本文關(guān)鍵詞：城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與城鎮(zhèn)化“倒U型”關(guān)系實(shí)證研究　出處：《統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策》2017年09期 　論文類型：期刊論文

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【摘要】：文章根據(jù)湖北省1978—2014年的時間序列數(shù)據(jù)資料,首先對城鎮(zhèn)化率與城鄉(xiāng)收入差距指數(shù)進(jìn)行相關(guān)性分析,然后依次進(jìn)行單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、Granger因果檢驗(yàn)、"倒U型"關(guān)系檢驗(yàn),最后分析兩者的脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)。結(jié)果顯示,湖北省城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與城鎮(zhèn)化呈現(xiàn)出了"倒U型"關(guān)系,且拐點(diǎn)在39%時出現(xiàn),湖北省城鎮(zhèn)化已經(jīng)進(jìn)入縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的新階段。兩者之間存在長期協(xié)整關(guān)系,短期存在單向格蘭杰因果關(guān)系,長期則為雙向;短期內(nèi),城鎮(zhèn)化水平拉大了城鄉(xiāng)收入差距,城鄉(xiāng)收入差距加速了城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程;長期內(nèi),城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程有利于縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距,城鄉(xiāng)收入差距促進(jìn)了城鎮(zhèn)化水平的提高。
[Abstract]:Based on the time series data of Hubei province from 1978 to 2014, this paper analyzes the correlation between urbanization rate and income gap index of urban and rural areas, and then carries out unit root test and cointegration test in turn. Granger causality test, "inverted U type" relationship test, and finally analysis of the impulse response function of the two. The results show that the urban-rural income gap and urbanization in Hubei Province show a "inverted U-shaped" relationship. When the inflection point appears at 39th, the urbanization of Hubei Province has entered a new stage of narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. There is a long-term cointegration relationship between the two, a one-way Granger causality in the short run, and a two-way relationship in the long run. In the short term, the urbanization level has widened the urban-rural income gap, and the urban-rural income gap has accelerated the urbanization process; In the long run, the process of urbanization is conducive to narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas, and the urban-rural income gap promotes the improvement of urbanization level.
【作者單位】： 長江大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社會科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目(13BJY108) 長江大學(xué)社會科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目(2014csz007)
【分類號】：F124.7;F224;F299.21
【正文快照】： 1問題的提出供給側(cè)改革背景下,去產(chǎn)能、去房地產(chǎn)庫存兩大目標(biāo)的實(shí)現(xiàn),勢必有利于加速我國戶籍城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程,從而帶動城鎮(zhèn)化水平的進(jìn)一步提升。王少平與歐陽志(2007)[1]剛認(rèn)為現(xiàn)階段城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的擴(kuò)大已經(jīng)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長產(chǎn)生了阻滯作用。雖然近幾年城鄉(xiāng)收入差距呈現(xiàn)出了縮小的趨勢,但，

本文編號：1374762