本文選題：核電企業(yè)　切入點(diǎn)：海外投資　出處：《上海交通大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：經(jīng)過近30年的發(fā)展、研發(fā)和創(chuàng)新，，中國已經(jīng)形成了核工業(yè)完整的產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈，掌握了自主知識產(chǎn)權(quán)的第三代核電技術(shù)，從而具備了走出去的核心能力；同時(shí)，我們具有更低的建造成本和服務(wù)成本，在核電出口方面具備了很好的基礎(chǔ)和后發(fā)優(yōu)勢。隨著國家核電走出去戰(zhàn)略的提出和對于高鐵、核電等技術(shù)裝備走出國門的政策指引，中國核電企業(yè)以工程建設(shè)、設(shè)備制造、技術(shù)支持等多元化方式參與國際項(xiàng)目競爭必將進(jìn)一步提速。 有鑒于其他行業(yè)海外投資失敗的教訓(xùn)，本文選擇在中國的核電企業(yè)即將揚(yáng)帆出海之際，在充分研究國內(nèi)外關(guān)于國家風(fēng)險(xiǎn)理論的基礎(chǔ)上，借鑒國內(nèi)外權(quán)威評級機(jī)構(gòu)的評估模式和方法，并結(jié)合海外核電項(xiàng)目自身特點(diǎn)，提出了核電企業(yè)海外投資的國家風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評估框架�？蚣馨ㄕ物L(fēng)險(xiǎn)，經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，金融和其他風(fēng)險(xiǎn)三大初級要素，其中政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)包括投資自由度、政治沖突狀況和清廉指數(shù)三個(gè)次級指標(biāo)，經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)包括人均國民收入、海外投資潛力指數(shù)和通貨膨脹率三個(gè)次級指標(biāo)，金融及其他風(fēng)險(xiǎn)包括政府信用評級、碳排放相關(guān)度以及匯率歷史波動(dòng)率三個(gè)次級指標(biāo)。次級指標(biāo)之間的權(quán)重分配按照專家問卷調(diào)查以及AHP層次分析法確定。在指標(biāo)的選取上，既考慮數(shù)據(jù)頒布機(jī)構(gòu)的權(quán)威性，又考慮相應(yīng)數(shù)據(jù)的可得性，從而使企業(yè)實(shí)現(xiàn)國家風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評估成為現(xiàn)實(shí)。 在此基礎(chǔ)上，本文對潛在目標(biāo)國進(jìn)行了實(shí)測評估，并根據(jù)評估結(jié)果對不同的潛在目標(biāo)國給出了相應(yīng)的策略建議，對核電企業(yè)海外投資決策具有一定指導(dǎo)意義。
[Abstract]:After nearly 30 years of development, R & D and innovation, China has formed a complete industrial chain for the nuclear industry, mastering the third generation of nuclear power technology with independent intellectual property rights, thus possessing the core capability to go abroad. We have lower construction costs and lower service costs, and have a good foundation and late-development advantage in the export of nuclear power. With the development of the national nuclear power going out strategy and the policy guidance for high-speed rail, nuclear power and other technical equipment to go abroad, Chinese nuclear power enterprises will participate in international project competition in a variety of ways, such as engineering construction, equipment manufacturing, technical support and so on. In view of the lessons learned from the failure of overseas investment in other industries, this paper chooses to study the national risk theory at home and abroad on the basis of a full study of the national risk theory at home and abroad while the Chinese nuclear power enterprises are about to sail out to sea. Based on the evaluation models and methods of authoritative rating agencies at home and abroad and combining with the characteristics of overseas nuclear power projects, this paper puts forward a national risk assessment framework for overseas investment of nuclear power enterprises. The framework includes political risk and economic risk. Among the three primary elements of financial and other risk, political risk includes investment freedom, political conflict and integrity index, and economic risk includes per capita national income. Three sub-indicators, the overseas Investment potential Index and the inflation rate, and financial and other risks, including government credit ratings, Carbon emission correlation and historical volatility of exchange rate are three sub-indicators. The weight distribution among secondary indicators is determined by expert questionnaire survey and AHP analytic hierarchy process. In the selection of indicators, the authority of data issuing agencies is considered. Considering the availability of the corresponding data, the realization of national risk assessment becomes a reality. On the basis of this, the paper evaluates the potential target country, and gives the corresponding strategic suggestions to different potential target countries according to the evaluation results, which has certain guiding significance for the overseas investment decision of nuclear power enterprises.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.23;F426.61;F125

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