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企業(yè)過(guò)度投資影響企業(yè)股價(jià)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的實(shí)證研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-17 21:36

  本文關(guān)鍵詞:企業(yè)過(guò)度投資影響企業(yè)股價(jià)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的實(shí)證研究 出處:《對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


  更多相關(guān)文章: 過(guò)度投資 股市泡沫風(fēng)險(xiǎn) 股價(jià)崩盤風(fēng)險(xiǎn)


【摘要】:本文的研究意在指出當(dāng)前中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)怎樣有效約束實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)“投資過(guò)熱”的現(xiàn)象,使得資本市場(chǎng)里股市泡沫風(fēng)險(xiǎn)下降,進(jìn)而抑制股價(jià)崩盤風(fēng)險(xiǎn),總體上達(dá)到抑制股市風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的目的。本文在相關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)理論研究的基礎(chǔ)之上,通過(guò)實(shí)證分析的方法,從微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)層面討論當(dāng)前國(guó)內(nèi)資本市場(chǎng)中,企業(yè)過(guò)度投資對(duì)股市風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(股市泡沫風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、股價(jià)崩盤風(fēng)險(xiǎn))的作用,并深入剖析股市泡沫風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和股價(jià)崩盤風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的內(nèi)在聯(lián)系。本文將滬深兩市十年間(2006至2015年)所有A股上市企業(yè)所披露的信息作為主要依據(jù),通過(guò)剖析企業(yè)過(guò)度投資對(duì)股市風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(股市泡沫風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、股價(jià)崩盤風(fēng)險(xiǎn))的影響的原理與機(jī)制,構(gòu)建實(shí)證模型,探究企業(yè)過(guò)度投資與股市風(fēng)險(xiǎn)之間的關(guān)系,最終得到企業(yè)過(guò)度投資會(huì)加劇股市泡沫風(fēng)險(xiǎn)并一步加劇股價(jià)崩盤風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的結(jié)論。即企業(yè)過(guò)度投資和股市風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(股市泡沫風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、股價(jià)崩盤風(fēng)險(xiǎn))二者間呈明顯的正相關(guān)關(guān)系,而股市泡沫風(fēng)險(xiǎn)又和股價(jià)崩盤風(fēng)險(xiǎn)呈正相關(guān)。這意味著投資過(guò)熱的延續(xù)和有關(guān)不利訊息的應(yīng)對(duì)延時(shí),將會(huì)大大增加股市風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
[Abstract]:The purpose of this study is to point out how the current Chinese economy effectively constrains the phenomenon of "investment overheating" in the real economy, which reduces the risk of stock market bubble in the capital market, and then restrains the risk of stock price collapse. On the basis of the relevant economic theory research, this paper discusses the current domestic capital market from the microeconomic level through the method of empirical analysis. The role of corporate overinvestment in stock market risk (stock market bubble risk, stock price collapse risk). And in-depth analysis of the stock market bubble risk and the risk of stock price collapse inherent links. This paper takes the information disclosed by all A-share listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market from 2006 to 2015 as the main basis. By analyzing the principle and mechanism of the influence of overinvestment on stock market risk (stock market bubble risk, stock price collapse risk), this paper constructs an empirical model to explore the relationship between enterprise overinvestment and stock market risk. Finally, we can draw the conclusion that overinvestment will aggravate the risk of stock market bubble and aggravate the risk of stock price collapse in one step, that is, enterprise overinvestment and stock market risk (stock market bubble risk). There is a clear positive correlation between the two, and a positive correlation between the risk of a stock market bubble and the risk of a stock price collapse. This means that the overheating of the investment and the delay in dealing with adverse information. Will greatly increase the risk of the stock market.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F275;F832.51

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