本文選題：能源需求　切入點：經(jīng)濟增長　出處：《延邊大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：能源是工業(yè)化發(fā)展、經(jīng)濟增長必不可少的重要資源,也是世界各國在激烈的國際競爭中競相爭奪的重要戰(zhàn)略資源。中國經(jīng)濟在近年來取得了顯著的發(fā)展成果,但是也存在著能源資源日益短缺,環(huán)境污染嚴重等問題。相對于同處東北亞的日本韓國來說,中國能源資源相對豐富,但由于中國人口總量大,人均資源占有量不足,目前中國已經(jīng)成為世界主要的能源進口國,國內(nèi)能源短缺問題顯現(xiàn),能源安全問題也成為中國經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展的一個隱憂。在中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與能源資源短缺矛盾日益突出的今天,反觀日本韓國作為能源稟賦不足的國家,卻先后實現(xiàn)了工業(yè)化,邁入了發(fā)達國家行列,其中的經(jīng)驗和教訓十分值得中國深思和借鑒。 本論文在能源經(jīng)濟學和計量經(jīng)濟學相關(guān)理論基礎(chǔ)上,分別對中日韓三國的社會經(jīng)濟概況與能源生產(chǎn)及消耗,能源需求變化及能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)進行研究,并在此基礎(chǔ)上運用向量誤差修正模型(VECM)分別對中日韓三國能源需求與經(jīng)濟增長相關(guān)關(guān)系進行比較研究,結(jié)果顯示,日本和韓國GDP增長對能源需求的解釋程度遠遠小于中國,且工業(yè)比重和能源需求之間并不存在正相關(guān)關(guān)系,而中國的能源需求與工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)比重顯著正相關(guān)。國際原油價格與能源需求之間均存在負相關(guān),而日本由于能源主要依靠海外進口,因此相對于韓國和中國,日本能源需求對國際原油價格變化的反應更為敏感。 能源安全對一個國家經(jīng)濟社會的穩(wěn)定與發(fā)展有著十分重大的意義,中日韓三國在能源領(lǐng)域充滿競爭與合作。對中國來說,吸取日本和韓國循環(huán)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中的經(jīng)驗和教訓,學習日韓的能源加工利用技術(shù),可以提高能源效率,優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),探尋適合自己的循環(huán)經(jīng)濟之路；對日本和韓國來說,加強與中國在東北亞地區(qū)能源開發(fā)利用合作是實現(xiàn)能源安全的必經(jīng)之路。
[Abstract]:Energy is an essential resource for industrial development and economic growth, as well as an important strategic resource that all countries in the world compete for in the fierce international competition. China's economy has made remarkable achievements in recent years. However, there are also problems such as the increasing shortage of energy resources and serious environmental pollution. Compared with Japan and South Korea, which is also located in Northeast Asia, China is relatively rich in energy resources, but due to the large population of China, the per capita resources are insufficient. At present, China has become a major energy importer in the world. The domestic energy shortage problem appears, and the energy security problem has become a hidden concern in China's economic and social development. Today, the contradiction between China's economic development and the shortage of energy resources is increasingly prominent. On the other hand, Japan and South Korea, as the countries with low energy endowment, have realized industrialization and stepped into the ranks of developed countries. The experiences and lessons are worth pondering and drawing lessons from in China. Based on the related theories of energy economics and econometrics, this paper studies the social and economic situation, energy production and consumption, energy demand change and energy consumption structure of China, Japan and Korea respectively. On the basis of this, a vector error correction model (VECM) is used to study the correlation between energy demand and economic growth in China, Japan and Korea respectively. The results show that GDP growth in Japan and Korea explains energy demand much less than in China. There is no positive correlation between industrial proportion and energy demand, but there is a significant positive correlation between energy demand and industrial proportion in China, and there is a negative correlation between international crude oil price and energy demand. Japan's energy needs are more sensitive to changes in international crude oil prices than in South Korea and China, because Japan relies mainly on overseas imports. Energy security is of great significance to the economic and social stability and development of a country. The three countries of China, Japan, and South Korea are full of competition and cooperation in the field of energy. Learning the energy processing and utilization technology of Japan and South Korea can improve energy efficiency, optimize industrial structure, and explore the road of recycling economy suitable for Japan and South Korea. Strengthening cooperation with China in the development and utilization of energy in Northeast Asia is the only way to achieve energy security.
【學位授予單位】：延邊大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.2;F416.2;F124.1;F131.26

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本文編號：1656676