本文選題：供給側(cè)改革　切入點(diǎn)：玉米生產(chǎn)　出處：《吉林大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：吉林省是我國的農(nóng)業(yè)大省,突出做好糧食生產(chǎn),保障糧食的有效供給是吉林省農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展的重中之重。從目前吉林省的農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)狀況來看,吉林省的玉米生產(chǎn)過盛的狀況比較突出,出現(xiàn)了玉米對其他作物的強(qiáng)烈替代。因此,在保障吉林省糧食供給總量平穩(wěn)的基礎(chǔ)上,設(shè)計(jì)合理的縮減玉米生產(chǎn)路徑,因地制宜發(fā)展當(dāng)?shù)靥厣r(nóng)作物,改善糧食供給的品種結(jié)構(gòu),對促進(jìn)吉林省農(nóng)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整,加快農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化進(jìn)程具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文采用規(guī)范分析和實(shí)證研究相結(jié)合,定性研究與定量分析相結(jié)合的方法進(jìn)行研究,整體結(jié)構(gòu)是第一章緒論,主要介紹立題背景、國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀、研究內(nèi)容與創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)、研究方法與技術(shù)路線;第二章相關(guān)概念界定及理論基礎(chǔ),第三章吉林省玉米作物發(fā)展的演進(jìn)歷程及現(xiàn)狀;第四章吉林省玉米實(shí)證研究與產(chǎn)能過剩的原因分析;第五章吉林省縮減玉米生產(chǎn)路徑設(shè)計(jì)研究;第六章促進(jìn)吉林省縮減玉米生產(chǎn)路徑運(yùn)行的對策建議;第七章結(jié)論,對全文進(jìn)行總結(jié)。本文結(jié)論:在供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的大背景下,以比較優(yōu)勢理論、不平衡發(fā)展理論和大推動理論為基本理論的前提,首先對吉林省玉米作物的演進(jìn)歷程和目前吉林省玉米生產(chǎn)的狀況進(jìn)行了分析,將吉林省的玉米生產(chǎn)劃分了三個(gè)階段:第一階段(1949-1969年)玉米作物與其它農(nóng)作物平衡發(fā)展的階段;第二階段(1970-1999年)玉米作物快速增長階段;第三階段(2000-2014年)玉米生產(chǎn)相對過剩階段,通過分析得出了目前吉林省玉米生產(chǎn)過剩的狀況。再者,通過DEA模型實(shí)證分析,得出目前吉林省的玉米生產(chǎn)已處在最大規(guī)模的生產(chǎn)階段,縮減玉米生產(chǎn)是未來農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展的最優(yōu)選擇。結(jié)合吉林省的實(shí)際情況,設(shè)計(jì)出了吉林省縮減玉米生產(chǎn)的可行性路徑,設(shè)計(jì)出的路徑是:東部地區(qū)大力發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)作物;中部地區(qū)構(gòu)建專屬的玉米生產(chǎn)區(qū);西部地區(qū)種植雜糧、雜豆發(fā)展畜牧業(yè)。并指出需要在政策、資金、技術(shù)、市場、保險(xiǎn)等方面給予支持,利用政策引導(dǎo),市場推動,資金、技術(shù)提供支持,保險(xiǎn)作為保障。最后就促進(jìn)吉林省縮減玉米生產(chǎn)路徑運(yùn)行給出了相關(guān)對策建議。
[Abstract]:Jilin Province is a big agricultural province in our country. It is the top priority of agricultural development in Jilin Province to give prominence to grain production and ensure the effective supply of grain. Judging from the current situation of agricultural production in Jilin Province, The situation of excessive corn production in Jilin Province is quite prominent, and there is a strong substitution of corn for other crops. Therefore, on the basis of ensuring the stable total grain supply in Jilin Province, we should design a reasonable way to reduce maize production. It is of great practical significance to develop local characteristic crops according to local conditions and to improve the variety structure of grain supply, which is of great practical significance in promoting the adjustment of agricultural structure in Jilin Province and speeding up the process of agricultural modernization. The whole structure is the introduction of the first chapter, which mainly introduces the background of the topic, the current research situation at home and abroad, the research content and innovation, the research method and the technical route; The second chapter defines the related concepts and the theoretical basis, the third chapter, the evolution process and current situation of maize crop development in Jilin Province, the 4th chapter of Jilin Province corn empirical research and analysis of the causes of excess capacity; Chapter 5th studies on the design of reduced maize production paths in Jilin Province; chapter 6th on countermeasures and suggestions to promote the operation of reduced maize production paths in Jilin Province; chapter 7th on the conclusion of summing up the full text; the conclusion of this paper: under the background of supply-side structural reform, Based on the theory of comparative advantage, the theory of unbalanced development and the theory of big push, the evolution of maize crops in Jilin Province and the current situation of maize production in Jilin Province were analyzed. The maize production in Jilin Province is divided into three stages: the first stage is the stage of balanced development between maize crops and other crops, the second stage is the stage of rapid growth of maize crops from 1970-1999; The third stage (2000-2014) corn production relative surplus stage, through the analysis has obtained the present Jilin Province corn production surplus situation. Moreover, through the DEA model empirical analysis, It is concluded that the maize production in Jilin Province is already in the largest production stage at present, and reducing maize production is the best choice for future agricultural development. According to the actual situation in Jilin Province, the feasible path of reducing maize production in Jilin Province is designed. The paths designed are: developing cash crops vigorously in the eastern region; constructing exclusive corn production areas in the central region; planting miscellaneous grains and developing animal husbandry in the western region; and pointing out the need for policies, funds, technology, and markets. Insurance and other aspects of support, use of policy guidance, market promotion, capital, technology to provide support, insurance as a guarantee. Finally, to promote the reduction of maize production path operation in Jilin Province to give the relevant countermeasures and suggestions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F326.11

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