本文選題：OFDI　切入點(diǎn)：出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)　出處：《遼寧大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：對(duì)外直接投資(下文簡(jiǎn)稱OFDI)和對(duì)外貿(mào)易在經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展中均扮演著重要的角色。隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的發(fā)展以及中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的崛起,中國(guó)OFDI及出口貿(mào)易方式均發(fā)生了很大的改變。但從全球來(lái)看,世界經(jīng)濟(jì)蕭條,外部壓力導(dǎo)致我國(guó)商品出口受到限制;從我國(guó)來(lái)看,經(jīng)濟(jì)處于三期疊加時(shí)期,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不夠優(yōu)化,出口商品技術(shù)含量低,創(chuàng)新程度不夠,這些導(dǎo)致我國(guó)出口市場(chǎng)面臨較大壓力。所以中國(guó)要充分利用國(guó)際國(guó)內(nèi)的各種資源,加快新興市場(chǎng)的開發(fā),使得OFDI和出口貿(mào)易協(xié)同發(fā)展。在新一輪?wèn)|北振興的條件下,遼寧省作為東北地區(qū)唯一的沿海大省,應(yīng)該借助其獨(dú)有的港口優(yōu)勢(shì)大力發(fā)展OFDI以優(yōu)化對(duì)外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu),為東北地區(qū)的振興作出努力。本篇論文主要分為六個(gè)部分來(lái)寫,首先第一部分為緒論部分,主要是選題背景、意義,研究思路與方法以及本文的創(chuàng)新與不足;第二部分是理論基礎(chǔ),即OFDI的相關(guān)理論研究,對(duì)外貿(mào)易相關(guān)理論研究以及兩者之間的關(guān)系研究;在OFDI與對(duì)外貿(mào)易的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)及理論研究基礎(chǔ)上,第三部分詳細(xì)論述了OFDI對(duì)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的影響機(jī)制,并從直接與間接兩個(gè)方面進(jìn)行分析,OFDI主要是通過(guò)市場(chǎng)導(dǎo)向、資源導(dǎo)向、效率導(dǎo)向和技術(shù)導(dǎo)向?qū)Τ隹谫Q(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化產(chǎn)生直接影響,通過(guò)邊際產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng)、資源補(bǔ)缺效應(yīng)、促生新型產(chǎn)業(yè)效應(yīng)以及產(chǎn)業(yè)傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng)對(duì)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化產(chǎn)生間接影響。接下來(lái)是第四部分,主要是利用2003-2015年遼寧統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),首先從OFDI發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、規(guī)模、特點(diǎn)這兒個(gè)方面定性分析了遼寧省將對(duì)外投資的現(xiàn)實(shí)情況并總結(jié)出遼寧省OFDI發(fā)展主要呈現(xiàn)出OFDI總體規(guī)模不大、OFDI與FDI發(fā)展火衡等問(wèn)題,然后從出口貿(mào)易概況、商品結(jié)構(gòu)、區(qū)域結(jié)構(gòu)、和方式結(jié)構(gòu)這四個(gè)角度分析了遼寧省出口貿(mào)易的結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀,發(fā)現(xiàn)遼寧省出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)存在出口市場(chǎng)過(guò)于集中、產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu)不夠優(yōu)化、各地區(qū)出口額不均勻等特點(diǎn)。在了解遼寧省OFDI和出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的情況下,第五部分運(yùn)用定量分析方法,圍繞出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)這個(gè)中心,運(yùn)用單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,結(jié)果表明:OFDI對(duì)遼寧省出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化具有正效應(yīng),OFDI每增加1個(gè)單位,出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)指數(shù)將增加0.0447個(gè)單位,但是從擬合度來(lái)看,這個(gè)正效應(yīng)不是特別明顯,分析原因主要是由由遼寧省OFDI總量不多導(dǎo)致的。最后是針對(duì)遼寧省出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展所存在的問(wèn)題,從政府與企業(yè)兩個(gè)方面提出了加快OFDI的發(fā)展以及其他優(yōu)化出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的建議。從而為遼寧省OFDI與出口貿(mào)易的協(xié)同發(fā)展作參考。使得遼寧省能夠在新一輪?wèn)|北經(jīng)濟(jì)振興的舞臺(tái)上發(fā)揮更大的作用。
[Abstract]:Foreign direct investment (OFDI) and foreign trade play an important role in economic development.With the development of economic globalization and the rise of Chinese economy, China's OFDI and export trade mode have changed greatly.However, from a global point of view, the world economy is depressed, and external pressure results in the restriction of China's commodity exports. From the perspective of our country, the economy is in the period of three superpositions, the industrial structure is not optimized enough, the technical content of export commodities is low, and the degree of innovation is not enough.These lead to greater pressure on our export market.Therefore, China should make full use of international and domestic resources, accelerate the development of emerging markets, and make OFDI and export trade develop in concert.Under the condition of a new round of northeast revitalization, Liaoning Province, as the only major coastal province in Northeast China, should vigorously develop OFDI with the help of its unique port advantages in order to optimize the structure of foreign trade and make efforts for the revitalization of Northeast China.This paper is mainly divided into six parts to write, the first part is the introduction, mainly the background of the topic, significance, research ideas and methods, as well as the innovation and insufficiency of this paper; the second part is the theoretical basis, that is, the related theoretical research of OFDI.The third part discusses the influence mechanism of OFDI on the export trade structure on the basis of the related literature and theoretical research of OFDI and foreign trade.This paper also analyzes the direct and indirect effects of OFDI on export trade structure optimization through market orientation, resource orientation, efficiency orientation and technology orientation, and the marginal industrial transfer effect and resource deficiency effect.Promoting new industrial effects and industrial conduction effects have indirect effects on export trade structure optimization.Next is the fourth part, which mainly uses the relevant data from the Liaoning Statistical Yearbook 2003-2015. First, from the current situation and scale of OFDI development,The characteristics here qualitatively analyze the reality of Liaoning Province's outward investment, and conclude that the development of Liaoning's OFDI mainly presents some problems, such as the overall scale of OFDI is not large and the development of OFDI and the development of fire balance, and then from the general situation of export trade, commodity structure, etc.This paper analyzes the present situation of export trade in Liaoning Province from the four angles of regional structure and mode structure. It is found that the export trade structure of Liaoning Province is too centralized, the product structure is not optimized, and the export volume of different regions is uneven.In the case of understanding Liaoning Province's OFDI and export trade structure, the fifth part uses quantitative analysis method, around the export commodity structure as the center, using unit root test, cointegration test to carry out empirical analysis.The results show that there is a positive effect on the optimization of export trade structure of Liaoning Province by 1 unit of OFDI. The index of export commodity structure will increase by 0.0447 units per unit of increase of OFDI, but the positive effect is not particularly obvious in terms of fitting degree.The reason is mainly caused by the small amount of OFDI in Liaoning Province.Finally, in view of the problems existing in the development of export trade structure of Liaoning Province, the paper puts forward some suggestions on accelerating the development of OFDI and other optimization of export trade structure from the two aspects of government and enterprise.Thus for Liaoning Province OFDI and export trade coordinated development for reference.So that Liaoning Province in the new round of northeast economic revitalization stage to play a greater role.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F752.62;F125

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