推動(dòng)全球債務(wù)攀升的結(jié)構(gòu)性力量
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2017-12-31 21:08
本文關(guān)鍵詞:推動(dòng)全球債務(wù)攀升的結(jié)構(gòu)性力量 出處:《國(guó)家行政學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào)》2017年02期 論文類(lèi)型:期刊論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 經(jīng)濟(jì)服務(wù)化 人口城市化 債務(wù)
【摘要】:當(dāng)前對(duì)于全球債務(wù)攀升過(guò)程中各國(guó)個(gè)性問(wèn)題的討論比較熱烈,但對(duì)于共性問(wèn)題反而關(guān)注不夠。從共性上看,雖然所處階段不同,但發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體和新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體已經(jīng)發(fā)生或正在發(fā)生深刻的結(jié)構(gòu)性變化:在收入端,經(jīng)濟(jì)服務(wù)化使得生產(chǎn)要素總體上從生產(chǎn)率較高的部門(mén)流向生產(chǎn)率較低的部門(mén),收入汲取能力由此進(jìn)入下降通道;在支出端,人口城市化使得財(cái)政資金不得不從建設(shè)性項(xiàng)目轉(zhuǎn)向社會(huì)性項(xiàng)目,支出擴(kuò)張速度因而進(jìn)入上升通道。經(jīng)濟(jì)服務(wù)化和人口城市化如同一枚"硬幣"的正反面,既是經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展的客觀規(guī)律,同時(shí)也在深層次構(gòu)成推動(dòng)全球債務(wù)攀升的結(jié)構(gòu)性力量。本文認(rèn)為,當(dāng)前尤其要處理好產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)變過(guò)程中"快"與"慢"的關(guān)系,城鄉(xiāng)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)變過(guò)程中"物"與"人"的關(guān)系。
[Abstract]:The current discussion on individual issues in the process of rising global debt has been heated, but not enough attention has been paid to the common problems. In general, although the stage is different. But profound structural changes have taken place or are taking place in both developed and emerging economies: on the income side, service-oriented economies have led to the overall shift of factors of production from the more productive to the less productive. Income absorption ability thus enters the descending channel; On the spending side, population urbanization has forced fiscal funds to shift from constructive projects to social projects. As a result, the rate of expenditure expansion has entered the rising channel. Economic service and population urbanization are both positive and negative of a "coin", which is the objective law of economic and social development. At the same time, it also constitutes a structural force to promote global debt climbing. This paper holds that the relationship between "fast" and "slow" in the process of industrial structure transformation should be handled well at present. The relationship between "things" and "people" in the process of structural transformation between urban and rural areas.
【作者單位】: 上海行政學(xué)院;
【基金】:國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金青年項(xiàng)目“中國(guó)地方政府債務(wù)博弈行為及其規(guī)制研究”(15CJL009)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F113
【正文快照】: 一、引言去杠桿是供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的重點(diǎn)任務(wù)之一。然而,如果站在世界看中國(guó),將發(fā)現(xiàn)這一偉大的改革目標(biāo)并不會(huì)一蹴而就。畢竟,全球債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)在整體上正處于節(jié)節(jié)攀升的大通道之中,與此同時(shí),主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體之間的依存度和相互聯(lián)系又超過(guò)了以往的任何時(shí)期,所以很少有國(guó)家能夠獨(dú)善其身
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