本文選題：埃塞俄比亞　切入點(diǎn)：糖廠項(xiàng)目　出處：《廣西大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：隨著中國經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力的增強(qiáng),以及“走出去”發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施,越來越多的國內(nèi)大型企業(yè)逐步向亞非拉等技術(shù)較為落后的第三世界國家和地區(qū)開拓市場(chǎng),進(jìn)行國際工程的承包。但是由于國際工程項(xiàng)目許多方面存在著不確定性的因素,要避免這些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素,提高企業(yè)抵抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的能力,這就需要對(duì)國際工程進(jìn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的管理,研究國際工程建設(shè)中會(huì)出現(xiàn)何種類型的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)；出現(xiàn)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)以什么樣的形式影響著項(xiàng)目,以及出現(xiàn)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)概率大小和影響程度怎么樣；如何界定哪種風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是最危險(xiǎn)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)；采取什么樣的措施可以將風(fēng)險(xiǎn)事件的影響最小化降到最低；風(fēng)險(xiǎn)出現(xiàn)后應(yīng)采取什么樣的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)措施；如何對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行預(yù)警及防范等等。我國很多國際工程承包企業(yè)無法回答出這些問題。因此本文站在國際工程公司的角度上,采用了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別’、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制措施等風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的理論和方法,結(jié)合埃塞俄比亞K糖廠工程項(xiàng)目的特點(diǎn)進(jìn)行了系統(tǒng)的和較為透徹的研究。本文首先對(duì)國際工程風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的國內(nèi)外研究的現(xiàn)狀及成果；埃塞俄比亞K糖廠項(xiàng)目的概況；項(xiàng)目所在國埃塞俄比亞的概況和該項(xiàng)目的建設(shè)背景進(jìn)行了介紹。然后應(yīng)用項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理理論中的文獻(xiàn)調(diào)查法、問卷調(diào)查法、頭腦風(fēng)暴法及魚刺圖分析法對(duì)項(xiàng)目可能存在的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行了識(shí)別,識(shí)別出五大風(fēng)險(xiǎn)類別及二十個(gè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素,同時(shí)對(duì)這些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素一一進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的分析。隨后運(yùn)用層次分析法對(duì)分析出的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素進(jìn)行了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)大小的評(píng)估,評(píng)估得出了三個(gè)對(duì)該項(xiàng)目影響較為嚴(yán)重的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素,最后針對(duì)該三個(gè)較為嚴(yán)重的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素完整地提出了相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的方法和具體措施。本文的研究,是在對(duì)埃塞俄比亞K糖廠項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析及應(yīng)對(duì)的基礎(chǔ)上,為國內(nèi)希望走出國門去承擔(dān)工程項(xiàng)目的工程公司,提供具有現(xiàn)實(shí)意義的參考,使國內(nèi)的工程公司在非洲進(jìn)行項(xiàng)目承包時(shí)可以盡量避免和減輕類似的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
[Abstract]:With the strengthening of China's economic strength and the implementation of the "going out" development strategy, more and more large domestic enterprises are gradually opening up their markets to the technologically backward third world countries and regions such as Asia, Africa and Latin America. But because there are many uncertain factors in many aspects of international engineering projects, in order to avoid these risk factors and improve the ability of enterprises to resist risks, it is necessary to manage the risks of international projects. This paper studies what types of risks will occur in international engineering construction, what forms of risks will affect the project, and how to define which risks are the most dangerous risks, and how to determine the probability and extent of the risks. What measures can be taken to minimize the impact of risk events; Many international engineering contractors in China can not answer these questions. Therefore, this paper, from the perspective of international engineering companies, adopts risk identification, risk analysis, and so on. Theories and methods of risk management, such as risk assessment and risk control measures, Based on the characteristics of Ethiopia's K Sugar Plant Project, this paper makes a systematic and thorough study. Firstly, the present situation and results of the international engineering risk research at home and abroad, the general situation of Ethiopia's K Sugar Factory Project, and the present situation of Ethiopia's K Sugar Factory Project are discussed. The general situation of Ethiopia, the country of the project, and the construction background of the project are introduced. Then, the method of literature survey and questionnaire survey are applied to the risk management theory of the project. The brainstorming method and the fish-prick-chart analysis method identify the possible risks in the project and identify five major risk categories and 20 risk factors. At the same time, these risk factors are analyzed in detail. Then, the risk factors are evaluated by AHP, and three risk factors which have a serious impact on the project are obtained. Finally, according to the three more serious risk factors, the paper puts forward the corresponding methods and concrete measures to deal with the risk. The research in this paper is based on the risk analysis and response of the project of Ethiopia K Sugar Factory. This paper provides a practical reference for domestic engineering companies who wish to go abroad to undertake projects, so that domestic engineering companies can avoid and mitigate similar risks when contracting projects in Africa.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣西大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F272.3;F426.82

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