發(fā)布時間：2018-01-19 19:35

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 開放經(jīng)濟(jì)條件 銀行信貸 資本市場 GMM模型 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級　出處：《海南大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：改革開放30年來,我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)開放程度不斷地提高,進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易、FDI和QFII等對我國的影響也越來越顯著。經(jīng)濟(jì)在持續(xù)高速增長的同時存在著嚴(yán)重的問題,能否實現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級將成為影響我國經(jīng)濟(jì)今后是否能夠長期穩(wěn)健增長的重要因素。而金融體系的快速發(fā)展能夠為產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級提供大量資金支持,在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級過程中起到極其重要的作用。因而在后危機(jī)時代,研究開放經(jīng)濟(jì)條件下,我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級的金融支持顯得尤為重要。 本文通過詳細(xì)論述金融發(fā)展作用于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級的機(jī)理過程得到理論上的研究支持,對具體的現(xiàn)實狀況進(jìn)行深入研究,同時比較借鑒美、日、德三國發(fā)展經(jīng)驗,從理論與現(xiàn)實兩個方面對開放經(jīng)濟(jì)條件下產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級的金融支持進(jìn)行深入探討,認(rèn)為在我國目前發(fā)展階段中,暫且不必過多考慮銀行信貸與資本市場的主導(dǎo)者問題,而應(yīng)充分發(fā)揮兩個不同市場的融資功能,深化金融市場改革,從而更好地為產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級服務(wù)。 在實證方面,本文選取19942008年中國17個省份的面板數(shù)據(jù),并運用在面板數(shù)據(jù)模型的估計中得到了廣泛的運用的GMM方法進(jìn)行估計,更好地解決了必須事先明確模型隨機(jī)誤差項的具體分布問題,以及金融發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級之間可能存在的內(nèi)生性關(guān)系問題。解釋變量則選取了融資結(jié)構(gòu)(股票籌資額/銀行信貸增加額)和銀行發(fā)達(dá)程度(銀行年末貸款額/GDP),資本產(chǎn)出率、財政支出與GDP占比以及經(jīng)濟(jì)開放度(出口額與FDI),分別與被解釋變量產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級進(jìn)行實證分析,最終得出：在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化方面,融資方式對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化影響不顯著,銀行發(fā)達(dá)程度對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響也不顯著。在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級方面,融資方式對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級影響不顯著,而銀行發(fā)達(dá)程度對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級影響比較顯著。另外,經(jīng)濟(jì)開放度的逐漸增加,對于我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級都具有一定作用。 最后,在所得結(jié)論的基礎(chǔ)上提出了相關(guān)政策建議。在穩(wěn)步推進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)開放程度的不斷增加的前提下,應(yīng)該深化金融體制改革,建立健全金融體系和資本市場,加速推進(jìn)利率市場化,拓寬融資渠道,制定和協(xié)調(diào)相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)政策和金融政策,充分發(fā)揮現(xiàn)代金融結(jié)構(gòu)融通資金產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的重要作用。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up 30 years ago, China's economic openness has been continuously improved, and China's import and export trade has been continuously improved. The influence of FDI and QFII on our country is more and more obvious. There are serious problems while the economy continues to grow at high speed. Whether we can realize the upgrading of industrial structure will become an important factor that will affect the long-term steady growth of our economy, and the rapid development of the financial system can provide a large amount of financial support for the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. It plays an extremely important role in the process of industrial structure optimization and upgrading, so in the post-crisis era, it is particularly important to study the financial support for the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in China under the conditions of open economy. Through the detailed discussion on the mechanism of financial development in the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure, this paper has been supported by theoretical research, in-depth study of the specific reality, and the comparison of the United States and Japan. The development experience of the three countries in Germany, from the theoretical and practical aspects of the open economy under the conditions of industrial structure optimization and upgrading of the financial support for in-depth discussion, that in the current stage of development in China. For the time being, we should give full play to the financing function of the two different markets and deepen the financial market reform, so as to better serve the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure. In the empirical aspect, this paper selects the panel data of 17 provinces in China from 1994 to 2008, and applies the widely used GMM method to estimate the panel data model. A better solution to the problem of the specific distribution of the random error term of the model must be made clear in advance. And the possible endogenous relationship between financial development and industrial structure upgrading. The explanatory variables select financing structure (equity financing / bank credit increase) and bank development (. Bank year-end loans / GDPs. The ratio of capital output, the ratio of fiscal expenditure to GDP, and the degree of economic openness (export value and GDP, respectively) are empirically analyzed with the explained variables of industrial structure optimization and industrial structure upgrading. Finally, in terms of industrial structure optimization, the impact of financing mode on industrial structure optimization is not significant, and the degree of bank development has no significant impact on industrial structure. Financing mode has no significant impact on the upgrading of industrial structure, while the degree of bank development has a more significant impact on the upgrading of industrial structure. In addition, the degree of economic openness gradually increases. For China's industrial structure optimization and upgrading have a certain role. Finally, on the basis of the conclusions, the paper puts forward the relevant policy recommendations. On the premise of steadily advancing the increasing degree of economic opening, we should deepen the reform of the financial system and establish and improve the financial system and capital market. It is necessary to accelerate the marketization of interest rates, widen financing channels, formulate and coordinate relevant industrial policies and financial policies, and give full play to the important role of modern financial structure in upgrading the industrial structure of financing.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：海南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832;F121.3

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