本文選題：可持續(xù)發(fā)展 + 粗糙集��； 參考：《成都理工大學》2012年碩士論文

【摘要】：可持續(xù)發(fā)展強調經(jīng)濟——生態(tài)——社會三大系統(tǒng)之間的協(xié)調發(fā)展，內河水運是我國綜合交通運輸體系的一個重要組成部分，又具有節(jié)能環(huán)保的優(yōu)勢，選擇可持續(xù)發(fā)展是目前的必然途徑。而重慶作為西部重要的內河航運樞紐，水運的重要性更加顯著，更應該大力推行可持續(xù)發(fā)展。重慶水運可持續(xù)發(fā)展評價理論與方法的研究，是重慶水運可持續(xù)發(fā)展最為基礎的內容之一。 自可持續(xù)發(fā)展的概念提出以來，國內外許多專家對水運可持續(xù)發(fā)展綜合評價方法進行了研究。但時，任何一套評價方法僅是對評價對象客觀狀態(tài)某個視角的反映，因而不同方法得出的結論間會有一定的相關性。組合評價方法對多種評價結論進行了優(yōu)化組合，這樣就突出了相關程度大的那部分評價方法的作用，同時兼顧了相關程度較低的方法所包含的評價信息。該方法全面地利用了主觀方法和客觀方法的評價信息，可以達到較好的評價效果。 本文首先從發(fā)展度、協(xié)調度和持續(xù)度的角度出發(fā)，構建重慶水運可持續(xù)發(fā)展的評價指標體系，能夠及時地分析和評價重慶市水運可持續(xù)發(fā)展的能力，之后才能查漏補缺，加快可持續(xù)發(fā)展進程；然后選取2003-2010年的統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)，，分別通過粗糙集、層次分析法和灰色關聯(lián)分析的綜合評價方法，得出重慶水運2003-2010年可持續(xù)發(fā)展度的綜合評價值，再運用組合評價法確定每種評價方法的權重，進而確定最終的評價值。最終的評價結果，肯定了重慶水運近幾年的發(fā)展成就。表明國家和重慶政府針對重慶水運的相關政策，促使了重慶水運可持續(xù)發(fā)展水平的逐年提升。 從三種評價方法在組合時各自所占的權重看，粗糙集和灰色關聯(lián)分析都是從數(shù)據(jù)本身出發(fā)的客觀評價方法，因而粗糙集和灰色關聯(lián)評價法在組合時所占的權重相差不大，層次分析法主觀成分較重，它所占權重相對較低。 從可持續(xù)發(fā)展的評價結果看，重慶水運的可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力是逐步提高的，2003年只是弱可持續(xù)水平，2010年達到了可持續(xù)中期。重慶水運可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力迅速提高主要歸結于三方面原因： 一方面，是三峽水庫于2007年首次達到145米蓄水，并于2009年達到175米蓄水。三峽工程175米蓄水，使庫區(qū)航道等級由原來的三級提高到一級，5000噸級單船和萬噸級船隊可直達重慶，為重慶內河航運帶來了又一個發(fā)展機遇； 另一方面，是國家和重慶政府出臺了一系列關于建設長江黃金水道、長江上游航運中心的優(yōu)惠扶持政策，同時也對船舶標準化、保稅港區(qū)等重點項目做出了明確安排。這些政策安排大大改善了重慶水運的基礎設施和經(jīng)營環(huán)境狀況； 最后，重慶管理部門對水運企業(yè)管理的加強。例如，在人才培訓方面，重慶市港航局在重視內部人才培訓的同時，也非常重視水運企業(yè)人員綜合素質和專業(yè)技能知識的提升，并利用有限的財力、物力舉辦了多期相關培訓，促進了重慶航運業(yè)人才隊伍的建設。
[Abstract]:Sustainable development emphasizes the coordinated development between the three systems of economy _ ecology _ society , the inland waterway transportation is an important part of the comprehensive transportation system in China , and it has the advantages of energy saving and environmental protection . The choice of sustainable development is the inevitable way at present . And Chongqing is one of the most important inland shipping hubs in the west , and it is more important to implement sustainable development . The research of the theory and method of sustainable development evaluation in Chongqing is one of the most basic contents of sustainable development of Chongqing .

Since the concept of sustainable development , many experts at home and abroad have studied the comprehensive evaluation method for the sustainable development of water transportation . However , any evaluation method is only a reflection of the objective state of the evaluation object , so the conclusion of different methods can have a certain correlation . The combination evaluation method combines many kinds of evaluation conclusions , and considers the evaluation information contained in the method with low correlation degree . The method comprehensively utilizes the evaluation information of the subjective method and the objective method , and can achieve better evaluation effect .

Based on the angle of development degree , coordination degree and degree of continuity , this paper constructs the evaluation index system of sustainable development of water transportation in Chongqing , and can analyze and evaluate the ability of sustainable development of Chongqing ' s water transportation in a timely manner .
Then the statistical data of 2003 - 2010 is selected , and the comprehensive evaluation method of the sustainable development degree of Chongqing Water Transportation 2003 - 2010 is obtained through the comprehensive evaluation method of rough set , analytic hierarchy process and grey correlation analysis , and then the weight of each evaluation method is determined by the combination evaluation method , and finally the final evaluation value is determined . The final evaluation result confirms the development achievements of Chongqing water transport in recent years .

Based on the weight of the three evaluation methods , rough set and grey correlation analysis are the objective evaluation methods based on the data itself . Therefore , the weight of rough set and grey relation evaluation method is not large in combination , and the subjective element of analytic hierarchy process is heavy , and the weight is relatively low .

From the evaluation results of sustainable development , the sustainable development capacity of Chongqing ' s water transportation is gradually increased , but only a weak sustainable level in 2003 . In 2010 , the sustainable development ability of Chongqing has reached the sustainable medium term . The rapid increase in sustainable development capacity of Chongqing ' s water transport is mainly attributed to three reasons :

On the one hand , it is the first time that the Three Gorges Reservoir reached 145 meters of water storage in 2007 , and reached 175 meters of water storage in 2009 . The 175 meters of water storage in the Three Gorges Project has raised the channel level of the Three Gorges Project from the original three levels to the first level .


On the other hand , the government has issued a series of preferential policies for the construction of the Yangtze River Gold Watercourse , the Upper Yangtze River Shipping Center , and also made clear arrangements for key projects such as the standardization of ships and bonded port areas . These policies have greatly improved the infrastructure and operating environment of Chongqing ' s water transport .


Finally , Chongqing management has strengthened the management of water transport enterprises . For example , in the area of personnel training , Chongqing Hong Kong Airlines has attached great importance to the training of internal personnel , and also attached great importance to the improvement of comprehensive quality and professional skills knowledge of water transport enterprises , and conducted multi - period related training with limited financial resources and material resources , and promoted the construction of the talent team of Chongqing shipping industry .
【學位授予單位】：成都理工大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F224;F552

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