【摘要】：以貴州省黔東南州為例,在質(zhì)性分析的基礎(chǔ)上,從當(dāng)?shù)剞r(nóng)民認(rèn)為的影響氣候變化脆弱性的因素中開(kāi)發(fā)和應(yīng)用脆弱性指數(shù),結(jié)合西南喀斯特地區(qū)20個(gè)村2357位農(nóng)戶的調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù),構(gòu)建指標(biāo)體系,通過(guò)聚類(lèi)分析精準(zhǔn)識(shí)別和評(píng)估了氣候脆弱性農(nóng)戶。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):(1)普通農(nóng)戶與脆弱性農(nóng)戶在各類(lèi)資本與貧困水平的特征上存在顯著差異,財(cái)富積累、生計(jì)多樣性和社會(huì)資本對(duì)于降低農(nóng)戶氣候脆弱性有積極作用。(2)貧困農(nóng)戶中資產(chǎn)總值得分高的農(nóng)戶一般僅缺失自然資本,農(nóng)業(yè)收益低,抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)能力差;資產(chǎn)總值得分中等的農(nóng)戶自然資本和社會(huì)資本缺失較多,面臨生計(jì)威脅時(shí),無(wú)法通過(guò)救助途徑來(lái)彌補(bǔ)損失;資產(chǎn)總值得分最低的是多種資本缺失的農(nóng)戶,一般為孤老農(nóng)戶,是最為脆弱的群體。最后從精準(zhǔn)扶貧的角度提出了相關(guān)對(duì)策建議。
[Abstract]:Taking Qiandongnan Prefecture of Guizhou Province as an example, based on qualitative analysis, the vulnerability index was developed and applied from the factors considered by local farmers to affect the vulnerability of climate change, and the data of 2357 rural households in 20 villages in Southwest Karst region were combined. An index system was constructed to identify and evaluate the climate vulnerability of farmers accurately by cluster analysis. The findings are as follows: (1) there are significant differences in the characteristics of various types of capital and poverty between ordinary farmers and vulnerable farmers, and the accumulation of wealth; Livelihood diversity and social capital play a positive role in reducing the climate vulnerability of farmers. (2) the poor farmers with high score of total asset value only lack natural capital, agricultural income is low, and the ability to resist risks is poor; Farmers with medium score of total assets have more natural capital and social capital, and when faced with livelihood threats, they can not make up for the loss by means of relief, and those with the lowest score of assets total value are farmers with various capital losses, who are generally isolated old farmers. Is the most vulnerable group. Finally, from the point of view of precision poverty alleviation, the relevant countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.
【作者單位】： 中南民族大學(xué)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“全球氣候變化背景下提升民族地區(qū)農(nóng)戶災(zāi)害應(yīng)對(duì)能力問(wèn)題研究”(11BMZ056)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F323.8

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