【摘要】：現(xiàn)代農業(yè)技術是農業(yè)產量和品質提高的引擎,是農民收入進一步提高的源泉。甘肅省武威市涼州區(qū)以農業(yè)為主要產業(yè),但近年來農民的經(jīng)濟收入增長乏力。為推動當?shù)剞r業(yè)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展,以期找出應對措施,本論文調查了該區(qū)河東村、王莊村等9個行政村的450個村民對現(xiàn)代農業(yè)技術推廣需求的狀況,采用Logistic回歸模型分析了主要決定因素。主要獲得如下主要結果:1、共回收問卷433份,回收率96.22%,所有回收問卷中有效問卷共有413份,樣本的有效回收率為91.78%。男性占調查對象的77%,女性占23%;已婚人員占比為81.36%,未婚人員僅占18.64%;25歲以下、26-35歲之間、36-45歲和46歲以上的人數(shù)分別占9.2%、16.22%、29.3%和45.28%;高中以及以上文化、初中文化、小學文化、文盲和半文盲占比分別為14.77%、32.93%、39%和13.08%;農戶家庭人口在5人以上、3-5人和3人以下的分別占46.97%、42.62%和10.41%。2、在調查農戶中,34.87%的農戶需求畜牧養(yǎng)殖技術,9.93%農戶需求新品種,32.69%的農戶需求農作物栽培技術,19.61%的農戶需求植物保護技術,4.84%的農戶滿足目前已掌握的技術。3、在農戶自身特性、在技術誘導因素、風險因素和信息來源4類15個因素的Logistic分析中,農戶自身特性中年齡和身體狀況2個指標,在技術誘導因素中耕地面積、收入水平和養(yǎng)殖規(guī)模3個指標,在風險因素中復種指數(shù)1個指標均與對現(xiàn)代農業(yè)技術的需求呈顯著正相關(P0.05),而以上三類中的性別、教育程度、婚姻狀況、非農勞動力比例、養(yǎng)殖種類,以及信息來源中農業(yè)電視節(jié)目等4個指標均無明顯相關性。建議加強農村醫(yī)療服務,增強勞動力體質,促進土地流轉,增大生產規(guī)模等方式推動當?shù)剞r戶掌握和應用現(xiàn)代農業(yè)技術的積極性與主動性。
[Abstract]:Modern agricultural technology is the engine of improving agricultural output and quality, and the source of further improvement of farmers' income. Agriculture is the main industry in Liangzhou District, Wuwei City, Gansu Province. In order to promote the development of local agricultural economy and find out the countermeasures, this paper investigates the demand of 450 villagers in 9 administrative villages, such as Hedong Village and Wangzhuang Village, for the extension of modern agricultural technology. The main determinants were analyzed by Logistic regression model. The main results are as follows: 1. 433 questionnaires were collected and the recovery rate was 96.222.There were 413 valid questionnaires and the effective recovery rate of the samples was 91.78. The proportion of married persons was 81.36, and that of unmarried persons was 18.64. The number of people under 25 years old, 26-35 years old, 36-45 years old and over 46 years old accounted for 9.2% and 45.28% respectively; The percentages of high school and above culture, junior middle school culture, primary school culture, illiteracy and semi-illiteracy were 14.7772.93% and 13.08% respectively. The household population was above 5, 46.97% and 10.41%, respectively, with 3-5 and less than 3. 34.87% of the households were in need of livestock farming technology, and 9.93% of the farmers needed new varieties, while the population of farmers was more than 5, and that of those with less than 3 was 46.97% and 10.41%, respectively. 32.69% of farmers need crop cultivation techniques, 19.61% of farmers need plant protection techniques, 4.84% of farmers meet the needs of the techniques they have mastered. 3. In the Logistic analysis of 15 factors of 4 categories of risk factors and information sources, there were two indexes of age and physical condition of farmers' own characteristics, and three indexes of cultivated land area, income level and scale of farming among the factors of technology inducement. Among the risk factors, one index of multiple cropping was positively correlated with the demand for modern agricultural technology (P0.05), while the gender, education level, marital status, non-farm labor force ratio, and breed type in the above three groups were significantly positive (P0.05). There was no significant correlation among the four indicators of agricultural TV programs. It is suggested to strengthen the rural medical service, strengthen the constitution of the labor force, promote the circulation of land, increase the scale of production, and promote the enthusiasm and initiative of local farmers in mastering and applying modern agricultural technology.
【學位授予單位】：蘭州大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F323.3

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