本文選題：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) + 高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)��； 參考：《西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2003年博士論文

【摘要】： Ⅰ 二十世紀(jì)的最后一個(gè)十年里，美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的強(qiáng)勁增長(zhǎng)令人側(cè)目，但它給人的疑惑、需要解決的問題以及給我們的啟示依然有待去探索。 當(dāng)今世界經(jīng)濟(jì)正處于一場(chǎng)大變革大轉(zhuǎn)換的關(guān)鍵階段，這場(chǎng)首先由信息技術(shù)發(fā)gR的經(jīng)濟(jì)變革的確使得經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)展現(xiàn)出了許多與以前迥異的現(xiàn)象，為此各方分歧不少，認(rèn)清這些現(xiàn)象以及現(xiàn)象背后的真正原因意義重大。因此，本文寫作的目的在于，將現(xiàn)實(shí)的技術(shù)進(jìn)步與歷史的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)結(jié)合起來，對(duì)現(xiàn)實(shí)中的高新技術(shù)發(fā)展置于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的歷史性宏偉大背景下進(jìn)行考察，通過對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的歷史及其理論的概述性回顧，在梳理關(guān)于技術(shù)、制度以及資本在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)中各自的作用發(fā)揮以及重新認(rèn)識(shí)三者之間相互作用的復(fù)雜耦合關(guān)系基礎(chǔ)上，對(duì)當(dāng)今高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的基本機(jī)制及其對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重大影響做出較全面的分析，進(jìn)而對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的跨越式發(fā)展進(jìn)行深入的思考。 Ⅱ 本文寫作的主旨在于，探詢高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)在當(dāng)今加速變革的社會(huì)中是如何產(chǎn)生、怎樣變動(dòng)以及怎樣調(diào)整的，特別是高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展規(guī)律對(duì)我國(guó)跨越式發(fā)展的啟示。因此，圍繞著所要解決的主要問題，框架結(jié)構(gòu)與內(nèi)容安排如下： 第一部分主要論述整個(gè)文章的研究背景和選題原因，特別是對(duì)本文的研究方法——系統(tǒng)科學(xué)和演化經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)進(jìn)行了的論述，考察了系統(tǒng)科學(xué)以及演化經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的主要內(nèi)容以及在進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)分析過程中具有的特殊價(jià)值，同時(shí)也對(duì)整篇文章的框架結(jié)構(gòu)和主要內(nèi)容進(jìn)行介紹。 第二部分主要是對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)理論進(jìn)行三類劃分，即資本決定論、技術(shù)決定論以及制度決定論，并對(duì)這三類增長(zhǎng)理論的主要內(nèi)容進(jìn)行介紹同時(shí)作出簡(jiǎn)單的評(píng)價(jià)，指出無論是資本決定論還是技術(shù)決定論以及制度決定論，他們的共同缺陷都在于對(duì)技術(shù)、制度以及資本進(jìn)行了分 WP=3 割性理解，片面強(qiáng)調(diào)和過分夸大了某一種要素在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)中的作用，沒有徹底分清長(zhǎng)短期里實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的基本條件以及主導(dǎo)因素，沒有認(rèn)識(shí)到經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是一個(gè)要素耦合和系統(tǒng)演化過程。在對(duì)三類經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)理論進(jìn)行分析的基礎(chǔ)上，運(yùn)用系統(tǒng)科學(xué)和演化經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的分析方法，對(duì)技術(shù)、制度以及資本三者之間的耦合機(jī)制進(jìn)行研究，進(jìn)而對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)進(jìn)行數(shù)理分析，描繪了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的邏輯斯蒂曲線，建立了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)模型，并對(duì)技術(shù)、制度以及資本的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了討論�？偨Y(jié)出，它們雖然有著自身不同和獨(dú)特的作用和影響，但在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)中的作用發(fā)揮卻不是獨(dú)立的，而是相互促進(jìn)、彼此制約和系統(tǒng)整合的。經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的實(shí)現(xiàn)、實(shí)現(xiàn)的極限以及如何實(shí)現(xiàn)既取決于三者本身的質(zhì)量水平的高低，更取決于三者耦合水平的高低。 第三部分主要對(duì)高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)的生成進(jìn)行分析。作者對(duì)高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)與傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟(jì)的區(qū)別及其劃分標(biāo)準(zhǔn)進(jìn)行了討論。研究了高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)生成的內(nèi)在邏輯在于，技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、制度創(chuàng)新以及投資變化的互相配合和協(xié)調(diào)，并以美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)在90年代的發(fā)展為例進(jìn)行說明。文章著重強(qiáng)調(diào)和分析了信息技術(shù)及其產(chǎn)品獨(dú)特性在促進(jìn)高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生中的特殊和關(guān)鍵性作用，建立了經(jīng)濟(jì)的信息化對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)模型，分析了信息化對(duì)美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)以及生產(chǎn)率所產(chǎn)生的影響。 第四部分主要是對(duì)高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)的波動(dòng)進(jìn)行分析。此部分首先從理論上分析了造成高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)的原因在于，技術(shù)沖擊、制度周期以及投資擾動(dòng)三方面共同作用的結(jié)果。其中對(duì)技術(shù)沖擊的分析主要以真實(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)周期理論為分析工具，考察了技術(shù)沖擊對(duì)技術(shù)、資本和勞動(dòng)變化路徑以及產(chǎn)量和消費(fèi)變化路徑的影響，并專門分析和描繪了具有持久性分量的技術(shù)沖擊下的產(chǎn)量軌跡；對(duì)制度周期的分析中，將制度變遷的周期性特征與經(jīng)濟(jì)周期的對(duì)應(yīng)階段結(jié)合起來考察。根據(jù)美國(guó)“新經(jīng)濟(jì)”的發(fā)展經(jīng)驗(yàn)以及依據(jù)前面所做的理論準(zhǔn)備，對(duì)高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)的波動(dòng)特征進(jìn)行了理論概括和前瞻性預(yù)見，進(jìn)而指出高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展依然存在著無法避免的“脆弱性”。 第五部分對(duì)高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)的調(diào)整進(jìn)行分析。該部分明確指出高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)本身無法避免波動(dòng)，，進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)調(diào)整是其發(fā)展過程中的一個(gè)必 WP=4 要和不可或缺的環(huán)節(jié)，分析了當(dāng)前進(jìn)入衰退期的美國(guó)是如何進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)調(diào)整以及使用貨幣和財(cái)政手段所產(chǎn)生的實(shí)際效果和政策效應(yīng)，也明確指出了發(fā)展高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)中反對(duì)“技術(shù)拜物教”的重要性和原因，以及由此而引發(fā)的對(duì)高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的可持續(xù)性的思考。 第六部分將前面高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的理論研究與我國(guó)的實(shí)際國(guó)情結(jié)合起來，著重分析我國(guó)跨越式發(fā)展的理論基礎(chǔ)和現(xiàn)實(shí)依據(jù)。首先對(duì)我國(guó)實(shí)現(xiàn)跨越式發(fā)展的內(nèi)在需要和可能性進(jìn)行闡述，接著對(duì)實(shí)現(xiàn)跨越式發(fā)展需要的條件和存在的困難進(jìn)行分析，強(qiáng)調(diào)指出，從現(xiàn)實(shí)來看，需求不足和通貨緊縮是對(duì)發(fā)展高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)的最大制約。同時(shí)對(duì)理論界提出實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)跨越式發(fā)展的各種思路和途徑進(jìn)行了厘清，最后對(duì)如何實(shí)現(xiàn)跨越式發(fā)展——選擇跨越點(diǎn)、工業(yè)化與信息化的關(guān)系以及避免高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的“孤軍突出”提出了政策建議。 Ⅲ 本文在研究過程中力圖將基礎(chǔ)理論與經(jīng)驗(yàn)事實(shí)結(jié)合起來，使對(duì)高新技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)的分析以及得到的相關(guān)結(jié)論既能找到合乎邏輯的理論根據(jù)，又能找到合乎客觀事實(shí)的經(jīng)驗(yàn)證據(jù)�？偟恼f來，作者力圖在以下幾方面實(shí)現(xiàn)突破或者創(chuàng)新： 1、在研究方法上，彌補(bǔ)了長(zhǎng)期以來，增長(zhǎng)理論中
[Abstract]:I
In the last ten years of twentieth Century, the strong growth of the United States economy is impressive, but its doubts, problems to be solved and the inspiration to us still need to be explored.
The world economy is at the key stage of great transformation and transformation. The economic change issued by gR, which is first made by information technology, has indeed shown many disparate phenomena in economic activities. Therefore, there are many differences between the parties and the true reasons behind the phenomena. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to write. It is to combine the actual technological progress with the economic growth of history, examine the historical macro and great background of the high and new technology development in the reality, and review the history of economic growth and its theory, and to comb the respective roles of technology, system and capital in economic growth. On the basis of the complex coupling relationship of the interaction between the three, this paper makes a comprehensive analysis of the basic mechanism of the current high-tech economic development and its significant impact on economic growth, and further ponder over the leap forward development of our country's economy.
II
The main purpose of this paper is to inquire about how high and new technology economy produces, how and how to adjust in today's accelerated society, especially the Enlightenment of the law of high and new technology economic development to China's leapfrog development. Therefore, the framework and content are arranged as follows:
The first part mainly discusses the background of the whole article and the reasons for the topic, especially the research methods of this paper, system science and evolutionary economics, the main contents of system science and evolutionary economics, the special value in the process of economic growth analysis, and the whole article. The framework and main contents of the chapter are introduced.
The second part is mainly to divide the economic growth theory into three categories, namely, capital determinism, technology determinism and system determinism, and introduce the main contents of the three types of growth theory and make a simple evaluation. It is pointed out that both the capital determinism, technology determinism and system determinism are all their common defects. The division of technology, system, and capital
WP=3
Cutting nature, one-sided emphasis and excessive exaggeration of the role of a certain element in economic growth, not completely clear the basic conditions and leading factors to achieve economic growth in a long and short term, and do not realize that economic growth is a factor coupling and a system evolution process. On the basis of the analysis of the three economic growth theory, it is applied to the theory of economic growth. The analytical method of system science and evolutionary economics is used to study the coupling mechanism between the technology, the system and the three capital. Then the economic growth is analyzed by mathematical analysis, the logical Christian curve of economic growth is described, the system dynamics model of economic growth is established, and the relationship between technology, system and capital is discussed. It is concluded that, although they have their own different and unique effects and effects, they are not independent in the role of economic growth, but are mutually promoting, restricting and integrating. The realization of economic growth, the limit of realization and how to achieve it depend on the level of the quality of the three parties themselves, but also on the coupling of the three. The level of the level.
The third part mainly analyzes the generation of high and new technology economy. The author discusses the difference between high and new technology economy and the traditional economy. The internal logic of the generation of high-tech economy lies in the cooperation and coordination of technology innovation, system innovation and investment change, and the American economy in 90s. The article emphasizes and analyzes the special and critical role of information technology and its product uniqueness in promoting the production of high and new technology economy, establishes the contribution model of economic information to economic growth, and analyzes the impact of information on the growth of the economy and productivity of the United States.
The fourth part is mainly to analyze the fluctuation of high and new technology economy. This part first analyzes the causes of the high and new technology economic fluctuations in theory, the results of the three aspects of the impact of technology impact, system cycle and investment disturbance. The effects of technology impact on technology, capital and labor change path and the path of production and consumption change are investigated. The output trajectory of technology impact with persistent components is analyzed and depicted, and the periodic characteristics of institutional change are combined with the corresponding stages of the economic cycle in the analysis of the system cycle. According to the development experience of the "new economy" in the United States and the theoretical preparation in front of the new economy, the characteristics of the high and new technology economy are summarized and foreseeable, and then it is pointed out that there is still an unavoidable "fragility" in the development of high-tech economy.
The fifth part analyses the adjustment of the high and new technology economy. This part clearly points out that the high and new technology economy itself can not avoid the fluctuation, and the economic adjustment is a must in the process of its development.
WP=4
In terms of the necessary and indispensable links, this paper analyzes the actual effects and policy effects on economic adjustment and the use of monetary and financial means in the United States entering into recession, and clearly points out the importance and reasons for the development of high-tech economy against "technical fetishism", and the resulting high-tech technology. The sustainability of the economic development of the operation.
The sixth part combines the theoretical research of high and new technology economic development with the actual conditions of our country, analyzes the theoretical basis and realistic basis of our country's leapfrog development. First, it expounds the inherent needs and possibilities of our country's realization of leapfrog development, and then the conditions and difficulties of realizing the need of leaping development. It is difficult to analyze and point out that, from the perspective of reality, lack of demand and deflation are the greatest constraints to the development of high and new technology economy. At the same time, the theoretical circles put forward various ideas and ways to realize the leap forward development of the economy. Finally, how to achieve leapfrog development - the relationship between the choice of leaping points and the relationship between industrialization and information technology And put forward policy recommendations to avoid the "isolated military outburst" of high-tech industries.
III
In the course of the study, this paper tries to combine the basic theory with the experience facts, so that the analysis of the high-tech economy and the related conclusions can not only find the logical theoretical basis, but also find the empirical evidence that conforms to the objective facts. In general, the author tries to achieve breakthroughs or innovations in the following aspects:
1, in research methods, it has made up for a long time the theory of growth.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2003
【分類號(hào)】：F062.4

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