual economy acting on real economy.Based on the comparative analysis of Marshall K value and four flow indexes and the previous research experience, the relationship between the virtual economy and the real economy in China is determined.By means of econometrics, a multivariate regression model is established for the real economy index and the main fictitious economic variables. It is found that the stock transaction volume and the national currency supply have a significant impact on the real economy growth.Finally, according to the research results, the paper puts forward some effective countermeasures and suggestions for the stock market, monetary policy and the future development strategy of virtual economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：內(nèi)蒙古財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F124;F224

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