一、研究背景（1）人類—自然耦合系統(tǒng)的動(dòng)態(tài)演化是全球變化研究的重要方向人類生活在一個(gè)由人類社會(huì)與自然環(huán)境不斷相互作用形成的耦合系統(tǒng)中。一方面,人類依賴自然獲得大量生態(tài)系統(tǒng)產(chǎn)品（如食物、能源、原材料等）和服務(wù)（如氣候調(diào)節(jié)、土壤保持等）。據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì),地球光合作用產(chǎn)物有40%的被人類消耗（Haberl et al.,2004）。與此同時(shí),人類不停改造著自然系統(tǒng)以增強(qiáng)某些生態(tài)系統(tǒng)產(chǎn)品和服務(wù)的供給以滿足眼前需求,這通常導(dǎo)致其他服務(wù)的降低,并造成負(fù)面的環(huán)境后果。據(jù)《千年生態(tài)系統(tǒng)評(píng)估報(bào)告》,人類賴以生存的生態(tài)系統(tǒng)有60%正處于不斷退化狀態(tài)（MEA,2005）。另一方面,自然也以生態(tài)系統(tǒng)退化和頻發(fā)的自然災(zāi)害（如洪水、干旱、龍卷風(fēng)）等方式反饋給人類,影響人類的生存和福祉,并改變了人類的生活和生計(jì)選擇,例如,農(nóng)民改變作物選擇以應(yīng)對(duì)氣候和降雨的變化。隨著人類社會(huì)與自然環(huán)境交互的日益加劇、環(huán)境問題的不斷突出,學(xué)者們逐漸認(rèn)識(shí)到“人類—自然耦合系統(tǒng)”研究的重要性。人類—自然耦合系統(tǒng)的研究已經(jīng)成為全球變化研究者的興趣中心所在。2005年,由國(guó)際全球環(huán)境變化研究科學(xué)機(jī)構(gòu)IGBP和IHDP共同發(fā)起的“全球土地計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目”（G... 

【文章來源】：中國(guó)地質(zhì)大學(xué)湖北省 211工程院校 教育部直屬院校

【文章頁數(shù)】：247 頁

【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士

【文章目錄】：
作者簡(jiǎn)歷
中文摘要
Abstract
Chapter 1 Introduction
    1.1 Research background
        1.1.1 The growing interests in coupled human and natural systems
        1.1.2 The need to investigate rural household decisions in the CHANS context
        1.1.3 The need for an integrated evaluation on agri-environmental programs
        1.1.4 Agent-based modeling emerges as a promising tool for studying CHANS
    1.2 Literature review
        1.2.1 Household economic theories
        1.2.2 Methods for studying CHANS
        1.2.3 Agent-based models in CHANS
    1.3 Research objectives and contents
        1.3.1 Research objectives
        1.3.2 Research questions
        1.3.3 Outline of the dissertation
Chapter 2 The study area: Tiantangzhai Township
    2.1 Study area
        2.1.1 Location and natural environment
        2.1.2 Socio-economic environment
        2.1.3 Policy environment
    2.2 Data collection
        2.2.1 Demographic and socio-economic datasets
        2.2.2 Spatial datasets and spatial connections
Chapter 3 The mechanisms of rural household labor allocation
    3.1 Theoretical and empirical frameworks
        3.1.1 Household labor allocation
        3.1.2 Theoretical framework
        3.1.3 Empirical framework
    3.2 Data processing and method
        3.2.1 Data processing
        3.2.2 The statistical model
    3.3 Results
        3.3.1 Descriptive statistics
        3.3.2 Model evaluation
        3.3.3 Direct, indirect and total effects
        3.3.4 Multi-group analysis
    3.4 Policy implications
Chapter 4 The mechanisms of rural household land use decision-making
    4.1 Theoretical and empirical frameworks
        4.1.1 Household land allocation
        4.1.2 Theoretical framework
        4.1.3 Empirical framework
    4.2 Data processing and method
        4.2.1 Data processing
        4.2.2 The statistical model
    4.3 Results
        4.3.1 Descriptive statistics
        4.3.2 Determinants of land use decision
        4.3.3 Interaction effects
    4.4 Policy implications
        4.4.1 Policy interactions: synergies, trade-offs, and total effects of policies
        4.4.2 The importance of more effective use of abandoned cropland
Chapter 5 Design of an agent-based model to examine human–environmentinteractions in a rural agricultural context based on the ODD protocol
    5.1 Model overview
        5.1.1 Purpose
        5.1.2 Entities, state variables, and scales
        5.1.3 Process overview and scheduling
    5.2 Design Concepts
    5.3 Details
        5.3.1 Initialization
        5.3.2 Input Data
        5.3.3 Submodels
    5.4 Validation and calibration
Chapter 6 Evaluation of the impacts of agri-environmental policies onhousehold labor and land use decisions with the RHLIS model
    6.1 Policy experiments design
        6.1.1 Scenario design
        6.1.2 Indicators of dynamics in human and landscape systems
    6.2 The coupled system dynamics under different behavior rules
    6.3 The coupled system dynamics under single policy intervention
        6.3.1 Impacts of CCFP
        6.3.2 Impact on EWFP
        6.3.3 Impacts of grain compensation subsidy
    6.4 Interactions between agri-environmental policies
        6.4.1 Interaction between CCFP and EWFP
        6.4.2 Interaction between CCFP and Grain subsidy
        6.4.3 Interaction between EWFP and grain subsidy
        6.4.4 Three-way interactions
Chapter 7 Conclusions and future study
    7.1 Main conclusions
        7.1.1 Rural household labor allocation
        7.1.2 Rural household land use decision-making
        7.1.3 Insights from the Rural Household-Landscape Interaction (RHLIS) model
    7.2 Contributions
        7.2.1 Explicit representation of micro-level human behavior in land use changeprocesses from a bottom-up perspective
        7.2.2 Design of two sets of household decision-making rules to explore theinteractions between rural households and the landscape
        7.2.3 Development of a spatially-explicit decision support tool
    7.3 Limitations
致謝
References
Appendix: Questionnaire for wealth index


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期刊論文
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