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基于Probit-ISM模型的稻農農業(yè)技術采用影響因素分析——以湖北省320戶稻農為例

發(fā)布時間:2018-05-11 21:37

  本文選題:農業(yè)技術采用 + 影響因素; 參考:《數(shù)理統(tǒng)計與管理》2016年01期


【摘要】:稻農對不同農業(yè)技術的采用能夠促進其推廣應用;诤蔽迨320戶稻農的調研數(shù)據,利用二元Probit模型和ISM模型,分別探討了稻農采用新品種技術、病蟲害防治技術、機械化技術的影響因素及其層次結構。研究結果表明:是否參加農業(yè)保險、國家糧食補貼金額、水稻種植規(guī)模、家庭人均年收入、種糧積極性、家庭人口數(shù)量顯著影響稻農采用新品種技術。其中,種糧積極性和家庭人口數(shù)量是深層根源因素;水稻種植規(guī)模、對糧補政策態(tài)度、國家糧食補貼金額、年齡、家庭人口數(shù)量、家庭人均年收入顯著影響其病蟲害技術采用。其中,年齡、家庭人口數(shù)量和家庭人均年收入是深層根源因素;國家糧食補貼金額、水稻種植規(guī)模、性別、健康狀況、農業(yè)保險、是否兼業(yè)顯著影響其機械化技術采用。其中,性別、健康狀況、是否兼業(yè)和農業(yè)保險是深層根源因素。
[Abstract]:The adoption of different agricultural techniques by rice farmers can promote their popularization and application. Based on the investigation data of 320 rice farmers in five cities of Hubei Province, the influence factors and hierarchical structure of rice farmers adopting new variety technology, pest and disease control technology and mechanization technology were discussed by using binary Probit model and ISM model. The results showed that the participation of agricultural insurance, the amount of state grain subsidy, the scale of rice planting, the average annual income of the family, the enthusiasm of growing grain, and the number of the family population significantly affected the rice farmers to adopt the new variety technology. Among them, the enthusiasm of grain planting and the number of family population are the deep root factors, the scale of rice planting, the attitude towards grain supplement policy, the amount of national grain subsidy, age, the number of family population, and the annual income of family per capita significantly affect the adoption of diseases and insect pests. Among them, age, the number of family population and the average annual income of the family are the deep-rooted factors; the amount of national grain subsidy, rice planting scale, sex, health status, agricultural insurance, whether or not the concurrent industry significantly affect the mechanization technology adoption. Among them, gender, health status, whether concurrent employment and agricultural insurance are the underlying root factors.
【作者單位】: 華中農業(yè)大學經濟管理學院;湖北農村發(fā)展研究中心;
【基金】:國家社科重點項目(11AZD107) 國家科技計劃支撐項目(2012BAD04B12) 比爾·梅琳達蓋茨基金項目(51587-3) 中央高校基本科研業(yè)務費專項資金資助(2012MBDX001)
【分類號】:S511;F326.11
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本文編號:1875733

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