本文選題：農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易 + 農(nóng)民收入　； 參考：《山東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：促進(jìn)農(nóng)民增收是擴(kuò)大國(guó)內(nèi)需求,實(shí)現(xiàn)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)良性發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵。伴隨著國(guó)際貿(mào)易的深入開(kāi)展,農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易成為影響農(nóng)民收入的重要方面。山東省是中國(guó)最大的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易省,2014年山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易總額高達(dá)427億美元,其中農(nóng)產(chǎn)品出口貿(mào)易額157.3億美元,連續(xù)16年居于全國(guó)首位。山東省農(nóng)村居民人均純收入持續(xù)增長(zhǎng),近年來(lái)位于全國(guó)前列。利用山東省17地市面板數(shù)據(jù),具體研究山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易與農(nóng)民收入之間存在的數(shù)量關(guān)系具有典型的代表意義。而山東省沿海地市與內(nèi)陸地市在地理位置、交通運(yùn)輸、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展程度等方面的差異,可能會(huì)導(dǎo)致山東省沿海地市與內(nèi)陸地市農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易對(duì)農(nóng)民收入產(chǎn)生不同的影響。因此分別考察山東沿海和內(nèi)陸地市農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易對(duì)農(nóng)民收入的影響是否存在區(qū)域差異,可以為山東省政府在農(nóng)業(yè)、外貿(mào)等方面政策的制訂,以及分地區(qū)有側(cè)重的實(shí)施政策提供數(shù)據(jù)上的參考和借鑒。在綜合概括相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)的基礎(chǔ)上,文章首先分析農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易影響農(nóng)民收入的理論基礎(chǔ)和作用機(jī)制;其次,運(yùn)用統(tǒng)計(jì)分析法,對(duì)山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易和農(nóng)民收入進(jìn)行描述分析;再次,運(yùn)用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型,分總體、沿海地市、內(nèi)陸地市三組實(shí)證分析農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易對(duì)農(nóng)民收入的影響效果以及地區(qū)差異。為增加研究的現(xiàn)實(shí)性,模型還引入了政策變量糧食補(bǔ)貼額、以及第一產(chǎn)業(yè)和第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值等變量。實(shí)證結(jié)果表明:1.山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品出口貿(mào)易對(duì)農(nóng)民收入的增加具有顯著的促進(jìn)作用,且沿海地市農(nóng)產(chǎn)品出口貿(mào)易對(duì)農(nóng)民增收的效果比內(nèi)陸地市更為顯著;2.山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口貿(mào)易對(duì)于農(nóng)民收入具有負(fù)面作用,在山東省總體和內(nèi)陸地市樣本下,負(fù)面效果并不顯著,在沿海地市樣本下,農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口的負(fù)面作用較為顯著。最后,總結(jié)本文的實(shí)證分析結(jié)果并提出相關(guān)政策建議。
[Abstract]:Promoting farmers' income is the key to expand domestic demand and realize benign development of national economy. With the development of international trade, agricultural trade has become an important aspect of farmers' income. Shandong Province is China's largest agricultural trade ministry, with a total agricultural trade of $42.7 billion in 2014, including $15.73 billion in agricultural exports, ranking first in the country for 16 years in a row. Shandong Province rural residents per capita net income continued to grow, in recent years in the forefront of the country. It is of typical significance to study the quantitative relationship between agricultural product trade and farmers' income in Shandong Province by using the panel data of 17 cities in Shandong Province. The differences between coastal cities and inland cities in geographical location, transportation and economic development may lead to different impacts on farmers' income caused by agricultural products trade between coastal cities and inland cities in Shandong Province. Therefore, whether there are regional differences in the impact of agricultural product trade on farmers' income in Shandong coastal and inland cities can be considered as a policy formulation for the Shandong provincial government in agriculture and foreign trade. As well as the implementation of regional focus on the implementation of policy to provide data reference and reference. On the basis of summarizing the relevant literature, the paper firstly analyzes the theoretical basis and mechanism of agricultural product trade affecting farmers' income; secondly, it uses statistical analysis method to describe and analyze agricultural product trade and farmers' income in Shandong Province; thirdly, By using panel data model, the paper analyzes the effect of agricultural product trade on farmers' income and regional differences in three groups: overall, coastal and inland. In order to increase the reality of the research, the model also introduces the policy variable, grain subsidy amount, and the output value of the primary industry and the second and third industries. The empirical results show that 1: 1. The export trade of agricultural products in Shandong Province has a significant promoting effect on the increase of farmers' income, and the effect of export trade of agricultural products in coastal cities on farmers' income is more significant than that in inland cities. The import trade of agricultural products in Shandong Province has a negative effect on farmers' income. Under the samples of Shandong Province and inland cities, the negative effects are not significant, but the negative effects of agricultural products imports are more significant in coastal cities. Finally, this paper summarizes the empirical analysis results and puts forward relevant policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F327

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本文編號(hào)：2054417