本文選題：農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率 + DEA��； 參考：《南華大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：湖南省作為中部地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)大省,素有“魚(yú)米之鄉(xiāng)”的美稱(chēng)。據(jù)《湖南省統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒2013》顯示,截至2012年,目前全省農(nóng)村人口3830.46萬(wàn)人,全省農(nóng)作物耕種面積851.20萬(wàn)公頃。2012年全省農(nóng)林牧漁業(yè)總產(chǎn)值為4904.1億元,位居全國(guó)32個(gè)省級(jí)行政區(qū)的第6,占全省地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值的22.13%�？梢�(jiàn),農(nóng)業(yè)仍然是湖南在國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)中占據(jù)很大比重,研究湖南省農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率情況及其效率變動(dòng)研究,對(duì)于湖南省了解自身農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展政策的制定都具有一定的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。因此本文采用DEA和Malmquist模型對(duì)湖南省2007-2012年農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率及其變動(dòng)情況進(jìn)行研究,主要從以下幾個(gè)方面進(jìn)行研究。第一部分主要對(duì)2007-2012年湖南省農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)的投入和產(chǎn)出情況進(jìn)行了統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,投入要素主要考慮了農(nóng)村勞動(dòng)力、土地、機(jī)械動(dòng)力、化肥及農(nóng)村用電量等要素,農(nóng)林牧漁總產(chǎn)值為產(chǎn)出要素進(jìn)行了統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,主要對(duì)湖南省農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)情況進(jìn)行分析。第二部分選取基于投入導(dǎo)向的規(guī)模報(bào)酬可變的DEA模型對(duì)湖南省2007-2012年各地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率進(jìn)行靜態(tài)測(cè)評(píng),計(jì)算了其農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)綜合效率、純技術(shù)效率和規(guī)模效率。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):(1)湖南省2007-2012年湖南省農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)綜合效率穩(wěn)步提升,盡在2009年出現(xiàn)了小幅度下滑。(2)從地區(qū)對(duì)比研究發(fā)現(xiàn),各地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)綜合效率差異明顯,張家界市最低,衡陽(yáng)市最為有效。(3)進(jìn)一步對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)綜合效率分解的技術(shù)效率和規(guī)模效率研究發(fā)現(xiàn),落后地區(qū)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)綜合效率低的主要原因是農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)規(guī)模效率較低。第三部分在湖南省農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率靜態(tài)研究的基礎(chǔ)上,基于湖南2007-2012市級(jí)面板數(shù)據(jù),采用DEA-Malmquist指數(shù)模型,運(yùn)用DEAP2.1軟件計(jì)算了期間各地區(qū)全要素生產(chǎn)率變化指數(shù),對(duì)研究期間湖南省農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率的變動(dòng)原因進(jìn)行了研究。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):(1)2007-2012年期間湖南省農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率年平均增長(zhǎng)率為5.4%,說(shuō)明這期間湖南省總體農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率是有效的,從總體平均增長(zhǎng)率的指數(shù)分解來(lái)看,期間湖南省農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)主要來(lái)源于技術(shù)進(jìn)步,對(duì)全要素生產(chǎn)率的貢獻(xiàn)率為3.7%。(2)湖南省農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)效率具有明顯的波動(dòng)性,但總體表現(xiàn)出增長(zhǎng)趨勢(shì),期間只有2008-2009年全要素生產(chǎn)率出現(xiàn)負(fù)增長(zhǎng)。并結(jié)合以上研究,為湖南省發(fā)展農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)、提高農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率提供以下建議:(1)積極發(fā)展低碳農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展模式,借鑒其他地區(qū)先進(jìn)的農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)模式;(2)加大多農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)的科技投入,加大對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)技術(shù)的推廣,提高農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)技術(shù)效率;(3)重視農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)規(guī)模效率的提升,特別是要重視土地集約化經(jīng)營(yíng)官管理,加速土地改革,提高農(nóng)業(yè)管理水平。
[Abstract]:Hunan Province, as a major agricultural province in the central region, is known as the "land of fish and rice". According to the Statistical Yearbook 2013 of Hunan Province, as of 2012, the rural population of the province is 38.3046 million, and the total area under cultivation of crops in the province is 8.512 million hectares. In 2012, the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery in the whole province was 490.41 billion yuan. The country ranks the sixth of 32 provincial administrative regions, accounting for 22.13 percent of the province's GDP. It can be seen that agriculture still occupies a large proportion of the national economy in Hunan. To study the situation and changes of agricultural production efficiency in Hunan Province, to understand the current situation of agricultural development in Hunan Province, The formulation of agricultural development policy has certain realistic significance. In this paper, DEA and Malmquist models are used to study the agricultural production efficiency and its changes in Hunan Province from 2007 to 2012, mainly from the following aspects. The first part mainly analyzes the input and output of agricultural production in Hunan Province from 2007 to 2012. The input factors mainly consider rural labor force, land, mechanical power, chemical fertilizer and rural electricity consumption. The output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery was statistically analyzed, and the agricultural production in Hunan Province was analyzed. In the second part, the DEA model of variable scale reward based on input guidance is selected to evaluate the agricultural production efficiency of Hunan province from 2007 to 2012. The comprehensive efficiency of agricultural production, pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency are calculated. The study found that the comprehensive efficiency of agricultural production in Hunan Province increased steadily from 2007 to 2012, and declined by a small margin in 2009.) from the regional comparative study, it was found that the comprehensive efficiency of agricultural production in different regions was significantly different, and Zhangjiajie City had the lowest. Further study on the technical efficiency and scale efficiency of comprehensive efficiency decomposition of agricultural production found that the main reason for the low comprehensive efficiency of agricultural production in backward areas was the low scale efficiency of agricultural production. In the third part, on the basis of the static research of Hunan agricultural production efficiency, based on the provincial panel data from 2007 to 2012, using DEA-Malmquist index model and DEAP2.1 software, the author calculates the total factor productivity change index of each region during the period. The reasons for the change of agricultural production efficiency in Hunan Province during the study period were studied. The study found that the average annual growth rate of agricultural total factor productivity in Hunan Province was 5.4in the period 2007-2012, indicating that the overall agricultural production efficiency of Hunan Province was effective during this period, and from the perspective of the exponential decomposition of the overall average growth rate, During this period, the growth of agricultural total factor productivity in Hunan Province mainly comes from technological progress, and the contribution rate to total factor productivity is 3.70.The total factor production efficiency of Hunan province is obviously fluctuating, but it shows an overall trend of growth. There was only negative growth in total factor productivity in 2008-2009. Combined with the above research, the following suggestions are provided for Hunan Province to develop agricultural production and improve agricultural production efficiency.) to actively develop low-carbon agricultural development models, and to learn from the advanced agricultural production model of other regions, and to increase the scientific and technological input for multi-agricultural production. We should pay more attention to the promotion of scale efficiency of agricultural production, especially to the management of intensive land management officers, accelerate land reform and improve the level of agricultural management.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南華大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F327

【相似文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 尹本琛;;內(nèi)部管理效率對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率影響的實(shí)證探析[J];吉林農(nóng)業(yè);2012年11期

2 曾姝瑋;鄭林;;農(nóng)村勞動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)移對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率影響的實(shí)證分析[J];知識(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì);2014年03期

3 董洪梅;;黑龍江省農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率演進(jìn)問(wèn)題研究[J];商業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì);2014年04期

4 馮靜靜;余玲;;河北省農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率的實(shí)證分析[J];法制與經(jīng)濟(jì)(下半月);2008年01期

5 張建紅;余國(guó)新;;新疆農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率動(dòng)態(tài)變化研究:1998～2007[J];新疆農(nóng)墾經(jīng)濟(jì);2009年06期

6 郭軍華;李幫義;;中國(guó)區(qū)域農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率動(dòng)態(tài)變化的實(shí)證分析——基于1985～2007年省際面板數(shù)據(jù)[J];運(yùn)籌與管理;2011年01期

7 衛(wèi)榮;朱秀英;，

本文編號(hào)：1858193